Overview: The undefeated Hamilton College Continentals will travel to Middletown, CT, this Friday to face off with the 9-4 Wesleyan Cardinals. Hamilton comes into this game ranked sixth in the country, while the Cardinals are outside looking in. The Cardinals are 1-1 in conference play with a win against a tough Middlebury team, but a big loss against the undefeated Williams College Ephs. Like I said in my preview a month ago, Wesleyan is big, tough, and athletic. Losing a guy like Jordan Sears was a heavy blow for the Cardinals, but Wesleyan still maintains its strong defensive identity. Allowing on average 68.5 points per game, Wesleyan ranks fourth in the NESCAC. Wesleyan’s field goal percentage has plagued them thus far. The Cardinals have one of the worst shooting percentages in the league at 43.9%. Wesleyan is led offensively by sophomore superstar Austin Hutcherson. Hutcherson has followed up his Rookie of the Year campaign with a stellar sophomore season so far. His 20.1 points per game ranks third in the league, while trailing Hamilton’s Kena Gilmour who averages 20.6 points per game. The matchup between Hutcherson and Gilmour will be fun to watch.
Hamilton needs to look out for Jordan Bonner on Friday night.
Both players seem to score at will in a variety of methods whether it be in transition or in a half-court set. These guys bring length to the guard position: Hutcherson stands about 6’ 6”, and Gilmour is 6’ 4”. Gilmour’s game is well-rounded because he not only scores well, but he’s tough on opposing ball handlers and rebounds well. Senior Michael Grassey of Hamilton will be another tough matchup for the Cardinals. Grassey is one of the best rebounders on the squad average around seven boards per game. He plays a Draymond Green style of play with strength inside, but also shooting to stretch the floor.
Don’t be surprised if Coach Riley puts Jordan James on him. James is having a breakout season as well. The long 6’ 7” forward will contest every shot, and is strong on the boards. He has the athleticism to run the floor with Hutcherson to dish to. This game will be Wesleyan’s third tough challenge in as many weeks. Starting off the season against Williams, Middlebury, and Hamilton is a daunting start of the season. The team can’t be so unhappy with the results so far, but picking up a win against Hamilton would be huge. Hamilton barely squeaked past Trinity, who doesn’t have nearly the team Wesleyan does. Like last year, this matchup is sure to be a thriller.
We expect to see some athletic and high-flying plays in this game.
X-Factors: This one’s pretty easy. How could I not pick Hutcherson and Gilmour? Hutcherson affects the game in so many ways. Coming in as a freshman and making the incredible impact he did right away, you come to realize the quality of player he is. It doesn’t appear that he gets rattled over the moment. Even though he’s one of the most electrifying players coming down the court in transition, I like his maturity in the half-court offense even more. He’s a smart player who knows how to run an efficient offense.
Kena Gilmour ’20
To cap it off, Hutcherson is a ninety percent free throw shooter. With the game on the line, you trust Hutcherson with the ball. You can’t say that about many college players especially underclassmen. Kena Gilmour has made his case to be regarded as one of the best players in the country. He statistics tell the whole story with his prolific scoring and steals. He’s very similar to Hutcherson in that he’s a young guard whom you trust to run the offense efficiently. I’m excited to see the plans Coach Reilly and Coach Stockwell devise to stop the opponent’s superstar guards.
Austin Hutcherson ’21
Final Thoughts:
This game is Hamilton’s biggest test so far in the season, while it’s one of the final really tough opponents Wesleyan will face for a while. Hutcherson has picked up some of the slack that Krill’s graduation left, but I’m not entirely sure that’ll be enough to dethrone Hamilton. Hamilton is playing great basketball right now, and I’m not sure that Wesleyan has played to their potential yet. My heart will always be with Wesleyan, but for this game, Hamilton is too good to pick against.
Well, NESCAC fans, it’s been a fun season with a surprising amount of upsets, full of talented new faces and the continued dominance of veterans. We have one last ride together this season, and this preview should help cap it off. We still have some championship implications alive here as Trinity needs to beat Wesleyan on the road to secure their third straight NESCAC championship, and I’m sure that Mark Piccirillo won’t want to head off into the sunset of his football career on a low note. Expect some fireworks there. If Trinity loses and Amherst wins, then the Mammoths will retake the NESCAC crown, although they have no cake walk either with a game against a volatile Williams squad. I’m excited thinking about it and you should be too. Cold weather football is the best and it’s finally here.
Hamilton @ Bates 12:00
I can’t really imagine how deflating that loss to Bowdoin must’ve felt for Bates last week, but I would imagine it hurt. Bates officially lost its chances to retain part of the CBB for the first time in 5 years and were on the receiving end of Bowdoin’s first win in 24 tries. All they have left now is playing to avoid a winless season, but it doesn’t look like they have a quarterback to do it, losing their first two stringers and leaving WR/DB Kevin Claflin ‘19 to take snaps under center. Plus, it feels like the type of day where the good Kenny Gray ‘20 shows up for Hamilton. Look for the Continentals to end the season on a high, and the Bobcats on the lowest of lows.
Final Score: Hamilton 34, Bates 6
Trinity @ Wesleyan 12:00
The Bantams take their shot at a three-peat in Middletown on Saturday while the Cardinals look to play spoiler and pull off what feels like an improbable 6-3 season, coming off their big win over Williams. The Cardinals defense can play with anyone, but they’re going to get their money’s worth against this Trinity offense. The other problem too is that Wesleyan simply can’t hang in a shootout with Trin. QB Mark Piccirillo ‘19 was 9-17 for 151 yds and 1 TD against Williams and 75 of those yards came on one pass. Those numbers don’t equate to much success against this Trinity D. A dynasty will he cemented on Saturday.
Rivalry weekend in CT, so get ready.
Final Score: Trinity 38, Wesleyan 14
Williams @ Amherst
On paper this game seems like a forgone conclusion with Williams QB Bobby Maimaron ‘21 missing the Biggest Little Game in America with a knee injury. They haven’t had the offensive success they thought they’d have this year with Maimaron under center so why would QB Jackson Bischoping ‘22 have any luck against this fearsome Amherst defense? Well Bischoping in his brief time as Eph understudy has shown an uncanny ability to find WR Frank Stola ‘21, and this Williams defense is humming along lately as well as they have since they were fully healthy. Upset on the cards? Not quite, this Amherst team will just be better on Saturday, but this game has always been close lately and this one will be no different.
John Callahan is an under appreciated stud for the Amherst defense.
Final Score Amherst 24 Williams 20
Tufts @ Middlebury 12:30
Two teams without much to play for except bragging rights and being able to go out with a W. At this point we have no idea what Middlebury team is going to show up, and this Tufts team has done nothing but come to play every weekend, only dropping two respectable contests to the two best teams in the league, Amherst and Trinity (both away). QB Ryan McDonald ‘19 has been spectacular all year (as some of us said he would be) and still has an outside shot at winning Player of the Year, especially if they finish 7-2. Middlebury’s offense has never been able to replicate the rhythm they found in Williamstown, and Will Jernigan ‘21 has been the most inconsistent quarterback in the league not named Kenny Gray. Theoretically this could be a great game but in actuality Tufts has been better on both sides of the ball all season and it isn’t going to change Saturday.
Weekend 9 Game of the Week: Colby (2-6) vs Bowdoin (1-7)
It’s finally here folks, CBB championship weekend. NESCAC fans in Maine have been waiting all season for this game, the chance for one of their beloved teams to hoist a trophy. Bowdoin came out of nowhere last week to grab their first win in what seemed like decades and will hope to keep the magic alive when they take the bus ride up to Waterville this weekend. Colby fans will be brushing off last weekend’s brutal defeat and will get the chance to cheer their team on to what could be their first CBB ‘ship since 2005. Everything is on the line for both teams this weekend, its going to be 40 degrees and dumping rain, and if that doesn’t fire you up I don’t know what will.
Can Greg Olsen and the Bowdoin’s crew get it done this weekend?
Keys for Colby: Shutting Down the Passing Game Early
In both of Colby’s wins this season they allowed 125 yards or less in the air. It will be important for the Mules to establish a dominant pass defense against Bowdoin in order to deteriorate the confidence of QB Austin McCrum. McCrum is dead last in the league, allowing 16 interceptions through only 8 games. The Mules will need to take advantage of his inaccuracy and grab a few more pics this weekend. In a game as high stakes as this one, turnovers of any kind can be a huge momentum swing and with a home crowd in your favor it can be just the confidence boost they need. Colby needs to shut down the passing game early so they can focus their efforts on RB Nate Richam. When Richam is healthy he can terrorize defenses so through eliminating the effectiveness of the passing game Colby has a better chance of shutting him down.
Keys for Bowdoin:
Schwern is the Mules’ biggest offensive weapon.
Stopping Schwern
Despite being ineffective last weekend, Colby RB Jake Schwern has been known to tear defenses apart. It is more than likely that he will be handed the ball upwards of 25 times in the game and the Polar Bears will need to be on high alert. Bowdoin is second to last in the league, behind Colby, in rushing yards allowed per game at 236.4 yds/game. Schwern is second in the league in yards per game with just under 100. That is a dangerous combo that Bowdoin will need to address, and quickly. If Bowdoin is able to contain Schwern, which is not impossible, they will give their offense a chance on the field and a chance for a championship. Sure, Colby does have other offensive threats, but if I were in Coach Wells’ shoes, Schwern would be priority #1.
Colby X-Factor:
Matt Hersch ‘22
QB Matt Hersch ‘22
This Freshman has come out of nowhere to help Coach Cosgrove and the rest of the Mules establish a decently effective passing game, something the boys up in Waterville have been trying to get for years. Hersch has averaged a touchdown and 173 yards of passing in the 7 games that he has started for the Mules this year. If these numbers seem pretty average, that’s because they are, but not every game this season for Hersch has looked the same. In the last 2 weekends Hersch has thrown 0 touchdowns, 1 interception and has averaged a mere 68.5 yds/game. These are terrible numbers and if the Mules want to hoist a trophy Saturday night they’re going to need the Matt Hersch from weeks 4-6. In these 3 games Hersch threw for 5 touchdowns, 2 interceptions and averaged a whopping 259 yards per game. Also in this 3 week stretch was where Colby earned both of their wins. I haven’t taken geometry in quite some time but I can tell you that “Matt Hersch plays well therefore Colby wins” is a fairly true statement. This is a lot of pressure on a freshman playing in what must be the biggest game of his career, but Hersch will need to show up on Saturday so that him and the rest of the Mules can celebrate Saturday night.
Bowdoin X-Factor:
Nate Richam ‘20
RB Nate Richam ‘20
Richam has a small sample size of statistics after sitting out 4 straight weeks with injury, but he has returned at the right time for the Polar Bears because when he is on the field he is by far the most effective part of their offense. In the 4 games he has played this season he has 4 touchdowns and averages 131.5 yards per game, just less than NESCAC leader Max Chipouras. Richam was essentially the reason that Bowdoin was able to take last weekend’s game from Bates. His two touchdowns were essential to their win and his mere presence took some of the focus off of his teammates, who were therefore able to perform better. Richam’s biggest game to date was week 2 against Midd where he racked up an insane 288 rushing yards. Bowdoin is going to need a historic performance such as that one to pull of an away win to take the CBB. All eyes are going to be on Richam when Bowdoin’s offense is on the field and he is not only going to have to deal with that pressure, but embrace it.
Everything Else:
It’ll be a gritty game in some crazy weather.
The Bates Bobcats have been running the show in the CBB for the last half decade. They have won the last 5 CBB titles but finally this year it is time to crown a new champion. Both of these teams are hungry for a trophy, which should make for an exciting matchup. Coach Cosgrove will have the opportunity to make a statement in his first year with the Mules, winning a CBB ‘ship for the first time in 13 years. Both offenses have been consistently inconsistent. For the Mules it seems as if they decide to show up one weekend and not the next. If there is any weekend in which the need Matt Hersch and Jake Schwern to prove themselves, this is the one. The stage is perfectly set for them, they’re at home, in the final game of the season, in front of a crowd of fans that wants nothing more than an excuse to go wild. For the Polar Bears they come into this contest to grab a CBB victory out of nowhere. I underestimated this Bowdoin team last weekend, predicting that the Bobcats would take them down fairly easily. This weekend they will be able to complete a miraculous comeback from a clearly last place team to a team that can lift a trophy after it’s all said and done. Tensions and emotions will run high this weekend in what has all the makings of a can’t-miss game.
Week 8 brought us some of the most excitement we’ve had this season with Trinity defeating Amherst in the quasi-championship game, Wesleyan taking down Williams, and Bowdoin getting their first win since 2015. Unfortunately, Trinity looks like they’re going to take home the crown again. Although I’m not sure that Amherst winning would have been that much better. Either way it was an exciting week, so take a look at where everyone falls heading into the final games of the season:
(2) 1. Trinity (7-1)
You don’t want to miss an opportunity to see this guy
Here we are again. The Bantams find themselves in the driver’s seat for the league championship after taking down Amherst, 27-16. QB Seamus Lambert ’22 had a fine game under center, but the story of this game was the effort by RB Max Chipouras ’19. The (soon to be) four-time all-NESCAC honoree carried the ball 24 times for 203 yards and 2 touchdowns. This performance also came against a defense that was holding opponents to fewer than 70 rushing yards per game, which was the best in the league. What an effort. If Trinity can put away Wesleyan in their final game, Chipouras will finish his career with 3 NESCAC championships (with one runner-up) and 4 all-NESCAC appearances (3 first team), while simultaneously becoming the conference’s all-time leader with 40 (and counting) rushing touchdowns, shattering the previous record of 27. He also currently has 3,565 career rushing yards, just 263 behind Evan Bunker (Trinity ’14) for the all-time NESCAC record. Needless to say, this kid is pretty special. I would highly suggest tuning in to their matchup with Wesleyan this weekend for one last chance to see one of the most decorated players in NESCAC football history before it’s too late.
(1) 2. Amherst (7-1)
The Mammoths are surely disappointed after their first loss that will likely prevent them from taking home the championship, but this one didn’t come down to one play or one drive. Don’t get me wrong it was a tight game the whole way, but Trinity was simply the better team on Saturday. RB Jack Hickey ’19 wasn’t able to match the performance of his counterpart on the other sideline as he rushed 14 times for a mere 54 yards. Due to the lack of a run game, QB Ollie Eberth ’20 had to attempt a season-high 35 passes and only completed 17 of them. WR Bo Berluti ’19 caught 9 of these passes for 142 yards and added another 23 yards on two carries, but he accounted for about half of Amherst’s offense. It’s not that they couldn’t move the ball up the field, it’s that they couldn’t finish drives. A few costly turnovers in Bantam territory ended up really hurting them, and the defense that we’ve raved about for weeks wasn’t able to force a turnover of their own. Amherst is still in a great position to win the Little Three when they take on Williams this weekend, and if Wesleyan pulls off the upset against Trinity, they have a chance to be crowned champions.
(3) 3. Tufts (6-2)
Tufts put together a very impressive effort against Colby in Week 8. The Mules aren’t the most talented team, but they had won two in a row and were looking like they were putting things together. QB Ryan McDonald ’19 was a very efficient 19 of 23 or 223 yards and 2 touchdowns, and the team rushed for total of 265 yards. Scoring 48 points is a very legit performance, but the defense may have actually had the more impressive feat. Shutouts in football are few and far between, and Colby’s offense had been on the rise in recent weeks. LB Greg Holt ’20 continued his impressive junior campaign by adding a team-high 8 tackles (7 solo) and lineman Nmesoma Nwafor snagged the team’s lone interception. After a few bumps in the road this unit has hit their stride again, giving the Jumbos a good chance to finish off their strong season on a positive note. They’ll head to Vermont to take on a solid Middlebury squad in Week 9.
(5) 4. Wesleyan (5-3)
It’s been an up and down year, but Mark Piccirillo ’19 finds his team in a decent position heading into Week 9
The Cardinals took home potentially their biggest win of the season in a really ugly game against Williams. Neither team eclipsed 300 yards of total offense, and Wesleyan QB Mark Piccirillo ’19 (who we’ve given a lot of praise over the years) only threw for 151 yards on 9 completions. With an even closer look you’ll see that 75 of those passing yards came on one touchdown pass early in the 4th quarter. Take out this pass and Piccirillo was 8-16 for 76 yards. Yikes. The good thing for Coach DiCenzo’s team is that wins come in all shapes and sizes so while this one may not have been pretty, it still counts the same in the standings. It also ensures that Williams will have to wait at least one more year to have a shot at a Little Three championship, which has to make Cardinal fans happy. Wesleyan could potentially make things really interesting if they were able to defeat Trinity in their final game, but do they want to give rival Amherst a chance at a NESCAC title? I have to believe there’s a moral dilemma going on in Middletown right now…
(6) 5. Middlebury (5-3)
I had no idea what Middlebury was going to bring against Hamilton given how hot and cold they’ve been over the course of the year, but the result pretty much ended up how we probably would have expected. The offense looked very well rounded and despite throwing 2 picks, QB Will Jernigan had one of his best games as the starting signal-caller, completing 21 of 36 passes for 246 yards and 4 touchdowns. Linebacker Pete Huggins ’21 and defensive end Ian Blow ’19 had big games for the Panthers, pacing the team with 7 and 6 tackles respectively while each adding an interception. Hamilton relies heavily on the arm of Kenny Gray and Middlebury has struggled a bit against the pass this year, so the fact that the Panther secondary held him to 19-40 for 180 yards is a promising sign. Facing Ryan McDonald in Week 9 will be an even more challenging task, so it’s good news for Midd fans that they’re trending in the right direction. A win over Tufts could potentially put the Panthers in third place to end the season.
(4) 6. Williams (5-3)
It’s been a bit of a fall from grace for the Ephs who at one point were 4-0, had beaten Trinity, and even found themselves at the top of our power rankings. Since then they’ve gone 1-3 with losses to Middlebury, Tufts, and now Wesleyan. I know these are good teams that they lost to, but if you beat Trinity then the expectations are going to be a little bit higher. To make matters even worse, Williams suffered the loss of starting QB Bobby Maimaron ’21 who went down with an injury. Jackson Bischoping ’22 did a decent job, but Maimaron is a very tough guy to replace. WR Frank Stola ’21 had a big game, snagging 9 passes for 129 yards and 2 touchdowns, accounting for nearly half of the team’s total offense. We talk a lot about how good TJ Rothmann is and rightfully so, but LB Jarrett Wesner ’21 is quietly putting together a potential all-NESCAC season, leading the team and sitting at 4th in the conference with 64 total tackles, including 5 for a loss. He’s been a stud for a unit that is going to continue to develop and get better with all the youth they have. Williams will try to take down Amherst for the second straight year in the 2018 Biggest Little Game.
(8) 7. Hamilton (2-6)
Well here we are at the end of the season saying the same thing we pretty much always say about Hamilton. They’re not quite good enough to compete with the top teams, but they’re a little better than the worst teams. Granted they lost to Colby this year, but they also beat Wesleyan so we’ll call it a wash. QB Kenny Gray ’20 isn’t having the year that I thought he would have and because they rely so heavily on him, the whole offense has suffered. RB Joe Park ’22 has found a role as the lead runner out of the backfield despite Mitch Bierman ’21 being initially in line for the job. They played a decent game against Middlebury and only trailed by 4 at halftime, but they just aren’t quite ready to really compete with the best teams in the league. They have a very favorable matchup against a Bates team that is not trending in the right direction for the last game of the season, so a 3-6 finish is definitely within reach.
(7) 8. Colby (2-6)
I know, Colby and Hamilton have the same record and the Mules won the head-to-head matchup, so how could they possibly be ranked lower? A 48-0 loss to Tufts is how. Colby played a terrible game against the Jumbos and paid the full price. Their defense had absolutely no success against Ryan McDonald and Matt Hersch had his worst game under center since he became the starter. RB Jake Schwern ’19 couldn’t really get anything going to follow his outstanding performance last week against Bates, so it really was an all-around disappointing effort for the Mules. They’ll take on Bowdoin in their final game for a chance to bring home their first CBB title since 2005.
(10) 9. Bowdoin (1-7)
Bowdoin fans celebrate the end of the 24-game losing streak
The Polar Bears finally grabbed their first win in almost 3 calendar years with a 31-14 victory over Bates. It wasn’t very pretty, but behind the strong effort of RB Nate Richam ’20 who finally returned from injury they were able to get it done. Richam ran for 130 yards on 32 carries and found the end zone twice and basically ran the entire offense because QB Austin McCrum ’20 only threw for 93 yards and added two interceptions. The defense actually looked pretty solid for once, albeit against Bates’ second and third string quarterbacks. The Polar Bears have every reason to be excited now given that they, too, have a chance to win their first CBB championship since 2010. They’ll make the short trip up to Waterville on Saturday to try to get things done.
(9) 10. Bates (0-8)
It has been a nightmarish end of the season for the Bobcats. They lost starting quarterback Brendan Costa ’21 to injury against Colby, and backup quarterback Jack Bryant ’22 left the game with an apparent concussion in the third quarter after getting hit with a brutal cheap shot by a Bowdoin defender. Since they only had two quarterbacks on the roster, this left them with WR/DB Kevin Claflin ’19 under center and he understandably struggled to mesh with the offense. Really the only highlight for the Bobcats was that safeties Anthony Costa ’21 and Jon Lindgren ’20 continued their stellar seasons in the secondary, each of them with 7 tackles and Costa adding an interception. It doesn’t look good heading into the final weekend for Bates, but they’ll hope to make something crazy happen when Hamilton comes to town.
Last weekend’s quarterfinal matchups saw each of the top four seeds secure berths to the next round, setting up what should be yet another entertaining weekend of postseason fútbol. I feel pretty confident predicting Williams, Middlebury, Amherst and Tufts will earn NCAA Tournament spots; the first three teams are ranked #2, #6 and #15 (respectively) in the Top 25 rankings, and Tufts checks in as the #5 team in the New England Regional Rankings. A NESCAC Championship certainly wouldn’t hurt to add to any of these team’s respective résumés come seeding time, and it’s fair to say all four of the contenders will fancy their chances to snag the coveted trophy. Without further ado, let’s give our final four a proper introduction.
Saturday, November 3rd (Semifinal #1 @ Williamstown, Mass): #1 Williams vs. #4 Tufts
How did they get here:
#1 Williams secured their fifth straight regular season title with a 1-0 win against Middlebury. There was no letdown with these ladies, as they dispatched #8 Colby in the quarterfinals relatively easily by a tune of 3-1. The Ephs outshot the Mules 27-4, as three different players found the net. Georgia Lord ‘21 got things started early in the 9th minute, and Sarah Scire ‘20 doubled Williams’ lead shortly afterwards. Nkem Iregbulem’s ‘20 long range missile all but sealed the deal, ensuring the Ephs would advance to the semifinals.
I’ll admit, I had the Jumbos pegged for a potential upset given how they finished the regular season. Back-to-back losses, including the most recent one to Bowdoin, indicated that maybe this Tufts team could be headed for an early exit. A matchup with Wesleyan proved to be the perfect remedy for a squad who needed to iron out their kinks, and fast. Sunday’s 2-0 win was essentially a carbon copy of their regular season meeting; the Jumbos scored a goal in each half (this time thanks to Liz Reed ‘21), and limited Wesleyan to a mere three shot attempts. That’s the kind of dominating performance a mid-seeded team needs in order to gain confidence heading into a matchup with arguably the best team in the entire country.
Williams X-Factor: F Sydney Jones ‘21
Sydney Jones ‘21
Jones started the season on a tear, scoring six goals in Williams’s first six games; however, she’s gone on a cold streak since then, tallying just three goals in her last twelve matches.
Jones did score the lone goal in Williams’s 1-0 victory in Medford a few weeks prior and will look to break through once again against a defense that just stifled Wesleyan, who finished fourth in the ‘CAC in goals scored.
Tufts X-Factor(s): F Sophie Lloyd ‘21 and F Liz Reed ‘21
Sophie Lloyd ‘21
Liz Reed ‘21
Both of these ladies deserve praise for the work they’ve done this season. Tufts’s offense would struggle mightily if it wasn’t for them, as the two have combined to score nearly half of the Jumbo’s conference goals. In this instance, one of them playing well will not be suffice enough to defeat Williams. Lloyd and Reed will both have to create multiple scoring chances in order for Tufts to spring the upset.
Preview and Prediction
2006. That’s the last time the Jumbos defeated the Ephs. Since then, Williams has won every single matchup sans a 0-0 tie in 2010. Throw in a few postseason encounters, and you get thirteen losses in fourteen games. Last season, the Jumbos were oh-so-close to getting the monkey of their backs, but fell in a heartbreaker to Williams in the NESCAC Championship, conceding the game-tying goal in the 81st minute and the winner in the 94th.
Both teams employ a defense-first style, frustrating opposing coaches with suffocating ball pressure; however, the offense, at times, can disappear. This is especially true for Tufts, who scored a mere eleven goals in their ten conference games and had the third-worst shooting percentage during the regular season. One glimmer for hope, however, is that when Tufts does score, it’s a collective effort. Although Lloyd and Reed are usually the main contributors, the Jumbos have generated a second-best 10 assists on conference goals season, and this type of ball movement will be crucial in order to break down the best defense in the NESCAC.
Usually I like revenge spots, but there’s just no way I can go against the Ephs. Talent-wise, they’re head and shoulders above the Jumbos, and William’s impenetrable back line has given up just four goals in conference play. Sure Colby found the net this past weekend, but the Ephs already had that game well in hand. Olivia Barnhill ‘19 is the best goalkeeper in the league, and I’m banking on the senior having yet another superb game. With home-field advantage for the regular season champions, I like Williams to win convincingly. Unfortunately for the Jumbos, the streak lives on.
Prediction: Williams 2-0 Tufts
Saturday, November 3rd (Semifinal #2 @ Williamstown, Mass): #2 Middlebury vs. #3 Amherst
How did they get here:
On Saturday’s lone fixture, 2nd-seeded Middlebury defeated the 7th-seeded Polar Bears 1-0. They say the final score is all that matters, but the stats indicate some concerns for this Panther squad. After Eliza Robertson ‘21 scored the game’s lone goal in the 19th minute, the Polar Bears proceeded to dominate the ball, desperately looking for an equalizer. Eva Shaw ‘20 recorded a career high 10 saves, bailing out the Panther defense time and time again. Bowdoin ended up outshooting the Panthers 19-10; maybe the Panthers were looking ahead, but if they replicate this performance on Saturday, the team will board their bus back to Vermont earlier than previously anticipated.
The Mammoths also endured a tight contest with 6th-seeded Hamilton, holding on for a 1-0 victory. Goal-scoring machine Rubii Tamen ‘19 scored for the fourth consecutive game, and Antonia Tammaro ‘21 made a spectacular save in the second half to preserve the shutout. The Mammoth defense has bounced back nicely since allowing a season-high three goals to Wesleyan, producing back-to-back shutouts. Granted, Trinity and Hamilton don’t even come close to Middlebury in terms of offensive productivity, but it’s surely a positive sign as we trek deeper into postseason play.
Middlebury X-Factor: F Eliza Van Voorhis ‘21
Eliza Van Voorhis ‘21
On a team loaded with offensive talent, Van Voorhis might be the best of the bunch. She leads the Panthers in goals and SOG, and Middlebury is undefeated this season when Van Voorhis finds the back of the net. She disappeared in last weekend’s quarterfinal against Bowdoin (0 SOG), and the Panthers will need Van Voorhis to, at the very least, be more involved in the flow of the game in order to move past Amherst. I expect a bounce back performance from the rising star.
Amherst X-Factor: GK Antonia Tammaro ‘21
Antonia Tammaro ‘21
Tammaro took over the starting keeper role after Amherst’s 3-1 loss to Middlebury, and she hasn’t looked back. Tammaro is just behind Barnhill in both save percentage and goals allowed per game. She had one hiccup in a 3-2 loss to Wesleyan, but has since responded well, making a combined 10 saves in their past two victories. It’s a tall task for any goalkeeper to keep the Panthers from finding the back of the net more than once, but if Tammaro can limit the Panthers to, at worst, a single goal, then she’ll give her offense a very good chance of springing the mini upset.
Preview and Prediction:
When these two met back in September, the score (3-1 Middlebury) did not indicate how close the game really was. The Mammoths actually held a slight shot advantage of 19-18, parlayed with a significant edge in corners (7-2). Moreover, Amherst was in the middle of a goalie conundrum as the former starter, Erica Sanders ‘20, conceded all three goals in 70 minutes of play. Amherst is a tough matchup for the Panthers; Tamen and the rest of the offense certainly have the capability to trade offensive blows with Middlebury. On the flip side, Amherst has proven it can irritate opposing offenses with a solid back line.
I’ve made it a point to make the Middlebury offense a focal point of the article, and for good reason: they’re the only NESCAC team averaging over two goals per game, and have assisted on 18 of their 25 conference goals. It’s a well-oiled machine that, when functioning up to their capability, is nearly impossible to play catch-up with. The Panthers didn’t earn the #2 seed based solely on their offensive skills, however; they sneakily have the second-best defense in the ‘CAC. Ursula Alwang ‘20 is an extremely talented goalkeeper in her own right, and had a spectacular performance against Amherst in their prior matchup, recording eight saves. However, she has not played in the past four games, with Eva Shaw stepping up in her absence.
The Panther offense has been quiet in their past two games, and they’re due for an explosion. Amherst will make some noise early, but Middlebury will tighten up when they need to. Then, that potent offense will take over and propel this team to victory, setting up a date with Williams.
Prediction:Middlebury 3-2 Amherst
We’re not done yet folks!
There’s still a championship game to be played following the completion of the semifinal matches. Thus, we’re giving readers a two-for-one special and providing a brief championship prediction. Hopefully I correctly predicted the two finalists or else this will blow up in my face.
Sunday, November 4th (@ Williamstown, Mass): #1 Williams vs. #2 Middlebury
This is the rematch NESCAC followers want; a titanic battle between the top two heavyweights of the league. A few weeks prior, Williams and Middlebury faced off in the regular season finale to decide who would claim the regular season title. It was Williams who prevailed on their home soil, stymying the Middlebury attack en route to a 1-0 victory. The Panthers outplayed the Ephs, holding an edge in shots (9-4). The lone goal was scored off a beautiful free kick from Aspen Pierson ‘21, bending the ball around the wall and past Shaw.
Having the best defense in the league certainly helps when you’re trying to contain the NESCAC’s best offense. The great Bear Bryant once said “defense wins championships”; I beg to differ for the sake of this article. The Panthers know they’re the better team, and once they skate by Amherst, they’ll be licking their chops at the opportunity to dethrone Williams on their own soil.
Moreover, Williams lost in the NESCAC tournament in 2014, won it all in 2015, lost in 2016, and won it again in 2017. This pattern of results is screaming for me to pick Middlebury, so I can’t just buck the trend now.
Midd wasn’t expected to roll into Hartford and beat Trinity, but losing 48-0 was not a good showing for the program. Only 73 yards of offense? How does that even happen? I know Trinity is a really good team but an over .500 team like MIddlebury should have at least put up some sort of fight. Along with their non-existent offense the Panthers also surrendered over 500 yards of offense to Trinity, showing that they didn’t have it together on either front. Midd needs to be careful this weekend against a Hamilton team that has shown that they can steal a win against a better opponent. A 5-3 record looks much better than 4-4 heading into the final week of the season so Midd will need to have a short memory and bring their A game, or even their B game honestly, in order to take down this Continental squad.
The Panthers need their offensive weapons to put up some numbers this weekend.
Hamilton had a pretty decent showing against a very good Williams team last weekend in their 27-17 loss. QB Kenny Gray continued to be a consistent piece for the Continentals, racking up 2 TDs and 256 yards of total offense. What I forgot to mention about Gray though is that he got picked off 4 times. When you give the ball away as freely as he did last weekend, it’s essentially an automatic loss. It is more than obvious at this point in the season that Hamilton relies heavily, and perhaps too heavily, on Gray’s arm for their offense. Their running game is lackluster and it more often than not is Gray leading the team in rushes with less than 50 yards. This one dimensional offense can cause problems for Hamilton as other teams are well aware that their is not much of a threat on the ground and can therefore focus on pass defense. The defense has a solid game, picking off QB Bobby Mamarion once and recovering a fumble, but it wasn’t quite enough to keep their offence in the game. One thing that the Continentals should keep in mind is after being thrashed last weekend Midd’s spirits may be low and Hamilton could try and take advantage of this out of the gate and come guns blazing at them. This is a winnable game for Hamilton but certainly not guaranteed.
Score Prediction: Midd 27 Hamilton 21
Colby (2-5) @ Tufts (5-2)
The Colby Mules have won two games in a row since who knows when. Coach Cosgrove really seems to be doing the best with what was given to him in his first year in charge and is oh so close to capturing the CBB title that hasn’t been in Waterville for quite a few years. The Mules were able to beat Bates last weekend with ease, jumping out to a 21-6 halftime lead and maintaining that score until the end of the 4th quarter. Against Bates they didn’t have an offense, they had Jake Schwern. Schwern ran for 226 yards and all 3 of Colby’s TDs, earning his NESCAC Offensive Player of the Week honors. On a cold, slippery, snowy day it was tough for freshman QB Matt Hersch to get anything going in the air so they elected to force feed Schwern the ball and it payed off. Defensively they clearly overmatched Bates, one Brendan Costa TD run being their only blemish. While they were easily able to the down the Bobcats, the Jumbos are a completely different ballgame. Schwern has proved much less effective against better NESCAC teams so I would be surprised to see him get anywhere near his numbers last weekend. The best chance the Mules have is to hope for nicer weather and hope that QB Matt Hersch can solidify his name in Rookie of the Year talks by orchestrating the upset of the season.
Tufts had their chance last weekend to remain in title contention in their game against Amherst but nearly missed out in their 19-13 loss. Amherst seemed to be a step ahead all game, just has they’ve been a step ahead of the league this entire season. QB Ryan McDonald’s 2 interceptions played a crucial part in how the Jumbos were quite able to keep up with Amherst. When you’re playing an undefeated team with unmatched confidence, giving away the ball will kill you. Tufts relied heavily on McDonald but he was only able to throw for 137 yards on 34 attempts. It was going to be a tough matchup for the Jumbos no matter what, nobody has dethroned Amherst yet and Tufts just didn’t have what it takes to effectively break down Amherst’s defense. Defensively Tufts fared pretty well, allowing Amherst less than 300 yards of total offense. It’s a harsh reality for Jumbo fans but Amherst was simply a better team than Tufts and deserved to take home the win last weekend. What matters now is going forwards and trying to become the best of the rest. After playing the Mammoths last weekend Colby will be a welcomed foe in Medford. This should be a fairly easy win for the Jumbos barring some serious mental errors and lack of concentration.
Score Prediction: Tufts 30 Colby 13
Wesleyan (4-3) @ Williams (5-2)
Wesleyan didn’t even break a sweat last weekend, taking down the still winless Bowdoin 24-0. It should’ve been an easy victory for the Cardinals and it was. QB Mark Piccirillo threw for 2 of Wesleyan’s TDs while RB Glen Smith has a day of it, going for over 100 yards and snagging a TD of his own. This game was another example of one opponent out classing the other out of the gate. It seemed as if Bowdoin never had a shot a winning from the kickoff. The Cardinal defense held the Polar Bears to exactly 100 yards of total offense, making getting into Wesleyan territory an accomplishment. Although Wesleyan was able to take care of Bowdoin with ease, Williams will almost certainly be a much more interesting contest. Wesleyan has a chance to surpass Williams in the standing this weekend if they play their cards (pun intended) right.
Time for Piccirillo to show us what he’s made of.
Williams took the long trek to Clinton last weekend and came back home with a dub. QB Bobby Mamarion had a solid overall game, tossing 2 much needed TDs for the Mammoths. RB Cartel Begel piled on with over 100 yards and a TD of his own to put an exclamation point on the game. This was a game that Williams should have, could have and did win. Their defense managed to pick off Hamilton QB Kenny Gray not once, not twice, not three times but four times! Luke Apuzzi was able to snag 2 of those interceptions which swung the momentum very favorable for the Ephs. K Andrew Schreibs was knocking down his extra point attempts as well as his 2 field goals with ease, which actually managed to make a solid difference in the contest. It was a huge team effort overall by the Ephs and the will need that again this weekend as the face a potentially underrated Wesleyan team.
Score Prediction: Williams 24 Wesleyan 21
Bates (0-7) @ Bowdoin (0-7)
The Bobcats may have been hyped for their snowy home game (https://twitter.com/Bates_Football/status/1056228141037948928) but they are yet to find the win column.
It’s CBB time once again. You have to love the CBB, it’s the only contest where you can lose almost 80% of your games and still have the chance to take home a trophy. That is what the Bobcats will do this weekend as they head into Brunswick to face Bowdoin. The biggest story of the game last weekend for Bates was the exit of their QB, Alex Costa, due to injury. Costa has been the biggest piece, arguably the only piece, of offense that Bates has had this season. With Costa I would say that Bates should have no business losing to Bowdoin but now it is anyone’s ballgame. QB Jack Bryant took over for Costa after he left but was a non-factor as both teams were just running the ball up the gut the entire game. If the weather favors a little better this weekend and the passing game comes more into play, Bryant will need to show that he is an equally effective distributor to Costa and keep Bate’s CBB hopes alive for another week.
Bowdoin’s season had been bad. Their offense and defense both rank last in many major categories and they have not showed signs of improvement throughout the year. Golden arm QB Austin McCrum has done essentially nothing since joining the Polar Bears and had another lackluster game last weekend, racking up only 80 yards and a pick. That being said, this is Bowdoin’s opportunity to right the ship. A win against Bates will be all the momentum they need to carry into the next weekend against Colby to potentially steal a CBB ‘ship out of absolutely nowhere. Now do I think that they can actually do this or is this just a description of die hard Polar Bear fans’ dreams, you tell me. It all starts and could potentially end this weekend for the Polar Bears so why not throw it all out on the line and try some new things. I’m not, and never will be, a football coach but I can tell you that business as usual has not and will not work for Bowdoin.
Week 8 Game of the Week Preview: Amherst @ Trinity—This is It
For the second year in a row, Trinity and Amherst will meet in the penultimate game of the week to determine the league champion. Amherst, with a win, will clinch the NESCAC championship with one game to play, while a Trinity win will put them in the driver’s seat and means they just need to beat Wesleyan in Week 9. In a league with very crowded standings and unbalanced scheduling, this is as close as it gets.
And from a football standpoint, this game is also going to be as close as it gets. Amherst and its league-leading defense (8.6 points allowed per game) will be tasked with stopping Trinity and its league-leading offense (41.1 points scored per game). Trinity might just be the underdog this game, and who can remember the last time they were underdogs in Hartford? The crowd is going to be rowdy and this game should be a thriller. Let’s get into it.
Keys for Amherst: Rushing Attack
Jack Hickey has had a solid season to this point but needs to jump start the Amherst offense in Hartford.
It’s no secret that Amherst’s 7-0 record have been built on its defense. Their defense has allowed them to keep the risks to a minimum on a conservative offensive gameplan. QB Ollie Eberth ’20 is only 8th in the league amongst all QBs who have started every game with 22.5 passing attempts a game, and the only QB who is yet to a throw an interception. They need to keep up with Trinity and their offense to let Eberth continue to play his style and the way they’ll do that will be through the RB tandem of Biafra Okoronkwo ’21 and Jack Hickey ’19. The duo are 4th and 8th in the league in rushing, and the biggest reason why the Mammoths as a team rank 2nd in ground game. A large reason this has been a tandem effort, however, is because Hickey missed 3 games in the middle of the season that allowed Okoronkwo to breakout. He returned last week against Tufts and carried the ball 20 times for 89 yards and a score, while Okoronkwo only logged nine, but this coaching staff clearly has faith in both. Whatever combination they use is going to need to get it done.
Keys for Trinity: Aggression and Playing Ahead
For the Bantams, this needs to be just another game from an offensive standpoint. Yes this Amherst defense is the talk of the town, but they should be just as worried about Trinity’s offense. Trinity’s only loss came in Week 3 at Williams, when the Ephs held them to a season-low 16 points and season-low 436 yards of offense (not a typo). In that game, the Bants fell down 21-9 halfway through the 3rd quarter and didn’t score again until a defensive breakdown with 1:31 left for a Koby Schofer ’20 63 yard touchdown catch. The reason for this drought is that Trinity abandoned the passing game in favor of throwing up prayers to their deep threat duo of Schofer and WR Jonathan Girard ’21, completing neglecting All-League RB Max Chipouras ’19. Yes they have changed quarterbacks since that game and yes they’ve been outstanding since, but they need to strike the right balance in their run-pass play calling, and they’d be better off scoring early (duh).
Amherst X-Factor:
Andrew Yamin ’19
LB/DE Andrew Yamin ‘19
No need to get cute here. Biggest game of the season, maybe the biggest game of your career? Need your best players to show up, and for Amherst that is LB/DE Andrew Yamin ’19. The reigning Defensive Player of the Year looks determined to repeat, leading the league in both sacks (7.5) and tackles for loss (13.5). He’s going to have his hands full with this offense, most specifically QB Seamus Lambert ’22 and RB Max Chipouras ’19. The best way to stop a passing attack is to not let them throw the ball, and the best way for Amherst to do that is for Yamin to add on to his 7.5 sacks in this game. He’s going to be called upon in a lot of different ways to stop this offense on all fronts, but if anyone can do it, it’s going to be Yamin. If he’s not all over the box score, it’s not a good sign.
Trinity X-Factor:
Seamus Lambert ’22
QB Seamus Lambert ‘22
I know Lambert played in plenty of big games at his high school alma mater, Brooks, chasing ISL conference and NEPSAC titles, but this is a different challenge altogether. Picking the QB as X-Factor is super lame, I get it, and my apologies to all of the talented Trinity guys who will no doubt contribute on Saturday, but every single eye in the league will be on the rookie signal caller in Hartford. Lambert has appeared out of nowhere essentially—I can’t remember anyone making such a splash in their freshman year, especially not in the middle of the season. Despite his predecessor QB Jordan Vazzano ’21 leading them to a 4-1 start with plenty of firepower, Lambert was thrown into the starting lineup following the biggest win of their season against Tufts, presumably for accuracy issues. All Lambert has done in his two games as starter is go a combined 31-40, 459 yards, 7 touchdowns and 1 interception, while also adding 131 yards with his feet, leading his team to 98 combined points in 2 games. Now you may say the 48 points against Bowdoin isn’t too impressive, but the 48 against Middlebury certainly is. The bottom line is, we’re about to find out what Seamus Lambert is made of. If he comes out throwing flames again? Well it might be back-to-back-to-back for Trinity.
Everything Else:
The unstoppable force vs. the immovable object. Trinity’s offense vs. Amherst’s defense. But did you know that Trinity’s defense actually leads the league in yards allowed with just 204.9 yards a game, against a slightly stronger schedule? Because they do. This insane Trinity offense has completely overshadowed just how great their defense has been, a defense that has only allowed 10.6 points a game, just 3 more than this vaunted Amherst D. But that for all we hear about this Amherst defense, and that QB Ollie Eberth is just a game manager, Amherst is third in the league with 26.9 points a game, third in the league, more than Williams and Tufts, and second in the league in yards with 391.1 a game? There’s a lot that we don’t realize about these teams. This game doesn’t have to be played in the teens for Amherst to win or played in the 30s for Trinity to win. There are so many different outcomes here and that is what makes it so compelling.
This should make you think that the Bantams are in control, even when they’re not.
But with that being said, it’s hard to overlook what the numbers are telling us. Trinity is outscoring its opponents by 30 points a game. In a league where we really only get to base opinions and rankings of the top teams off of style, no stat speaks louder than that. Their defense is essentially as good as Amherst’s, and their offense is on a different level. Between Lambert, Chipouras, Schofer, and Girard, you have the league’s top rusher, the two top receivers, and the QB who would probably be the top passer if he had started since day 1—and they might both have been 7-0 if that was the case. Amherst is really good, but I think Trinity just has too much talent. And the game is at Trinity, where the last two NESCAC championships reside? It’s looking like a three peat.
Week 5 Game of the Week — Tufts @ Trinity, 1:30 PM Saturday, October 13th
Overview:
Trinity stays at home this week to try to keep their championship aspirations alive. After losing to Williams in week three, they are one loss away from irrelevance. They stayed alive last weekend, easily blowing through Hamilton (44-7), who beat Wesleyan in the week prior. While the Jumbos also blew through Hamilton in week one (29-2), their game against Wesleyan has been their toughest contest of 2018. Tufts was also played tightly by Bates for three quarters in week three before pulling away for a 47-14 victory. Trinity has looked human and beatable in recent contests, but they have the talent to give undefeated Tufts a run for its money and will not go down easily in their own house with their season on the line.
Key for Trinity: Rush Defense
While the Bantam offense faltered against the Ephs in their loss, their defense was aces all day. They held each of the Eph rushers to under 3.4 yards per carry, which is impressive considering QB Bobby Maimaron is averaging almost a yard per carry more in his other three games and has rushed for six TDs on the season too. If Trinity can keep QB Ryan McDonald and RBs Mike Pedrini and Dom Borelli out of the end zone on the ground it could be a slow day for the Jumbo offense.
Key for Tufts: Secondary and Linebackers
Greg Holt should be ready to go this weekend.
Against Wesleyan, the Tufts defense had seven tackles for losses and 5.5 of those came from either the secondary or the linebackers. In order to stop Trinity’s new signal caller Jordan Vazzano, they will need to step up their pass defense as they have been dominant against the run game. They allow 58.3 yards per game on the ground compared to 173 yards per game in the air. Their defensive playmakers DB Tim Preston, LB Tylor Scales, and DB Alex LaPiana have all four of their INTs on the season while LB Greg Holt leads the team in tackles and tackles for a loss. Those four could make game changing plays against Vazzano who has been prone to throwing INTs in recent weeks.
Trinity X-Factor:
Max Chipouras ’19
RB Max Chipouras
Chipouras faces the second toughest rush defense this weekend (Amherst still holds the rush defense crown), and he has his work cut out for him. He has faltered compared to his usual talent in recent weeks and hasn’t done much since he blew up against a mediocre defense against Colby in week one. In the last three weeks, averaging 3.7, 3.6, and 4.2 yards per carry which is paltry for even average NESCAC standards. While he still rushed for two touchdowns last weekend, the strongest rush defense he faced was Williams who still allows an average of over 138 yards per game on the ground. He has yet to face Amherst or Tufts yet and that makes me beg the question, has he lost a step?
Tufts X-Factor:
Mike Pedrini ’21
RB Mike Pedrini
While we all know that Ryan McDonald is going to make an impact on Saturday but the Jumbos will need to diversify their offensive attack to penetrate the Bantam defense. RB Dom Borelli has more carries but Pedrini has three touchdowns compared to Borelli’s one. The pair are both averaging just over 4.5 yards per carry each and have more touchdowns than any other pair of Jumbos besides McDonald. He saw almost no action in their only real battle this year against Wesleyan, rushing three times for just six yards. Ryan McDonald has the ball in his hands the majority of the game, although if the same Bantam defense shows up that narrowly lost to Williams, the Jumbos will have difficulty if their QB is the only one with the ball.
Everything Else:
The Coop is going to be rocking on Saturday.
This matchup looks to be remarkably even. Both teams have top defenses, are in the hunt for a championship, and have strong leaders at QB. There’s no doubt that both Ryan McDonald and Jordan Vazzano are elite NESCAC QBs with 6:2 and 11:3 TD to INT ratios, respectively, and should be duking it out in a tightly contested battle this weekend. Trinity clearly has the advantage between RBs, but McDonald is the main weapon for the Tufts rushing game anyways, so they appear to be near equals there as well. Trinity’s receivers are performing remarkably the last few weeks as Jonathan Girard has taken off with 24.2 yards per catch and 6 TDs, making his mark like Mike Breuler did last season for Wesleyan. No Tufts receivers have more than two TDs and this could lead McDonald to lean more heavily on the run game in light of Trinity’s stellar secondary led by Matt Patry and Robert Levine. Vazzano might struggle against some of the Tufts defenders but he will still undoubtedly find some of his wideout weapons while McDonald may have to try to take all of the offensive explosion into his own hands. Here’s the point—both teams have stellar defenses, but Trinity has more weapons to overcome their opponent than the Jumbos.
Week 3 brought us some score lines that were not be expected to say the least. Hamilton came out of nowhere to take down Wesleyan and Williams was able to keep Trin at bay, which previously seemed impossible. I, for one, am extremely excited about these upsets which changed the landscape of a previously extremely predictable NESCAC football season. Here’s to week 4, and hopefully a few more unexpected results.
Wesleyan (1-2) @ Colby (0-3)
The last time that Wesleyan had a losing record through week 3 was all the way back in 2009, after a week 3, 16-13 overtime loss to none other than the Colby Mules. Wesleyan’s poor start was not expected to say the least. After coming out guns blazing in week 1 versus Midd, the Cardinals just haven’t had what it takes to finish out a game. A wildly unexpected loss to Hamilton last week has brought Wesleyan to a crossroads They can either devolve as a team here and turn a potential NESCAC championship season to a wate, or they can analyze their issues and salvage what they can. Wesleyan allowed Hamilton QB Kenny Gray to tear them apart last weekend, accounting for 4 TDs. Although Colby is not known for their passing game, there is clearly some sloppy D that needs to be corrected by the Cardinals. Additionally, the run game has looked below average for Wesleyan, averaging barely over 3 yards an attempt last weekend. We know Wesleyan’s offense can be potent based upon week 1 but they just haven’t seemed to have the same fire the last two weeks. A game against the Mules should be a good opportunity for Wesleyan to work on their issues and figure out what needs tweaking. Despite this, don’t sleep on Wesleyan against teams like Amherst and Williams, they still may have what it takes to dethrone the top teams in the league.
Wesleyan has very little shot at a ring after their shocking loss in week 3, but how will they respond?
Colby comes in to this contest 0-3, which is never a good sign. The Mules certainly made progress against Midd last week, which was a close 10-7 score until late in the 4th quarter when the game absolutely exploded to result in a 31-14 finish. Freshman QB Matt Hersh got his first career start and established a semi-effective passing game for the Mules, accounting for 182 yards and 2 TDs while allowing 2 interceptions. RB Jake Schwern was the workhorse per usual, having nearly 30 carries but only resulting in 82 yards. CJ Hassan and Chase Goode were each able to record a pic for the Mules, both of which helped keep the game close until late. It’s very hard to win a football game when you turn the ball over 5 times and the Mules know that better than anybody. Ball security is a major issue and has not seemed to be addressed thus far this season. Colby should take this weekend as an opportunity to steal a game from a struggling Wesleyan team. As we learned last week, anything can happen.
Colby is coming off a surprisingly competitive game against Midd. Now they play a team with weakened spirits.
Score Prediction: Wesleyan 38 Colby 14
Williams (3-0) @ Bates (0-3)
Williams has to be feeling good after taking down defending champs Trinity in Williamstown last weekend. Their defense was terrific, holding Trinity to only field goals until a minute left in the 4th quarter. A previously intimidating Bantam offense looked weak against the Ephs. Ben Anthony and TJ Rothmann were both able to pickoff wonderboy Jordan Vazzano and their offense didn’t turn over the ball once. Williams has established their dominance in the CAC and should have an extremely easy time this weekend against a Bates team that has given up 47 and 52 points in their last two matchups. Bates gave up 59 to Trin and Williams beat Trin, by the transitive property, this game could be ugly. Expected QB Bobby Maimaron to continue being dominant and the Williams D to continue to shut down their opponent, this game should be an easy one for the Ephs.
Bates had another rough week in Medford, allowing 37 points unanswered in the second half. To give the Bobcats some credit, they did give Jumbos fans a scare with their 14-10 halftime lead. QB Brendan Costa was decent, throwing for 160 yards and a TD, but it was not nearly enough to counter Tufts. Their run game was abysmal, only picking up 38 yards as a team, 30 of which were Costa’s. When your QB accounts for 96% of your total offense, you’re going to be pretty easy to stop. Without a real running back, Bates’ offense is stagnant at best and the Jumbos were able to figure that out at halftime and exploit the hell out of it. If I were the Bobcats I would brace for impact because it’s going to be another rough week in Lewiston.
Score Prediction: Williams 52 Bates 13
Trinity (2-1) @ Hamilton (1-2)
Trinity needs to lock down this weekend to keep their championship hopes alive.
A week ago this time, this would’ve been a completely different ballgame. Trinity was 2-0 and absolutely rolling. They had scored 94 points and only given up 16 through two weeks, those are some wild numbers. It seemed as if nobody could stop them, until they took a trip to Williamstown. Jordan Vazzano looked completely different, throwing 2 pics and only completing 14 of his 43 attempts. RB Max Chipouras was held to 3.6 yds/attempt and 0 touchdowns. What happened to that electrifying offense that we know and love (or hate)? Their defense took a hit too, not recording a single turnover and allowing 4.5 yards/play. Has Trinity lost its edge, or is Williams simply far better than we had thought? We’ll have the answer to that question after Saturday’s game.
We witnessed an absolute stunner last weekend as Hamilton was able to pull out a last-second upset against Wesleyan. QB Kenny Gray was amazing to say the least, passing for 193 yards and 4 TDs. RB Joe Park made good use of his attempts, rushing for 103 yards on only 18 attempts. A Continental offense that had been held to only 16 points in their first two games had suddenly come to life. Now the question is, can this kind of offense be sustained against an elite defense such as Trinity? Despite their loss last week, Trinity has still only allowed 12.7 pts/game and it will not be an easy feat to take them down. Hamilton’s defense was solid, picking off QB Mark Piccirillo once and doing just enough to keep their newfound offense in the game. Although Wesleyan’s offense is solid, Trinity will be a whole ‘nother beasts for the Continentals to conquer. I’d keep this game on upset alert, but no promises.
Score Prediction: Trinity 31 Hamilton 17
Tufts (3-0) @ Bowdoin (0-3)
Another week, another win for the Jumbos. Tufts have continued to prove that they have one of, if not the best, defenses in the league. They made easy work of Bates in their 47-14 victory. Although fans may have had a bit of a scare at halftime, as they were down 14-10, a change of strategy allowed Tufts to put up 37 points while allowing none in the second half. The Jumbos spread the ball around efficiently, having 4 different players rush for touchdowns and 2 different receivers hauling in TDs. All in all, it was a pretty easy week for Tufts. Whenever you have nearly 350 more yards of offense than your opponent things are going well, and things are going very well in Medford. I think Tufts has the most well-rounded team in the NESCAC and they have proved that in every week of play. Similar to Bates, Bowdoin shouldn’t be much of a challenge for the Jumbos. Expect another crooked scoreboard and another solid week for Tufts.
Rounding out the 0-3 CBB teams is Bowdoin. One positive aspect that the Polar Bears can take away from last week’s 24-12 loss to Amherst is that QB Austin McCrum looks like he’s starting to settle in and had a much better week than his first two. His 242 yards and 2 TDs are a solid stat line, but unfortunately he didn’t have any help from the running game. After a monster week 2, RB Nate Richam just couldn’t get anything going in week 3. He rushed for a mere 30 yards on 16 attempts, miles away from his 288 yard, 2 TD performance against Midd. It seems as if Bowdoin has one side of their offense going one week and the other the next. If they were able to get both the running and passing game going simultaneously, this may be a completely different team. Defensively, there was not much to write home about. When you allow 493 yards per game, the worst in the league, you don’t give your offense much of a chance. For Bowdoin, and Bates and Colby for that matter, it’s pretty clear that they only thing they have to compete for this year is the CBB crown. For Bowdoin fans that means praying for upsets until the last two weeks of the season, when the games actually count.
Week 3 Game of the Week—Trinity @ Williams: The Season Starts Now
Overview:
With all respect due towards Tufts, Wesleyan, and Middlebury, this is the first game of the season with true championship implications. While it isn’t necessarily an elimination game, it is going to be really hard to imagine the loser of this game winning its final 6 games to stay in the championship hunt. It’s safe to say this is a must win game if either side hopes to get fitted for rings when November rolls around. On paper, this should be a great game. Both teams come in at 2-0, comfortably handling both of their first two opponents. So far, they have both boasted a stellar run game and showed the potencies of their passing game while still leaving more to be desired. These two teams played each other close in a 17-9 Trinity win in Hartford, but now that we return to Williamstown, this contest should be even closer.
Key for Williams: Passing Game
8-18 for 110 yards and 0 Touchdowns. That was Bobby Maimaron’s line on Saturday vs. Colby. Definitely not what you’d expect from the reigning Rookie of the Year and top 3 quarterback in the league against any team in the league, let alone Colby. The numbers don’t tell the story for a few reasons. First, there were far too many drops from Williams’ normally sure-handed receiving corps, and it was pretty clear that the game plan was to pound the rock on the ground the whole game, which didn’t give Maimaron many chances to be aggressive in the air. Lastly, and most importantly, was the absence of Frank Stola, their star sophomore WR who was out with a concussion. They looked totally different with their top weapon out. The dynamism and versatility that has quickly become a staple of Coach Raymond’s offense was completely missing. All signs point to Stola returning for Saturday, but they’re going to need him at 100% if they want to be able to put up points in this game. Some people would point to the overwhelming success the combination of Maimaron and RB TJ Dozier ’21 have had running the ball through two games as a reason not to feel the need to rely on the passing game too heavily, but the running game is an unknown commodity until proven otherwise. There’s running the ball against Bowdoin and Colby, and there’s running the ball against Trinity. The passing game needs to show up.
Key for Trinity: Linebacker Play
As I just mentioned, Williams loves to spread everything out and challenge opposing defenses to cover them all over the field. They’ll run the ball with 5 different people, including jet sweeps to their tight end. They’ll hurry to the line and march down the field in 5 plays, or they’ll run 8 read options in a row. It’s scary to think that their offense is so young, but they’re able to run pretty much all of the plays they want to run with this personnel, a far cry from when Trinity last played in Williamstown. The Bantam linebackers are going to be asked to do a lot of different things. They’re going to need to cover short, shifty slot receivers and backs out of the backfield, as well as deal with a dual-threat QB. Now obviously, their defense is coming into this game feeling pretty good, as they have allowed a whopping 0 (zero) points in their first two games, but just like Williams’ run game, they’ll have a chance to prove how good they really are against their first real competition on Saturday. I don’t doubt that they will. Between Negron ’20, Picon-Roura ’19, and Martillotti ’19, they have plenty of talent, and—needless to say—the track record to prove it.
Williams X-Factor: LB/DE Austin Thomas ‘19
With the way Trinity has looked on offense to this point, there were a lot of directions to go here, but I’m going to go with the safe pick of the guy who has the potential to cause the most problems for opposing offenses. Thomas isn’t the best linebacker on this defense, nor is he the best defensive end, but his ability to line up as both has brought him and his team a lot of success. Though it’s only been two games, he actually leads the team in sacks with 1.5, and his 7 tackles aren’t bad for someone at his position who hasn’t played much in the second half of these blowouts. If Thomas can get to Trinity QB Jordan Vazzano ’21 a few times and assist in the mighty task of containing RB Max Chipouras ’19, it’ll make life a lot easier for the rest of the defense, because they’re going to have their hands full.
Trinity X-Factor: QB Jordan Vazzano ‘21
No reason to get cute here, this is a huge game for Vazzano. The heir to Sonny Puzzo’s throne announced his presence to the rest of the league with a 20-36, 353 yard, and 5 touchdown performance against Bates. But the week before he was just 9-26 against Colby, and 97 of his 210 passing yards came on one pass to WR Jonathan Girard ’21. We don’t really have enough of a sample size to make any bold statements about him, but it’s clear that Vazzano has the ability to put up big numbers. If worse comes to worst and he’s not ready to play with the big boys yet, they can hand it off to Chipouras 35 times and take their chances, which isn’t too bad of a strategy against most teams in the league. But against this Williams run defense, it would be huge if they could get the Jordan Vazzano that showed up against Bates.
Everything Else:
It really is close to impossible to predict this game. Both teams have played two opponents who just aren’t in their stratosphere when it comes to talent and ability, so trying to go off of either of those games for this preview seems kind of pointless. Trinity ran up some bigger numbers than Williams but that really speaks more to their depth than anything else, neither team’s first-string defense has allowed a point yet. It would be natural to side with the back-to-back champs for the sake of caution, but it isn’t that easy. This is the biggest game in Williamstown in a while, the first time in several years that they are legitimately playing a game with championship implications. I’m not going to lie and say that Farley-Lamb Field is the hardest place to play, but you would definitely feel better for the Bants if this game was in Hartford. This game is going to be really close and it’s might be as simple as who gets the ball last. I don’t feel great about it, but I know what to expect from a Trinity team in a game of this magnitude, and I think I trust their weapons on offense a little more than Williams’. The Bantam train rolls on.
