Can we get an upset please? Week Two Weekend Preview

Week 1 and its absolute blowouts are now over. Just to recap: Colby, Bates and Bowdoin all lost, Tufts held Hamilton to negative rushing yards while Wesleyan ran up and down the field on Midd. Now that those games are behind us we can look forward to a second weekend of NESCAC football in which we may see a game or two that will have a score differential of less than 20 points.

Bowdoin (0-1) @ Middlebury (0-1)

While many Panther fans may have been disheartened last week after their enormous loss to Wesleyan, Week 2 holds hope. This week Midd will host a Bowdoin team coming off a 41-6 loss to Williams. Bowdoin was not able to point points on the board until Griff Stalcup found Michael Cloppse in the endzone for their first, and only, six points. Bowdoin’s offense was stagnant at best, starting QB Austin McCrum was unable to get anything done during his tenure on the field, throwing for 73 yards and an interception. Running back Nate Richam was able to muster up 78 yards on 18 attempts but it was far too little to have any effect on the Williams offense. Although their offense may have been bad, the Polar Bear’s defense was the death of them. When you let up over 5 yards per play it is impossible to win a game, trust me, I got a B in Intro to Stats. While Midd’s offense is not the same caliber as William’s, Bowdoin still needs to make some serious changes on the defensive end in order to prevent being on the wrong side of a lopsided scoreboard, again.

Griff Stalcup looks like the Polar Bears’ best leader and only shot at beating the Panthers.

Despite scoring the first points of the game, Midd was eventually beat down by the Wesleyan offense in their 52-21 loss last weekend. Offensively, everything was run through the passing game for the Panthers. While QB Jake Meservy was able to rack up 216 yards and 2 TDs, he also managed to throw for 3 interceptions, including a pick-6. When a team knows that you are incapable of running the ball effectively, picks are going to happen. Midd’s go-to back Peter Scibilia was held to a mere 19 yards on 11 carries. Their leading rusher last weekend, Will Jernigan, the backup QB, only rushed for 24 yards, almost entirely through a single 23 yard rush. Bowdoin, and the rest of the NESCAC, knows that Midd’s only offensive threat is the passing game and will prepare accordingly. Whether Bowdoin has the skill and talent to prepare well enough is an entirely different question. Defensively, it couldn’t have been much worse for the Panthers. Wesleyan racked up 358 yards of total offense, including 203 rushing yards. There is nothing but room for improvement for Midd’s defense and while they only have to face Bowdoin this week, there will be bigger and better opponents down the line that will embarrass them again if change does not come soon.

Score Prediction: Middlebury 24, Bowdoin 7

Hamilton (0-1) @ Amherst (1-0)

Hamilton had a rough home opener, losing 29-2 to Tufts. When your only points come on defense, it’s generally not a good sign. While allowing Tufts to rush for 207 yards, Hamilton wasn’t able to put up positive yardage, ending with -11 rushing yards. Kenny Gray was the only positive part of the Hamilton offense, throwing for 158 yards. While that might sound decent, I forgot to mention that he also threw for 3 interceptions. Hamilton is yet another bottom-tier team that simply does not have it together offensively. Similar to Midd, when they know you’re gonna pass, you’re gonna get picked. Defensively, they held the passing game to just 109 yards but gave up 4 rushing touchdowns. Amherst can and will run the ball well, so the Hamilton defense will not get a break this weekend and will need some very short term memory in order to compete.

Andrew Yamin will terrorize whoever is the field general for Hamilton this weekend.

Amherst faced a low-quality Bates team this weekend and came out on top, as was expected. While QB Ollie Eberth was decent in the air, completing 13 of 19 for 112 yards, his ground game, along with Jack Hickey, was what propelled Amherst to the dub. The two combined for 201 yards and all 3 Mammoth touchdowns. I would expect Amherst to take an “If it ain’t broke don’t fix it” mentality this Saturday, sticking to their plan of pounding the run game and sprinkling in some short passes. Amherst didn’t get their offense going until the 3rd quarter against Bates, which may be concerning. In order to prove themselves as a top dog in the league they’re gonna need to come out guns blazing this weekend because in the NESCAC a win is not just a win, sometime you gotta blow some teams out. On defense, Amherst held Bates scoreless until the tail end of the game, aka garbage time. It’s tough to really asses Amherst’s defense at this point as they haven’t been faced with too great of a challenge yet. This challenge will in all likelihood not come this weekend either though.

Score Prediction: Amherst 27, Hamilton 3

Colby (0-1) @ Williams (1-0)

The Mules go from one gut-punch to another as this weekend they head down to Williamstown to face the Ephs. There’s really not a lot to say about Colby so far except that they are just clearly not at the same level as the better teams in the NESCAC. If allowing 35 points in one half isn’t enough, they allowed Trinity to get 573 total yards of total offense on Saturday. While Trinity is arguably the best team in the league and two-time defending champs, the game looked like Bama playing an FCS team, simply unable to compete from the get-go. Jake Schwern provided the vast majority of the offense for Colby, rushing for 108 yards, but still not enough to even get them at field goal range at any point. It already is fairly clear that this is a rebuilding season for the Mules and anything positive they can get, they should take it and run with it. For now though, they will fight through the punches and wait for games against Bates and Bowdoin to try and steal a CBB championship.

Williams may be doing a lot of this in 2018.

The Ephs put up some huge numbers last weekend against Bowdoin, as I very much expect them to do again this weekend. QB Bobby Maimaron threw for 146 yards and 2 TDs as well as rushing for 73 yards and 2 TDs. If that wasn’t enough RB TJ Dozier added on 128 yards and a touchdown of his own. Williams but up big numbers against a bad defense and expect more of the same this week. Maimaron and his favorite target Frank Stola will be moving the ball up the field with ease and TJ Dozier will be there for ample support. On defense, Williams wasn’t tested last week and won’t be again this week. Allowing one garbage time touchdown means absolutely nothing and their defense shut Bowdoin down as they should. Ephs fans will have to wait a little longer to see a game that has some meaning, but that’s a good problem to have.

Score Prediction: Williams 38, Colby 7

Bates (0-1) @ Trinity (1-0)

In all fairness, Bates was able to make a game of it against Amherst last weekend. A 4th quarter touchdown brought Bobcat fans some hope which was swiftly taken away by another Mammoth touchdown. Bates currently looks like the strongest of the CBB teams, meaning that it seems as if they have an actual defense. The fact that they were able to hold Amherst scoreless through the first half is both an accomplishment for them and may not speak too well about Amherst’s offense. Either way, Bates has a tough road ahead of them this weekend. QB Brendan Costa only threw for 90 yards but was able to find the back of the endzone on a keeper mid-way through the 4th quarter. Costa is not the heart of Bates’ offense, he IS Bates’ offense. Not only did he record all the passing yards in the game, he rushed for 44 of Bates’ 60 rushing yards. Costa is going to need some serious reinforcement to get past Trinity’s defense but it doesn’t seem as if his team is up for the challenge. This weekend will be a good test for Bates’ offense in terms of the CBB battle because if they are able to hold another high-quality team to a reasonable score it will make them far and away the best team in Maine.

Trinity did what Trinity does last weekend, blow teams out of the water. The Bantams gave a warm welcome to new Colby head coach Jack Cosgrove by handing him a 35-0 defeat on his opening day as a NESCAC coach. While Rhode Island transfer Jordan Vazzano was only able to connect on 9 of 23 passes, he was able to make those 9 count. Vazzano threw for 210 yards and 2 TDs as well as tacking on 38 rushing yards of his own. Max Chipouras ran all over the Colby defense for 173 yards and 3 TDs. WR Jonathan Girard accounted for the vast majority of the receptions, racking up 166 yards and 2 TDs. Trinity’s defense simply did their job. They sticked to their gameplan and didn’t allow any mistakes to a much lesser Colby team. I expect them to continue their dominance in Week 2.

Score Prediction: Trinity 31, Bates 9

 

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