This week’s best matchup pits two teams against each other that both surprised us last week. We knew Tufts was going to be pretty good, but not “hold Trinity to eight points and beat them for the first time since 1995” good. Williams, a team that many are high on coming into the season due to their strong returning talent, fell to Middlebury on a touchdown in the last minute by Panthers QB Will Jernigan ‘21. Both of these games produced results that none of our writers predicted. While it’s unfortunate that good teams like Williams and Trinity could have their title hopes dashed with a single bad day in Week One, it’s exciting to already have parity in the league that we did not see last season. This week’s matchup in Williamstown will tell us a lot about where these two teams stand.
Key #1 for Tufts: Defensive Line Pressure
X-Factor: Jovan Nenadovic ‘22
A big reason this team was able to shake up the league with their upset last week was their defensive front. They sacked Trinity’s QBs 6 times and forced them into 2 interceptions. Trinity had several weapons at receiver, but it’s hard to get them the ball when there are guys constantly in the backfield that aren’t supposed to be there. Tufts also did not allow many lanes for runners, as the Bantams’ new starting RB was only able to get 2.3 yards per carry and had fewer than half the rushing yards of his quarterback. If Tufts’ D-line can get this production against a massive offensive line that is usually one of the NESCAC’s best, it should bode well for this Saturday. Nenadovic, piling up three sacks and five tackles for loss, will be counted on again to get after Williams QB Bobby Maimaron ‘21. Maimaron is an experienced and talented dual threat quarterback, so it will be a tall task for the Jumbos to keep him in check. If Tufts’ defensive front can be in the backfield as much as they were last week, the Ephs could be starting off 0-2.
Key #2 for Tufts: All Gas No Brakes
We’ve seen it countless times in sports. A team pulls off a massive upset, and then in their next game they rest on their laurels and falter against a lesser opponent. If Tufts gets complacent this week and does not come out with the same effort they did against Trinity, their title chances could take a major hit in Williamstown. This year’s Ephs team is not much of a drop off from Trinity- if at all (only time will tell). Tufts won this game last year, so that would be more reason to underestimate the Ephs, but Coach Civetti will certainly not have his boys overlooking what has been one of the NESCAC’s best teams in recent years. Tufts will need to bring the same intensity this week and not get complacent, or they could take one on the nose in a hurry.
Key #1 for Williams: Let Maimaron Rip
Eyebrows were raised around the league last week when Williams only put up 13 points against Middlebury, a team not traditionally known for their defense. Ephs QB Bobby Maimaron ‘21 is arguably the NESCAC’s best signal-caller this year, so it was surprising to see him not put up better numbers against a secondary that has been suspect in the past couple of seasons. However, his talent and pedigree should give Coach Raymond all the more reason to trust him to make plays this week against what will likely be a better defense than Middlebury’s. Maimaron has the ability to escape the pocket and make plays on the run, which will be vital against a Tufts defensive line that was all over Trinity’s QBs last week. He also had 39 rushing yards…which led the team. That statistic doesn’t bode well against the team that shut down Trinity’s run game last week. Because the prospects of pounding it up the middle do not look ideal, Maimaron should get lots of opportunities to find his weapons and make some plays with his feet this Saturday. He has proven himself in the NESCAC already, so all he needs is a few big plays against the Jumbos to get his confidence back up and his offense humming.
Key #2 for Williams: Clean It Up
Last week, Williams topped Middlebury in total offense and time of possession while only turning the ball over once. Middlebury was not outstanding in any one area. So how did the Ephs come up short on the scoreboard? Well, for starters, Williams kicker Andrew Schreibstein ‘22 missed his only field goal attempt and one of his two extra point attempts… leaving the four points that Middlebury won by on the field. That being said, I know that kicking is not an easy thing to take on and that it’s a team game- so I won’t put all the blame on my guy here. The TEAM was flagged 9 times for 55 yards, certainly not insignificant in a tight game. Williams will need to be more disciplined if they want to have their way this weekend. I don’t think IQs have dropped too much in Williamstown since last season, so expect kicks to be executed and football rules to be followed to a higher degree on Saturday.
Everything Else:
This game gained exponentially more intrigue after last weekend, because it went from a key matchup of teams gunning for second place to possibly having title implications. For Williams, a second loss would likely kill any prospects of a championship- which takes a lot of the fun out of the season when expectations are so high. Tufts now knows they’re right up there with the big dogs of the league, so expect them to have a swagger this weekend reflecting that. It will be very exciting to see Williams’ offensive weapons go head to head against a Tufts defense that proved last week it can play with the best. Last year these two teams played one of the NESCAC’s most competitive games of the season, a 28-21 win for Tufts on their home turf. This year’s result should be just as tight. I’ll take the Ephs in a tossup.
Prediction: Williams 30-24