Tag: Preseason

NESCAC Basketball is Awesome: 2015-2016 Season Introduction

Oh sweet lover, so nice to see you again. The transition from the gridiron to the hard court is a quick one this year, and we would be lying if we didn’t admit that we are a tad bit under-prepared at the moment. Make no mistake, that NESCAC work ethic is already in gear, and we are getting up to speed very quickly. Team previews are going to be rolling out starting tomorrow morning, and we have our biggest group of writers yet contributing on them. That large group of writers, which includes writers from Middlebury, Bowdoin, Bates, Tufts, Williams and Trinity is one reason why we are so excited for the coming season.

The other reason is the depth of quality basketball teams in the NESCAC this year. You can start with the fact that 97.7 percent of the minutes played in the NESCAC championship game between Amherst and  Wesleyan were done so by players who are back this year. Both the Cardinals and Lord Jeffs return practically their entire rotations from last year, and so one might assume that it’s a foregone conclusion that those two will once again meet each other in the NESCAC Championship game.

Oh, but you would be so so wrong. While those two, as well as Trinity, have to be considered the favorites out of the gate, other potential contenders are Colby and Tufts. Behind those teams are units like Bates, Bowdoin and Middlebury that have more than enough talent to beat anybody but also have significant question marks. Conn College, Williams and Hamilton are all also potentially dangerous.

I’ll avoid doing a brief overview of every team because you will learn so much about those teams in the Previews. Instead, here are what I think the biggest storylines for NESCAC basketball are this winter, presented in no particular order.

Still love this photo from the NESCAC championship game. (Courtesy of Amherst Athletics)
Still love this photo from the NESCAC championship game. (Courtesy of Amherst Athletics)
  1. How all that talent at Amherst works: Coach Dave Hixon has talent out of the wazzoo, and while there are obviously worse problems to have, it won’t be easy to figure out the rotation. If Amherst sticks to their rotation down the stretch last year, their backups will be PG Jayde Dawson ’18, SG Michael Riopel ’18, SF Jeff Racy ’17, PF Eric Conklin ’17, and most likely C Joe Schneider ’19. That unit could beat a lot of NESCAC schools straight up, no exaggeration. The lineup combinations are endless, and the Jeffs might spend the early parts of the season with playing Racy at power forward and having David George ’17 be the lone big man on the inside in charge of controlling the boards and protecting the rim.
  2. The amount of points Lucas Hausman ’16 scores: The reigning NESCAC POY and D3Hoops.com Preseason All-American averaged 20.7 PPG overall and 24.7 PPG in NESCAC games, and at times it feels like he was put on the earth to put the ball through the basket in small D-III gyms. The potential problem for Hausman is that teams are going to game plan for him like crazy because of the loss of John Swords ’15 and Bryan Hurley ’15. What happens to Hausman if teams go box and one or play man but double him whenever he gets the ball? This story might not become as important until January when teams really devote time to game planning opponents.
  3. Whether losing Hunter Sabety ’17 turns into addition by subraction: The talented big man for Tufts took his talents away from the NESCAC this summer and will be sitting a year off before playing at D-I Hofstra next year. Sabety was not healthy for much of last year anyway, and the Jumbos really only had one short stretch where they played well with him. His departure means that Tom Palleschi ’17 is the clear top dog on the roster, and the offense will flow through him. The Jumbos now need to find consistency besides Palleschi inside, but whoever plays there will not need to be an important part of the offense for the Jumbos to succeed.
  4. The possibility Middlebury is even worse this year: This blog began as an evolution of PantherNation which focused almost exclusively on Middlebury basketball and football. Our forerunners were so accustomed to a high level of Middlebury basketball that they called their season-long documentary of the Middlebury program in the 2013-2014 season “The Road to Salem“, where the D-III Final Four happens. The basketball gods disapproved of that hubris, and the past two years have seen Middlebury fall well back into the pack with last year’s shocking miss of the playoffs the crushing final blow. This winter the Panthers return just one player who averaged double digits. The talent is there, but the Panthers need massive statistical improvements from several players to be good.
  5. The number of impact freshmen: So much talent is back in the league this year, especially among the top teams, that freshmen might struggle to crack the rotation. Some schools like Williams and Bowdoin are relying on at least one freshmen to immediately contribute, but there are more teams that are already close to filling their rotation with just the players who are returning. I’m personally loathe to identify in the preseason what freshman are going to make a big impact because I’m not an expert at interpreting high schoolers’ tape, but a lot of freshman are entering with impressive pedigrees. We’ll see how long it takes for them to make it matter where it counts.
  6. The upside of Trinity: Even though they lost in the NESCAC Semifinals, the Bantams still had clearly the best season of anyone last year going 9-1 in conference and being 24 seconds away from going to the NCAA Final Four. The top three scorers – Jaquann Starks ’16, Shay Ajayi ’16 and Ed Ogundeko ’17 – are all back, but the Bantams lost a good deal of depth, particularly in the front court with George Papadeas ’15 and Alex Conaway ’15 graduating. Two young front court players are going to have to become rotation players in part because Ogundeko is frequently plagued by foul trouble. The Bantams will probably play everybody close, which will make them fun to watch.

Also, our coverage will wane a little bit during the month of December. After all, not only is it non-conference games going on, but we also will have Finals to attend to. Just consider this a little forewarning. We will be full tilt January on though. Great Scott, are we excited!

2015 NbN Preseason All-NESCAC Teams

Adam and I decided to make things simple and go with 11 players on each side of the ball, one kicker, one punter and one return man on each team. These selections are based off of the best preseason research into NESCAC football that you can find. Some of these predictions will prove correct, and some will certainly prove foolish, but as of now, consider the following players the most likely to garner accolades at season’s end. These young men all have a great combination of skill, drive and opportunity in the coming season.

Your 2015 NbN Preseason All-NESCAC Teams:

FIRST TEAM
Offense
Position Name School Class
QB Matt Milano Middlebury 2016
RB LaDarius Drew Wesleyan 2015
RB Nick Kelly Amherst 2017
WR Matt Minno Middlebury 2016
WR Mark Riley Bates 2016
WR Mike Rando Tufts 2017
OL Matt Netto Bowdoin 2016
OL Jim Daniels Amherst 2016
OL Blake Cunningham Wesleyan 2016
OL Matt Porter Trinity 2016
OL Lyle Seebeck Bates 2016
Defense
Position Name School Class
DE Lyle Baker Trinity 2016
DE Ryan Ruiz Colby 2016
DT Paul Johnson Amherst 2017
LB Alex Daversa-Russo Wesleyan 2016
LB Tim Patricia Middlebury 2016
LB Frank Leyva Trinity 2016
LB Mark Upton Bates 2017
CB Nate Leedy Middlebury 2017
S Justin Sanchez Wesleyan 2017
S Mike Stearns Tufts 2017
CB Jaymie Spears Amherst 2016
Specials
Position Name School Class
K Ike Fuchs Wesleyan 2017
P Kyle Pulek Trinity 2016
RS Darrien Myers Trinity 2017
SECOND TEAM
Position
QB Austin Lommen Williams 2016
RB Tyler Grant Bowdoin 2017
RB Chance Brady Tufts 2017
WR Ryder Arsenault Colby 2017
WR Jackson McGonagle Amherst 2016
FB Rob Murray Colby 2016
OL Andy Klarman Middlebury 2017
OL Chris Simmons Trinity 2018
OL Sam Hart Amherst 2016
OL Akene Farmer-Michos Tufts 2016
OL Charlie Grossnickle  Williams  2016
Defense
DE James Howe Williams 2016
DE Nadim Elhage Bowdoin 2016
DT Gil Araujo Middlebury 2016
LB James O’Grady Williams 2016
LB John Phelan Hamilton 2016
LB Thomas Kleyn Amherst 2016
LB Matt McCormack Tufts 2016
CB Rob Manning Wesleyan 2016
S Dan Pierce Middlebury 2016
S Jimmy Fairfield-Sonn Amherst 2016
CB Yosa Nosamiefan Trinity 2017
Specials
K Zach Altneau Hamilton 2018
P Andrew Murowchick Bowdoin 2016
RS Ryan Rizzo Middlebury 2017

10 Biggest Games of 2014

Make no mistake, even though coaches say every game is important, certain ones mean just a little bit more. If the NESCAC had a TV deal, these would be the games that would be on national television.

10. September 20: Hamilton at Tufts

When these two teams meet in Week 1, you can be sure that they will both be hungry for a victory. Tufts of course has the longer losing streak, but Hamilton has endured a tough couple of years as well with all the turnover in the coaching staff. Both teams bring back a wealth of starters (14 for Hamilton and an astounding 21 for Tufts). The edge goes to Tufts because of the long trip Hamilton has to take and that Hamilton is installing a new offensive system.

9. September 27: Trinity at Williams

This is a benchmark game for these two teams. Trinity will have to prove they can replace all the talent they lost on offense while Williams tries to convert their close loses into real wins. Last year Trinity won on a touchdown pass to AJ Jones ’14 with 18 seconds left. How settled each quarterback situation is could be the difference. If Trinity still hasn’t settled on someone to replace Sonny Puzzo then Williams could use this game to jumpstart their season.

8. September 20: Bates at Amherst

Another season opener that offers intrigue all over the place. Expect this one to be very low scoring because of the loss of Ryan Curit ’14 and Shawn Doherty ’14 for Bates. The Bobcats have reason for optimism because of their wealth of seniors and the questions around the Amherst offense. The Jeffs will have the advantage of having multiple weeks to prepare for Bates triple option so Bates coach Mark Harriman might have to throw more often in order to keep Bates unpredictable.

7. September 20: Wesleyan at Middlebury

On paper this is the best week 1 matchup given that both teams went 7-1 last year. While we were robbed of seeing Mac Foote face off against the Wesleyan defense, this game has promise as well. We still don’t know who the starting QB will be week 1 for Middlebury, but we expect them to still throw the ball a lot. The other side of the ball is where the game will be decided. The Middlebury defense has been very young the last couple of years, but players like Tim Patricia ’16, Matt Benedict ’15, and Nate Leedy ’17 are out to prove the defense is now the strength of this team.

6. November 1: Wesleyan at Williams

We already wrote about how last year’s game could effect the showdown in November. Last year Wesleyan might have taken the Ephs somewhat lightly, but this year the game is circled on calendars everywhere. Depth is where Wesleyan really differentiates themselves from other NESCAC teams, and at this point in the season that could be the difference. If James Howe ’16 or Alex Syocurka ’14 gets hurt, Williams doesn’t have the players to replace him, but Wesleyan is much more of a next guy up situation if there are injuries.

5. October 25: Middlebury at Trinity

Trinity gets the chance to avenge their first loss of last season at home. While we do think Middlebury is destined for a slight downturn this season, their talent and scheme makes them a dangerous opponent for anyone. Middlebury will make defenses sweat again even if they are as proficient in the passing game. Trinity only gained 3.3 yards per rush in last years game, and a repeat performance of that type will keep the game close.

4.  October 18: Amherst at Wesleyan

Both teams should be 4-0 if they beat Middlebury in their respective early season matchups. Suddenly Wesleyan turns from the upstart into defending Little 3 champion. The top four games on this list are all very close, and an argument could be made for any of them deciding the NESCAC race. Amherst will have to force turnovers in this game to have a chance. They would like a low scoring game where kicker Phillip Nwosu ’15 can have a big impact. The matchup between the Wesleyan running game and Amherst front seven will be a treat as well.

3. November 1: Amherst at Trinity

Trinity felt like they gave this game away in 2013, and Amherst will have a tough time competing on Trinity’s turf. At this point of the season, Trinity should have figured things out and resemble the Trinity teams we are accustomed to. Amherst will have to possess the ball for a good majority of the game in order to slow the game down. If Trinity is going to lose any home game, this is probably the one, but the odds are that the vaunted home winning streak will continue.

2. November 8: Williams at Amherst

The Biggest Little Game is still the most important game on these rivals’ calendar, no matter what their records are. The big change this year is that the game will start at 4 PM and finish under the lights. The normally large crowd should be even louder because of that. And of course in a rivalry game like this one, you can throw most common sense out the window. Current Williams seniors have never won against Amherst so there are sure to be some emotional pregame speeches before the game.

1. November 8: Trinity at Wesleyan

Yes, this game is now the highlight of the NESCAC calendar, and it could become the premier event year in and year out. Williams vs Amherst will always beat this game in terms of sheer pageantry, but these two teams have the most talent. If Williams-Amherst is Ohio State-Michigan, then Trinity-Wesleyan is Florida-Florida State. It’s hard to say exactly how this game will look since it is two months way, but it will be close. The fact everything builds to the final week of the NESCAC schedule is great. It’s like a de facto bowl season and rivalry week rolled into one crazy Saturday.

20 Stats from 2013 that You Need to Know

2013 is over and 2014 is here. Some will say that last season doesn’t mean anything. We beg to differ. Of course, some of the players (and coaches) from last year have changed, but oftentimes we can use past performance to help predict the future. Here are the 20 statistics from 2013 that you need to know.

1. 15:3. We start with the preseason favorite Wesleyan Cardinals. 15:3 was quarterback Jesse Warren’s touchdown-to-interception ratio, and for what it’s worth, Warren ’15 had zero interceptions in the season’s first seven games. His poise and ball control are what keep the Cardinals’ churning on offense.

2. 137.8. Speaking of quarterbacks, 137.8 was how many more passing yards per game that Middlebury had than the second-best passing team, Amherst. Of course, Mac Foote ’14 was responsible for 99% of that production, but rest assured the Panthers will continue to air it out with whomever is behind center.

3. 6.4. Another Wesleyan tid bit. The yards per offensive play recorded by the Cardinals in 2013.

4. 43. That’s how many years it had been since Wesleyan won a Little Three title. Despite averaging only 4.8 yards per offensive play against Amherst and Williams, Wesleyan captured that crown last year.

5. 51. The number of games in a row that Wesleyan’s in-state rival, Trinity, has won at home at Jessee-Miller Field. The Bantams last home loss came on Sept. 29, 2001 against Williams, and Trinity has not lost since the old grass surface was replaced with turf in the early 2000’s.

6. 31. At the other end of the spectrum are the Tufts Jumbos, who haven’t won a football game since the 2010 season opener on Sept. 25 against Hamilton. That’s 31 straight losses. The good news for Jumbos’ fans is that the team opens 2014 against a Hamilton squad that has lost 12 straight games in its own right.

7. 4.2. You’ll see a lot of love for the Ephs in this space over the next couple weeks, despite their 2-6 record in 2013. Part of that is due to the fact that the Ephs lost a lot of close games last season, and the 4.2 yards per defensive play allowed by the Williams’ defense, ranking them third in that category and just 0.2 YPP behind the league-leading Amherst defense, speaks to a unit that was better than its sixth-place ranking in points per game allowed. If the offense improves and opponents stop getting the ball with short fields to go, Williams will improve mightily this year.

8. 163. The number of tackles over the last two seasons by rising junior Tim Patricia of Middlebury, most in the NESCAC. Middlebury’s no-huddle offense creates more plays on both sides of the ball, so the Panthers’ tackle numbers are inflated somewhat, but there’s no denying this California native’s nose for the ball, and his ability to be this productive in his first two collegiate seasons is impressive.

9. 26.8. Trinity led the entire country in kickoff return average (28.1), and a large part of that was the 26.8 yards per return averaged by freshman Darrien Myers. Junior Ian Dugger boosted that averaged with a 99-yard touchdown return, but watch out for Myers again in the return game in 2014.

10. 7-7. Bowdoin sophomore Andrew Murowchick was the only kicker in the NESCAC to be perfect on field goal attempts. Though he did muff two extra points…

11. 35%. The percentage of receiving yards that were accrued by Hamilton wideout Joe Jensen ’15. Unfortunately for first-year coach Dave Murray, Jensen is hanging up the football cleats, which we noted back in mid-August.

12. 72%. The percentage of total yards Colby quarterback Justin Ciero accounted for in Colby’s offense. Ciero is no longer on the team after transferring to the University of Rochester. Gabe Harrington ’16 and transfer Michael Ecke are battling for the starting position this year.

13. 51%. Bowdoin QB Mac Caputi ’14 had the lowest completion percentage of qualifying quarterbacks. Caputi, son of head coach Dave Caputi, should see this percentage go up as his two top receivers (Ethan Drigotas ’15 and Dan Barone ’16) return.

14. 101. Amount of rushing yards for Bates running back Ivan Reese ’17 in his only start against Middlebury. That was the only game Reese had more than 10 carries, but with Ryan Curit ’14 gone, Reese will see the majority share of the carries.

15. 9.5. Tackles for loss by Tufts defensive lineman James Brao, the most of any Tufts player. The Tufts defense has to make more big plays if they want to see improvement, and Brao will have to be a big part of that.

16. 3. Number of fumbles, all of which were lost, for Kenny Adinkra ’16. The Amherst running back will have to cut down on those mistakes in order to stay on the field ahead of Nick Kelly ’17.

17. 5. Although Justin Sanchez ’17 can be overlooked with stars Donnie Cimino ’15 and Jake Bussani ’14 (granted another year of eligiblity) in the secondary, but the ball-hawking Sanchez accounted for five turnovers himself, two fumble recoveries and three interceptions.

18. 7.2 and 6.7. The yards per rush for Trinity running backs Chudi Iregbulem ’15 and Jacob Rivers ’15 respectively. The two have been stuck behind Evan Bunker ’14 and Ben Crick ’14, but will step into the spotlight especially with the unsettled quarterback situation.

19. 15.4. Yards per catch for Williams tight end Alex Way ’16. Expect more targets for Way who only caught 15 balls last year. His production slowed as the year went along, but he could be a dynamic playmaker for the Ephs.

20. 16. Number of days until the NESCAC season starts. It can’t come soon enough.