Contenders All Survive – Saturday Wrap-up

Well, we watched a good twelve hours of sports yesterday that made us remember why we love October so much (how was your Saturday?). The first five hours were spent with a NESCAC game (or a few) streaming on a computer. We said it would be a somewhat boring day so of course two of the crazier games this year happened. Here is your wrap-up.

Bowdoin (2-2) 30, Hamilton (0-4) 24

The first game of the day was a wild one at the end. The teams scored 22 points in the final 2:24 with three attempted onside kicks and a Hail Mary to boot. The craziness started when, after a Hamilton TD made it 22-17,  the Continentals recovered an onside kick, only to see it erased by an offsides penalty. Bowdoin managed to recover the next attempt and Tyler Grant ’17 scored two plays later to put Bowdoin up 30-17 with 2:06. Then Amman Weaver ’18 took the ensuing kickoff back to the house, but Bowdoin once again recovered the onside kick attempt. Bowdoin had to punt with under 30 seconds left and saw Hamilton block it to take over at the Bowdoin 27 yard line with nine seconds left. Bowdoin finally clinched it when Dan Johnson ’15 intercepted Chase Rosenberg ’17 in the end zone with three seconds left.

Bowdoin has a complete game recap or you can watch the entire game on the Hamilton stream. Start it at the 2:48:00 mark to see the end of game craziness.

Wesleyan (4-0) 24, Bates (1-3) 10

The Cardinals sweated this game out as the Bobcats proved to be worthy adversaries despite playing without their starting quarterback Matt Cannone. Wesleyan struggled to move the ball on the ground except in the wildcat as Devon Carillo ’17 gained 92 of their 143 yards as the wildcat quarterback. This was a 17-10 game in the fourth quarter before Wesleyan converted a short field off of a fumble recovery into a touchdown on a screen from Jesse Warren ’15 to Jay Fabien ’15. The Bates website has a full recap and photos from the game.

Amherst (4-0) 35, Colby (0-4) 10

This was a 3-0 game in favor of Colby after one half, but quarterback Max Lippe ’15 entered the game for his first appearance of the season and changed the Amherst offense. After a Jimmy Fairfield-Sonn ’16 interception, Lippe entered and on his first attempt completed a 68 yard pass to Brian Ragone ’16 to set up the first Amherst touchdown. From that point on Amherst rolled with a Ned Deane ’15 interception return for a touchdown to make it 28-10 on the first play of the fourth quarter essentially ending it. For Colby, the game was like a broken record of their entire first half where they stayed close for a while before fading late. Amherst has a complete game recap or you can watch highlights featuring analysis from Head Coach EJ Mills below.

Trinity (4-0) 35, Tufts (2-2) 14

We came within one point of exactly nailing this score (we had Trinity 34-Tufts 14), as the Bantams used a big second quarter to move past Tufts. The Jumbos took the lead after another long Zack Trause ’15 punt return led to a short touchdown, but after that Trinity’s run game took over. Chudi Iregbulem ’15 led the way with 184 yards and four touchdowns. The home winning streak for Trinity now stands at 53 games. A fake punt pass from Michael Budness ’15 to Bryan Vieira ’18 helped give Trinity their second touchdown and the lead they would never relinquish.

Here is the full game recap.

Middlebury (2-2) 23, Williams (1-3) 20

The last game of the afternoon was also the closest as it took overtime to decide this one. The first half was a defensive battle with another 3-0 score, this one in favor of Williams. The Panther defense, like they have done all year, got Middlebury going with a fumble recovery for a touchdown by Will Bain ’15. Williams was up a touchdown late in the fourth quarter but could not close the game out on offense giving the Panthers back the ball with a little over two minutes remaining. That was all the time Matt Milano ’16 and company needed to tie up the game. In overtime Williams got the ball first and stalled inside the five yard line before settling for a field goal. A beautiful pass from Milano to Brendan Rankowitz ’15 won it for Middlebury and sent the entire Panthers team into the end zone in celebration.

Complete game recap and photos can be found if you follow the link.

Keep on Trucking- The Weekend Preview

The NESCAC season is incredibly short compared to most other conferences, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t any lulls. This weekend offers what looks like one of the sleepier slates on the NESCAC schedule barring a huge upset somewhere. Compounding those potentially lopsided matchups are that many NESCAC schools are on fall break meaning student crowds (already usually pretty small) will be practically non-existent.

That does not mean there won’t be plenty to watch later today. Everything starts at noon with Hamilton looking for their first win against a Bowdoin team trying to get to .500, and it will end with the Route 7 battle between Middlebury and Williams. We’ll be giving live updates and analysis on every game on Twitter (@cacsportsblog).

Two  to Watch

1. Running Back Kyle Gibson ’15 (Wesleyan) – Gibson was the secondary part of the two headed running attack last year, and the injury of LaDarius Drew ’15 means Gibson has become the primary back. So far his yards per run average is down 2.7 yards from 2013 in large part because Gibson has not been able to have any runs over 30 yards. Sure he is still third in the NESCAC in rushing, but that is nowhere near the level that Wesleyan needs from him. That surprisingly anemic running attack is the biggest difference between this year’s Cardinals team and the 2013 version. Bates has been the second best team against the run so far this year, and a breakout game from Gibson would be huge for the Cardinals confidence going forward.

2. Quarterback Chase Rosenberg ’17 (Hamilton) – The sophomore QB looked like he might be primed for a huge year after throwing for 320 yards in the season opener against Tufts, but he has taken a step back since then against Wesleyan and Trinity. His past two games he has completed fewer than 50% of his passes, but he could have a bounce back game today. On the season opposing quarterbacks are averaging 240 yards per game and are completing 70.2% of their passes against the Bowdoin defense. Last year Rosenberg had one of his best games against Bowdoin throwing for 269 yards. A performance similar to that would end the losing streak for Hamilton.

The Picks

Game of the Week – Middlebury (1-2) at Williams (1-2)

Any time the Game of the Week features two teams under .500, that tells you everything you need to know about what type of week it is. That isn’t to say that this game does not offer any intrigue. Middlebury won this matchup by a touchdown last year despite Williams holding the ball for 35+ minutes.

The Ephs will need that type of performance if they are somehow able to upset Middlebury. Williams has not looked at all like the same team since Week 1. Granted Bowdoin did not give much in the way of resistance in that game, but Williams still appeared to be a complete football team then. Now Williams needs to turn things around in a hurry if they want to keep another season from spiralling downwards.

Middlebury is simply hoping that the shutout their offense had last week was a product of a great defense and tough throwing weather. The Panthers are still only the eighth best rushing team in the NESCAC but they have shown much more commitment to the ground game. Williams can be attacked on the ground so the time of possession should be much closer this year.

In the end Middlebury is simply a better team. They know they are much better than their record indicates and will use this game to start a second half upswing.

Prediction: Middlebury 28 over Williams 13

Bowdoin (1-2) at Hamilton (0-3)- The Bowdoin running game exploded last week against Tufts, and Hamilton is tied with the Jumbos for seventh in the league in rushing yards allowed per game. Don’t expect Tyler Grant to repeat his performance from Week 3, but the Polar Bears should still have success on the ground.

On the other hand, Bowdoin’s defense has allowed the most yards per game and is tied for ninth with the Continentals in points allowed per game. So both offenses will have a chance to break out this week (or keep rolling in the Polar Bears’ case).

Prediction: Hamilton 24 over Bowdoin 17.

Wesleyan (3-0) at Bates (1-2)- As mentioned above, the Wesleyan ground game hasn’t been nearly as prolific as in 2013. Given that and the Bobcats success in defending the run, Jesse Warren might be called upon to move the ball against Bates. Regardless, Wesleyan has more talent than Bates and shouldn’t struggle in this game.

Prediction: Wesleyan 35 over Bates 10

Colby (0-3) at Amherst (3-0)- The brutal opening schedule for Colby concludes with this game at Amherst. The Colby offense has only scored seven points in every game, and facing off against the Jeffs’ defense is not going to make this week earlier. For Amherst fans, the QB position is up in the air right now. Poor quarterback play cost the Jeffs their only loss in 2013, and they are hoping EJ Mills can settle on one player instead of going back and forth.

Prediction: Amherst 20 over Colby 7

Tufts (2-1) at Trinity (3-0)- The Jumbo stampede hit a bit of a road block once they had to go on the road to Bowdoin, and things get tougher in Hartford this week. After seeing the Jumbos in person, we can say that we have never seen a team run as many screens as Tufts does. Our guess is that at least half of QB Jack Doll’s ’15 passes were behind the line of scrimmage. Trinity should come out hungry in this one as they always seem to do at home. The streak will end sometime, but it won’t be Saturday.

Prediction: Trinity 34 over Tufts 14

 

Weekend Preview: September 27

The biggest change a team can make from week to week comes after week 1 and leading into week 2. Nothing can replicate game speed, and after coaches are able to look back at game tape for the first time and make adjustments, teams can look very different. Consider in week 1 last year Williams got blown out by Colby 31-6. Then a week later Trinity needed two A.J. Jones ’14 touchdown receptions in the fourth quarter to keep the Ephs from ending the Trinity home winning streak. More on the Williams-Trinity matchup later.

The overarching story line to watch this week is how teams perform on the road. In our opinion, only one team (Wesleyan at home against Hamilton) can be considered the favorite at home. The last time four road teams won in one weekend was actually this same week two years ago with the exact same slate of games. A home underdog springing an upset would mean a disturbance in the early season hierarchy, even if it is a momentary blip.

Three to Watch

1. Quarterback Austin Lommen ’16 (Williams)- I know that we focus a lot on Lommen and Williams prospects for improvement, but this is the week that we really learn how far Lommen can take the Ephs. Last week he was able to lean on a great defensive effort and running attack against Bowdoin. He was efficient going 18-27  for 184 yards and one touchdown. Still Trinity will make him do a lot more in order to beat them. They have the strength to slow down running back Alex Scyorcurka ’14 enough to make Lommen have to make throws. It is clear that Lommen has great chemistry with his high school teammate Steven Kiesel. He will need to find the open receiver as Kiesel will likely face tight coverage from either Mike Mancini ’15 or Brian Dones ’17.

2. Linebacker Addison Pierce ’17 (Middlebury)- The Panther defense rose to the occasion last week especially in the run game, and Pierce was a player who had a breakout game. He played a lot freshman year finishing fifth on the team in tackles, but last week was special. He totaled ten tackles including three and a half TFLs (tackles for loss), equal to his total TFLs for all of 2013. The Panthers got penetration into the backfield all day from their linebackers stopping Kyle Gibson and co. before they could get momentum. This week is another interesting matchup for the Midd defense against a Colby offense that actually ran the ball effectively against Trinity.

3. Running back Ivan Reese ’17 (Bates)- Last week Amherst shut down the inside running game for Bates holding Reese to only 19 yards on 10 carries. In fairness, Amherst was perfectly designed to shut down the interior given all the talent up front on defense. 19 yards should be by far the least amount of yards that Reese gets in any game. The interior of the Tufts defense should not present the same problems Amherst did so look for Reese to be fed the ball early and often in the home opener for Bates. The offense needs to improve on their execution from week one in order not to waste another great performance from the defense.

Austin Lommen '16 in action against Bowdoin (Courtesy of Williams Athletics)
Austin Lommen ’16 in action against Bowdoin (Courtesy of Williams Athletics)

The Picks

Game of the Week- Trinity (1-0) at Williams (1-0)

Williams fans are riding high after opening their new field with a thumping of Bowdoin. A victory this week would put them into a tizzy. The Bantams are feeling pretty good themselves after taking it to Colby in the second half to run away with the win. Our writers Sean Meekins ’15 and Carson Kenney ’15, both Trinity students, put Williams above Trinity in their power rankings. Maybe it was just a psychological play to fire up the Bantams, but the point remains that after week one, this matchup got a little more interesting.

As we mentioned above, Williams almost shocked Trinity in Hartford last year. The stats tell us this was not the result of any fluke luck. The teams had essentially the same amount of yards, first downs, yards per play, and penalties. The difference was Williams’ four turnovers to Trinity’s one. The play of the game came when Brian Dones ’17 picked off Tom Murphy ’15 in the final minute to set up the winning touchdown for Trinity.

Lommen has to avoid making those type of mistakes for Williams to win. Williams will make a strong commitment to running the ball especially given how Carl Lipani ’17 was able to run for 133 yards last week. Some of Williams biggest plays in week one came on screens and draws where they were able to give Scyocurka and Jean Luc Etienne ’15 space to work with. The experienced Trinity linebackers will likely snuff that type of play out meaning the Ephs will have to manufacture big plays down the field.

On the other side of the ball the decisive matchup is between the Trinity offensive line and the Williams defensive front seven. James Howe ’16 will need to get help from his cohorts which might not include defensive tackle Adam Datema ’15 this week. Chudi Iregbulem ’15 and company enjoyed success mainly in the second half after wearing down Colby because Trinity held the ball for 37 minutes. The Williams defense has to make sure Trinity does not get into a rhythm running the ball. These are two teams similar in ethos that have seen every game between them since 2006 decided by eight points or less.

Prediction: Trinity 22 over Williams 17

Middlebury (0-1) at Colby (0-1)- These are two teams both coming off tough losses that look very comparable. The Mules were feeling good at halftime against Trinity down only a safety and getting the ball to start the second half. Then things fell apart pretty quickly and Colby ended up losing 32-7. Middlebury had a chance to tie Wesleyan at the end of regulation before a near blocked punt turned into a game ending roughing the kicker penalty. Colby has to do a better job of not letting up the big play, whether that’s on offense or defense. How the Colby secondary plays against a Middlebury offense that outgained Wesleyan last week will be the difference.

Prediction: Middlebury 31 over Colby 23

Amherst (1-0) at Bowdoin (0-1)- Quick disclaimer/heads up: I am doing the color commentary for this game on the Bowdoin webcast through NSN. Bowdoin could take few positives away from the game against Williams. Expect them to open things up more on offense to keep Amherst off balance because running against the Jeffs is very difficult. Amherst has to cut down on the turnovers that helped Bates almost beat them last week. Keeping Alex Berluti ’17 in the pocket is a must for the Polar Bears. If he escapes and makes one player miss, he can easily rip off a 30 yard run. Bowdoin always seems to play Amherst tough especially in the first half, but it will be tough for them to make enough plays to win.

Prediction: Amherst 20 over Bowdoin 6

Bates (0-1) at Tufts (1-0)- The Jumbos were able to celebrate their first win in four years last weekend, and it will be interesting to see how the team plays this week. Preparation against Bates is crucial, and if Tufts spent too long in the glow of their victory they will be in trouble tomorrow. The Bates running game should get more traction this week than it did against Amherst.  This is a must win game for Bates to gain momentum before they face Williams and Wesleyan at home in back to back weeks. Expect the Bobcat defense to really clamp down and frustrate the Tufts offense.

Prediction: Bates 23 over Tufts 13

Hamilton (0-1) at Wesleyan (1-0)- The Cardinals blitzkrieged their first four opponents in 2013, and Hamilton was no exception. This game was over last year after the first drive of the third quarter when LaDarius Drew broke off a 76 yard touchdown run to put Wesleyan up 28-0. It is still unclear if Drew will play this week after missing last week due to injury. Chase Rosenberg ’17 will put the ball in the air a lot again this week for the Continentals, but expect the Wesleyan defense to pick a couple of those passes off.

Prediction: Wesleyan 31 over Hamilton 10

Last week: 5-0

Season: 5-0

The Weekend Preview: Time For a Little Football

new weston

We have waited a long long time for this. The NESCAC football season kicks off officially at 1 PM tomorrow. To get you ready, we take inspiration from former Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfield who famously talked about the differences between known knowns, known unknowns, and unknown unknowns. We will switch around the format a little in order to also include things  we think to be known. If that didn’t make any sense to you… don’t worry about it.

Things We Know We Know

  • LaDarius Drew ’15 and Kyle Gibson ’15 will get a lot of carries- Coach Mike Whalen has successfully built Wesleyan into a powerhouse behind a strong running attack. QB Jesse Warren ’15 will not be asked to win the game against Middlebury. Drew and Gibson will have success against a front seven that was used to playing with the lead for most of last season.
  • Williams has some nice new digs- If you haven’t seen them yet, Williams gives you a sneak peek here. The opening also coincides with Williams finishing a new library. Whether students actually went to school there the last two years or the campus was merely a construction site is still a matter of debate amongst scholars
  • A streak will end- Either Hamilton or Tufts will get the monkey off their back in week 1. More pressure is on Tufts as the Jumbos carry a 31 game losing streak into the weekend.

Things We Think We Know

  • Amherst can slow down the triple option- For football tacticians, the Amherst-Bates game features a veteran interior line for Bates going up against a great front seven in Amherst. The Jeffs have the strength in Robert Perdoni ’16 and speed in guys like Tyler Mordas ’16 to make Bates struggle.
  • Austin Lommen ’16 will give the Williams offense a new look- A team that mostly relied on running the ball with Alex Scyorcurka ’14 and Marco Hernandez ’14 gets a shot of life with Lommen distributing the ball. Suddenly big play opportunities could abound for the Ephs given their size at receiver and tight end.

Things We Know We Don’t Know

  • The total impact of Mac Foote ’14- By this I don’t just mean the effect Foote’s arm had on the offense but also the D. Teams had to adjust their game against the Panthers because of him. They would often be conservative early in the game to try to give their defense a rest before being forced to throw the ball a lot in late game situations. Think of how the Colts defense suddenly looked helpless once Peyton Manning got hurt.
  • Mental Preparation of teams- Every coach says they like how their team has been playing in preseason. Yet we don’t know how ready every team is for their first game until they get out onto the field. A slow start in the first game of the season can lead to week 1 upsets.

Football action shot

The Picks

Colby at Trinity: Trinity 27-Colby 16

Play this game in three weeks in Waterville, and the Mules could pull the upset, but Trinity takes every home game seriously because of the streak. Expect Gabe Harrington to move the ball up and down the field, but the Trinity defense will tighten up in the red zone. A late Trinity rushing touchdown against a tired Colby team should seal it.

Wesleyan at Middlebury: Wesleyan 34-Middlebury 21

There is simply too much talent back on the Wesleyan sideline for the Panthers to compete for four whole quarters. We were robbed of this game last season, but this edition will lack drama. Expect the different in philosophies between the two teams to be clear as Wesleyan controls the line of scrimmage while Middlebury is forced to air it out. The entire Wesleyan secondary is licking their chops at the opportunity of playing a first time starting QB.

Bowdoin at Williams: Williams 23-Bowdoin 13

Williams will come out fired up to get a victory in their first game at the new field. Both defenses might take a little time to settle down. The key for Bowdoin is finding a way to slow down the defensive line of Williams. QB Mac Caputi ’15 will try to get the ball out early to avoid the rush. In the end Williams will find a way to attack a Bowdoin secondary that does not have the height to stop Darrias Sime’16 all game.

Bates at Amherst: Amherst 17- Bates 10

Amherst will leave this game with more questions on offense than they had going in. The game is going to be a slog for most of the time. Max Lippe ’15 is already at risk of losing his spot to one of the talented young guns, and Alex Berluti ’17 will see time at some point in the game. The good thing is the Amherst defense will pick up the slack and shut down Bates. The Jeffs will escape but not without a scare.

Hamilton at Tufts: Tufts 35- Hamilton 31

I think this will be the most entertaining game to watch. Both defenses will struggle to get off the field on third down. The difference will be which QB, Jack Doll ’15 or Chase Rosenberg ’17, makes fewer mistakes. The streak will end at 31 and the Jumbos will celebrate.

Hamilton Team Preview – There’s a New Chief of Staff at Hamilton

2013 Record: 0-8

Number of Returning Starters: 14 (7 offense, 5 defense, 2 specialists)

Offensive Overview:

New head coach Dave Murray inherits a Hamilton offense that showed very few positives in 2013. The Continentals were second-t0-last in the NESCAC in points per game and yards per game, eighth in passing yards per game and seventh in rushing yards per game. Unfortunately, Hamilton’s top two offensive threats from last year are gone. Running back James Stannell was lost to graduation, and receiver Joe Jensen ’15 has decided to focus on his track and baseball careers. The area with the most experience will be the Hamilton offensive line, where as many as 10 players have played in the past and are battling for starting jobs. New coordinator Rich Puccio, a former player of Murray’s and a colleague for 10 years, will have his work cut out from him as he transitions the offense to a multiple-I system.

Defensive Overview:

Hamilton has work to do on defense as well, as the Continentals allowed the most yards per play of any team in the NESCAC in 2013, and even though the offense was second in the league in time of possession, opponents still scored 34.0 points per game. Murray will be more hands-on with the defensive unit and will be aided by his assistant at his last coaching stop, Josh Miller. Defensive tackle Michael De Percin ’15 is the cornerstone of the defense, and Zach Klein ’15 is back to aid his classmate at defensive end. Safety Alex Mitko ’16 and middle linebacker John Phelan ’16 are the defense’s biggest playmakers, but big plays were a rarity for the Hamilton defense last season. The Continentals had just four interceptions and six sacks in 2013, though they managed seven fumble recoveries, tied with Wesleyan for the second-most in the NESCAC. A few more lucky breaks resulting in turnovers and better pressure on the opposing QB could make all the difference for this defense.

Courtesy of Hamilton Athletics
Courtesy of Hamilton Athletics

Three Big Questions

1. Is QB Chase Rosenberg ’17 ready?

Rosenberg started most of 2013 over his elder, Colin Pastorella ’16, though he never showed a consistent level of high quality play. In six games where he had more than 12 pass attempts, Rosenberg threw two interceptions in each. His best stretch came during the middle of the season when he managed completion percentages of better than 62 percent in three straight contests. Rosenberg also used his legs quite a bit in 2013, even running for 90 yards in the season finale, but he will likely be held more in the pocket in 2014, given Murray’s offensive scheme. Rosenberg will have to fight off Pastorella and two athletic freshmen in order to maintain his job.

2. Who steps in at running back?

Expect the Continentals’ pass/run ratio to lean a bit more towards the latter in 2014, meaning that someone will have to pick up where Stannell left off. Rico Gonzalez ’16 is the top returning back, having rushed 65 times last season, third to Stannell and Rosenberg. Lashawn Russell-Ware ’17 brings speed and quickness to the backfield, but injury limited him to one game in 2013. The dark horse for the Continentals is converted-safety Jeffrey Hopsicker ’16. The high school quarterback had 23 tackles at safety for Hamilton last season, but Murray believes a move back to the offensive side of the ball will be good for the junior, and the Hamilton offense.

3. Can Murray revamp the defense?

There’s not a ton of starting experience on the defensive side of the ball. In addition to those listed above, cornerback Jimmy Giattino ’17 saw lots of time in 2013 and led the team in pass breakups. Others saw the field in every game, but there are still holes to fill. It’s going to take an attitude change in order for this defense to be effective.

Team MVP: Chase Rosenberg. It better be if Hamilton hopes to turn the corner this year. A big improvement from the quarterback position, and in particular better ball security, will make all the difference for the Continentals. The prediction here is that Rosenberg makes strides in his second season.

Best Tweet of the offseason: This one goes to QB/DJ/producer Chase Rosenberg.

Hopefully Coach Murray can get the Continentals moving in the right direction starting this season.