Shooters Shoot: Colby Men’s Basketball Preview 2019-2020

Colby College Mules

2018-2019 Record: 17-8 (5-5 NESCAC), lost in quarterfinals of NESCAC Tournament

2019-2020 Projected Record: 20-4 (6-4 NESCAC)

Key Losses: G Ronan Schwarz

Projected Starting Lineup:

G: Wallace Tucker ’21 (11.3 PPG, 3.2 REB/G, 2.5 AST/G, 40.3% 3PT)

Tucker isn’t a big guy, but his presence on the court is certainly felt. His impressive ball-handling ability and shooting efficiency make him a perfect member of this Colby backcourt. He also rebounds surprisingly well given his size, but with the Mules’ lack of big guys and his impressive athleticism it actually does make sense. With all of the scoring options that Colby has it would be nice to see an increase in Tucker’s assist numbers, but there isn’t much else to ask from him because he is definitely a role player on this team. If he continues to take high percentage shots, minimize turnovers, and play solid defense then that’s just about all Coach Strahorn will need him to do.

G: Matt Hanna ’21 (14.7 PPG, 4.4 REB/G, 2.6 AST/G, 40.8% 3PT)

Matt Hanna is one of the most entertaining players to watch in the NESCAC. This guy plays with his heart on his sleeve and leaves everything out on the court. It’s also clear that he thinks very highly of himself, as evidenced by his transfer to Louisville in 2018 where he planned to walk on for his sophomore season. Fortunately for the Mules he decided to transfer back to Colby after a short week in Kentucky to continue his run in the NESCAC. Hanna is an exceptional shooter and pure scorer and he’ll look to continue his upward trend for the third straight year. Like Wallace Tucker, Hanna is not even 6 feet tall, so he’ll have to rely on his larger frame to successfully defend the bigger guys that he goes up against. This guy is a true leader for the Mules and opposing teams should be on notice all year long.

G: Noah Tyson ’22 (10.9 PPG, 8.2 REB/G, 2.6 AST/G, 37.1% 3PT)

Last year’s NESCAC Rookie of the Year has picked up right where he left off at the conclusion of the 2018-2019 season. Tyson isn’t a huge guard, but he’s a monster on the boards and actually finished top-10 in the league in rebounding last year. This is crucial for the Mules because they don’t start a single player over 6’5” and only have one on their roster. Tyson has excellent court vision and shoots the ball well – to be honest it’s hard to know where he can improve aside from his scoring totals, which are already pretty good. The bar is high for the former Vermont Mr. Basketball, so we’ll have to wait to find out how much better this guy can get. 

G: Will King ’23 (DNP)

It’s never easy to know what to say about a freshman, but King is off to a tremendous start to his rookie campaign in Waterville. He brings a bit more size to the starting lineup and is already averaging 6 (!) assists per game through 11 contests. It’s essential to know your role as a freshman and it seems as though King is doing exactly that. He is shooting a high percentage, but only shoots when he knows it’s right. He has identified that this team is loaded with scorers and he clearly has a knack for finding the open guy. King is also a crafty finisher and can spread the floor, so he will be very dangerous once he starts to find his rhythm offensively. It’s still early, but this guy looks to be quite a find for Coach Strahorn.

G: Sam Jefferson ’20 (18.2 PPG, 4.1 REB/G, 1.8 AST/G, 42.5% 3PT)

Jefferson has been the best player on this team for a few years now, but he’s off to one of the hottest starts in recent NESCAC history. 11 games into the season Jefferson is averaging 24.7 points per game, while shooting a jaw dropping 63.3% from the floor and 52.9% from 3-point land. Might as well throw in the fact that he’s also shooting 90% from the charity stripe. This is absolutely ridiculous efficiency. It’ll be hard (impossible?) to sustain these numbers, but it’s clear that Jefferson is one of the best scorers in the league and should be taken very seriously. He’s the biggest player in this starting lineup and will need to provide more than the 3 rebounds per game that he’s currently chipping in once NESCAC play starts, but realistically he’s on track to secure another spot on the all-NESCAC team and possibly even an all-American team if the Mules stay hot.

Everything Else:

To be honest if I had written this preview at the very beginning of the season I absolutely would not have envisioned the Mules getting off to the start that they have. They had a successful year last year but this is not what anyone could have expected. At #12 in the country, Colby has already reached the highest national ranking in program history and they don’t seem to be slowing down. This team led the league in 3-point percentage and assists last year (and so far this year) and they score A LOT. This team employs 4/5 guards on the court at a time and their game plan is to run the floor and shoot you out of the gym. The fact that they don’t really have any big men means that this is essentially the only style that they can play, but they’re executing it to a T.

Perhaps one of the biggest reasons for the drastic improvement by the Mules is the fact that they have so much experience in their lineup. They only start one senior, but 7 of the 8 guys that they play in their regular rotation have played countless minutes and have spent years developing relationships with each other. Senior guards Alex Dorion ’20 and Ty Williams ’20 are two important pieces of the puzzle, as they know the system that Coach Strahorn has in place and they can be subbed in and out for the starters without the team skipping a beat. One of the most important players on the team is 5th year senior Dean Weiner ’20 who – aside from having a name straight out of a school-themed adult film – is the only big man on the roster and has a wealth of experience playing in the NESCAC. The Mules love to run up and down the court, but they’ll need an experienced big man to matchup with some of the best centers in the league such as Matt Karpowicz and Luke Rogers. That seems to be an area where Colby is most likely to get hurt, so Weiner will certainly have his work cut out for him.

There’s no question that this run-and-gun style offense is incredibly fun to watch, but it seems like the Mules’ lack of size could potentially hurt them once they start playing tougher, bigger teams. It also feels like there will come a game when the shots just aren’t falling and it’s hard to know what the recipe is in that instance, but right now we’re still just waiting for that to happen. Colby was a streaky team last year so the challenge this season is finding a bit more consistency. An 11-0 start looks great, but they have played an exceptionally easy schedule so far so it’s tough to know exactly where they stand. They have a stretch at the end of January and into February where they have 6 consecutive road games, 5 of which are NESCAC affairs. If they can get through that part of the season without more than a loss or two, this could be the year for the Colby Mules. 

Hello, 2018; Hello Awkwardly Early Awards Season Predictions

Happy New Year, NESCAC fans! With another year comes more excitement as basketball season heats up and conference play begins. Between some recent upsets (York over Middlebury 90-87 in OT; Hamline over Williams 73-71; Southeastern over Amherst 76-65) and a shocking injury (Kyle Scadlock’s torn ACL), 2017 finished out with some bad luck for our beloved conference. However, 2018 is an open book, and among the things we can look forward to are the races for Player of the Year (POY), Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY), and Rookie of the Year (ROY). Here are some of the early frontrunners for each major award:

POY:

Jack Daly
Jack Daly ’18 (Courtesy of Middlebury Athletics)

Middlebury G Jack Daly ’18: Middlebury is lucky to have such a stud as a replacement for Matt St. Amour ’17, and have seen incredible production thus far from the PG. Daly’s stat line reads 17.6 PPG, 9.0 REB/G, 8.3 A/G, and 2.0 STL/G. While he has slipped just below double digit averages in rebound and assists, the overall numbers are still ridiculous. Despite significant losses from the 2017 Midd team, the current Panthers team is deep at nearly every position, leaving no lack of talent surrounding Daly. He did struggle against York in their recent overtime loss, shooting just 6-16 FG and 2-7 3PT, although it represents merely a minor blemish in an otherwise dominant preseason.

Vincent Pace
Vincent Pace ’18 (Courtesy of Tufts Athletics)

Tufts G Vincent Pace ’18: Tufts should be thrilled to see such a resurgence from Pace, the current NESCAC leading scorer with 18.4 PPG. Like Daly, Pace is a guard who can play in the paint as he also averages 8.0 REB/G, hauling in 13 boards in the Jumbo’s most recent victory against Claremont Mudd-Scripps (71-63). Because of an injury in the 2016-2017 season, limiting him to just 21 games, his stat totals last season were a bit deflated. This year, his is outperforming his healthy sophomore season several categories (PPG, REB/G), although he is shooting at a lower clip (44.2 FG% vs. 49.3 FG%; 30.5 3PT% vs. 37.4 3PT%). This leaves room for improvement in what has already been a blistering start. At this point in the season, the POY battle looks like a two horse race, although Wesleyan G Jordan Bonner ’18 and is looming in third place and Hamilton G Kena Gilmour ’20 (pictured above) is also a contender despite his youth.

 DPOY:

Dean Weiner
Dean Weiner ’19 (Courtesy of Colby Athletics)

Colby F Dean Weiner ’19: The NESCAC’s leading rebounder comes from Colby College, a team lacking historical success, but off to a solid 7-3 start to the season. Weiner’s 9.4 REB/G and 2.8 BLK/G are the highest in the conference, surprising after averaging under seven minutes per contest in the first half of his college career. His increase to 21.8 minutes per game in 2017 has led to this breakout. In addition to his defensive accolades, he is also averaging a solid 10.3 PPG, irrelevant in relation to this award, but important in regard to his rapid development as a force to be reckoned with heading into the NESCAC season. He should remain the frontrunner for DPOY if he maintains his position at the top of the leaderboard in rebounds and blocks.

Matt Folger
Matt Folger ’18 is a DPOY candidate, but his moustache can’t get off the bench.

Middlebury F Matt Folger ’20: Folger is also a first year starter for Middlebury, although his potential was evident in his rookie campaign. The 6’8” sophomore has doubled his rebounding total from last season and is now averaging 8.4 REB/G along with 2.5 BLK/G and 1.1 STL/G. He is athletic, extremely lanky, and can shoot from deep—a deadly combination, especially considering the prowess of Middlebury’s aforementioned PG. His defensive numbers will likely continue with more minutes per game in closer contests and increased experience.

Kevin O'Brien
Kevin O’Brien (Courtesy of Wesleyan Athletics)

Wesleyan G Kevin O’Brien ’19: This selection is a little unusual in that the DPOY is usually a big man at the top of the blocks and rebounding leaderboard (like Weiner.) However,  O’Brien is an absolutely destructive perimeter defender. He leads the NESCAC in steals with 2.4 per game and uses his 6’5” frame to make an impact in the paint as well. In addition to his high steals total, he also hauls in 6.6 REB/G and blocks opponents 1.3 times per game, putting him in this conversation regardless of his turnover ability. Bowdoin F Hugh O’Neil could easily make a case for DPOY too, depending on how conference play pans out, but from the preseason results, these are the three frontrunners.

ROY:

Matt Hanna
Matt Hanna ’21 (Courtesy of Colby Athletics)

Colby G Matt Hanna ‘21: The first year trio of Ty Williams, Wallace Tucker, and Matt Hanna is making a huge impact for the Mules, contributing to their turnaround 7-3 record to start the year. Between the three, Hanna is leading the way, starting all 10 games and scoring 14.3 PPG. He is distributing the ball well too, averaging 2.9 A/G and also bringing down 3.3 REB/G. He has struggled the past two games, shooting under 30% from deep and under 40% from the field in each contest, but put up solid performances against both Bates and Bowdoin, opponents that he will not only see again, but ones who are comparable at least to some of the talent that should offer a more competitive defense against his shooting. While it is early, it is obvious that Colby has a bright future and some NESCAC potential in their young stars headed by Hanna.

Dan Draffan
Dan Draffan ’21 (Courtesy of Connecticut College Athletics)

Connecticut College F Dan Draffan ’21: Draffan is averaging a meaty 14.5 PPG for the Camels, shooting 42.9 3PT% and 52.0 FG%, also grabbing 5.9 REB/G and 1.1 BLK/G. He ranks second on the team behind David Labossiere in PPG, particularly impressive given that he has only started 5/11 games for Conn so far. His 20.0 minutes per game should increase drastically given his recent success. While he hasn’t started the past two games, he dropped 27 points and nine rebounds in just 16 minutes against CCNY on 12/28, making a strong case for future starts. The 6’7” 250 pound first year player should be a force to be reckoned with for his career and is keeping pace in the ROY award race.