Call me Liamstradamus, because I swear to God I’m psychic. I picked every single winner correctly from the quarterfinals, got the exact score right in one, and nailed the goal difference in another…. So suffice to say I’m pretty much the golden boy around here right now. I don’t want to make this all about me, even though it should be, so let’s quickly go over the quarterfinals before we dive into my semifinal predictions.
Williams defeats Hamilton 4-1
Hey Hamilton look don’t feel bad. Williams has been absolutely dominant all year and right now they’re the favorite to win the whole thing at the end. Williams looked vulnerable early, surrendering the first goal of the game, but quickly silenced all talk of an upset by rattling off four straight goals to seal their victory.
Amherst defeats Conn College 6-1
Our fears about Conn College were certainly vindicated here; they just struggle to play against top level competition. The game was a relatively close 2-1 after 79 minutes, but in the final stretch Amherst scored four consecutive goals and closed out the Camels with ease. Amherst has been on a roll lately and will look to continue their winning ways in the semifinals.
Middlebury defeats Bowdoin 2-1
I called this game perfectly. Winner, score, whether or not a fan would streak across the field during the game (No was the answer). The 2-1 scoreline makes this game seem closer than it was though, as Middlebury seemed in control from start to finish. The only goal they conceded came off a penalty kick and was answered less than a minute later.
Trinity defeats Tufts 1-0
Sorry Jumbo fans, in the most competitive game of the weekend (which I was also able to watch snippets of while watching my Panthers lose to the Bantams in football), they just didn’t have enough to outlast Trinity. Trinity’s defense looked nigh on impenetrable throughout the game and dominated the usually potent Jumbo attack.
Four games, four winners, and now only four remain. It’s semifinal time! But also final time because this is the NESCAC and we do these things in two days dammit! (Just kidding, it’s the right system and adds to the excitement). These four teams will travel to Williamstown on Friday and face off in what is sure to be an exciting weekend of soccer. Let’s get down to my eerily prescient picks. I’m also going to give a quick preview here of my expected final so read all the way to the end because there will be a quiz.
Williams vs. Trinity
Prediction: Williams wins 2-0
Trinity and Williams played in the opening weekend of the season this year, and their game went to overtime before the Ephs were able to escape with a 2-1 win. Both teams were working out early season kinks, but the Bantams, who have only outright beaten Williams once in their last 22 matchups, are sure to look back at this game and gain a little confidence for their upcoming bout. Unfortunately, I just don’t see Trinity or their superstar forward Taylor Kirchgessner (’19) being able to get going against a stout Williams defense that has only surrendered 5 goals all season! That’s insane. Williams has also won 10 straight and in that time defeated 5 teams that made appearances in the NESCAC playoffs. Williams should win and lock up home field advantage for the NESCAC finals.
Amherst vs. Middlebury
Middlebury wins 1-0
Wow. This game is gonna be tight. Amherst might be on a roll recently, winners of 10 straight including their NESCAC quarterfinals domination of Conn, but the only time these two teams faced off this year, Middlebury won 1-0. The game was hard fought and only decided thanks to the heroics of Emma Shumway (’18) who scored late in the second half. This game is sure to be just as close. Both teams rank in the top 3 in the league in goals per game with Amherst at 2 (2.25 gpg) and Middlebury at 3 (2.06 gpg). Both teams also rank in the top half of the league in defense with Amherst 4th and Middlebury 5th. I see this game coming down to the goalies. Amherst has found a rock in Chelsea Cutler (’19) who has started 15 games this year and only allowed 10 goals while making 57 saves. Middlebury has adopted a goalie by committee approach with Ursula Alwang (’20) and Kate Reinmuth (’17). Alwang started the quarterfinals against Bowdoin but both have made starts and appearances over the course of the last three games. This one is going to be tight, and honestly could go either way. I’m banking on Middlebury to repeat their success from earlier this year and escape with a 1-0 win.
NESCAC Finals— Williams vs. Middlebury
Prediction: Williams win 2-1
If this is the way the cookie crumbles in the semifinals, then we’re in for a rematch of the final game of the regular season for these two teams. Both have looked dominant for long stretches of the season, but Williams has consistently looked a little better. They’ve handled their business against the bottom of the conference and shown other good teams like Middlebury who’s really in charge. In a game that could be decided by one or two bounces, I see Williams winning and claiming their second straight NESCAC championship.