Handicapping the Player of the Year Races

Predicting the potential Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year is about searching for trends in the voting pattern of the NESCAC coaches. Seven of the last eight Offensive POY were quarterbacks, and six of the last seven Defensive POY were linebackers. With that being said, this season looks like it could be very different.

Offensive Player of the Year

The Favorite: Running Back LaDarius Drew ’15 (Wesleyan) – Both All-NESCAC QBs from last season are gone, and Drew looks to be the feature running back on the most explosive offense in the league. He averaged 4.6 yards per carry and scored 10 touchdowns including a 167 yard performance against Bowdoin last year. However, he slowed down as the year went along, averaging under four yards per carry in three of his final four games. Also, Kyle Gibson ’15 will also take a lot of carries and was actually more productive per rush in 2013. Drew could run into a situation where the Wesleyan coaches decide to only give him about 15 carries a game (he averaged 20.5 in 2013), letting Gibson run more, and keeping Drew from putting up big numbers.

Contenders:

Quarterback Jesse Warren ’15 (Wesleyan) – If carries are split by Drew and Gibson then Warren could win if he repeats his efficiency from last season but with slightly more production. Another 15:3 TD:INT ratio will give him a good shot.

Wide Receiver Luke Duncklee ’15 (Colby) – The most productive receiver in the NESCAC will collect a lot of credit if Gabe Harrington ’17 has a seamless transition to the starting role. Fellow receiver Nick Joseph ’15 will also need a good season to make sure teams can’t key on Duncklee.

Quarterback Matt Cannone ’16 (Bates) – After seeing Cannone in action in the scrimmage against Colby, it was clear the junior has made major improvements to his game especially in the passing game. He will rack up both passing and rushing yards in the Bates offense.

Running Back Alex Scyocurka ’14 (Williams) – Opponents keyed on Scyocurka a lot meaning he averaged only 3.3 yards per carry, but he should be able to punish defenses with a more balanced attack this season, and he’s as healthy as he’s ever been, so perhaps he can get closer to the 5.3 yards per rush he averaged in 2012. An improvement as a team will also help his prospects, though he has to cut down on the four fumbles from a year ago.

Wide Receiver Gene Garay ’15 (Amherst)-  The only other receiver who looks to have a shot at POY honors is Garay. The senior was the leading receiver for Amherst last season and should see even more targets with Jake O’Malley graduated. He is also helped by the potential for big plays in the return game.

The Darkhorse: Running Back Chudi Iregbulem ’15 (Trinity) – Iregbulem has not seen the field very much because of all the talent in front of him, but now he steps to the forefront. He will get the majority share of carries in tandem with Jacob Rivers ’15. His 7.2 yards per carry average is inflated somewhat because it came at the end of blowouts against tired defenses. Consider his potential a tacit compliment to the entire Trinity offensive line who will deserve much of the credit if he has a great season.

Defensive Player of the Year

The Favorite: Defensive End James Howe ’16 (Williams)

Howe was the only sophomore selected to the All-NESCAC First Team in 2013. He tallied 55 tackles, which is impressive for a lineman, especially given the fact that teams would choose to run the opposite way if given the choice, seven more than the next-highest total by a lineman, Colby defensive end Caleb Harris ’15. Howe led the league in sacks with 10, 2.5 more than Harris, and was one behind Amherest linebacker Chris Tamasi ’15 with 17 tackles for loss. Usually linebackers get the most recognition because they are asked to do the most on the field, but Howe is on another level compared to his peers. His pressure and dominance on the line makes the linebackers’ and defensive backs’ jobs easier, and for that he comes into 2014 as the favorite to bring home this honor.

Contenders:

Linebacker Tim Patricia ’16 (Middlebury) It’s been noted before, but the tackle numbers on defenses like Middlebury and Tufts are inflated because their offenses run so many plays. Nevertheless, Patricia is a playmaker. The former Rookie of the Year has been a force in the Middlebury for the Panthers since day one. It’s not his athletic tools that make him a great tackler, but his football IQ. Proof that his numbers are not just a product of high play totals: Patricia accounted for almost 14 percent of Middlebury’s tackles and over 13 percent of solos. Leading tackler Joey Cleary ’14 tallied just over 16 percent of Bowdoin’s tackles and just under 16 percent of solos.

Safety Jake Bussani ’14 (Wesleyan) The only thing that might keep Bussani from making a run for DPOY honors is the wealth of talent surrounding him on defense, but the graduate has made the All-NESCAC First Team in three straight seasons. His stats weren’t as impressive as in the previous two seasons, but that doesn’t mean that his play has tapered off.

Defensive End Caleb Harris ’15 (Colby) We already mentioned Harris above, but it’s worth reiterating that Harris was the cornerstone of the best run defense in the league last season, and was only six off the pace for most tackles on his own team.

Linebacker Chris Tamasi ’15 (Amherst) Much like the next name on this list, what sets Tamasi apart is his ability to penetrate the backfield. Tamasi led the NESCAC with 18 tackles for loss and had four sacks, tying with teammate Ned Deane ’15 for the most among linebackers.

Linebacker Mike Weatherby ’14 (Trinity) A year after making the All-NESCAC First Team for the first time, Weatherby is back for a fifth year at the heart of the Bantams defense. Weatherby is great at stopping the ball carrier behind the line of scrimmage, as he racked up just one sack in 2013 but 11 tackles for loss.

Cornerback Brian Dones ’15 (Trinity) It’s tough to leave out Dones’ teammate, safety Mike Mancini ’15, but the corner might be the best pass defender in the league. His three interceptions and 11 pass breakups were both tops in the NESCAC, and his 1.8 pass breakups per game was tied for 11th in the nation. Teams might choose to throw away from Dones this year, but expect him to still make some big plays.

The Darkhorse: Safety/Linebacker Gilbert Brown ’15 (Bates) Brown fills the “down safety” position in Bates’ 3-3 stack defense, a position that requires a great deal of versatility. This allows Brown to be a factor in both the run and pass game, and on occasion he will be called on to create pressure on the quarterback. He racked up 42 tackles, 7.5 tackles for loss, one sack, two interceptions and two pass breakups in 2013. Bates’ defense should be much improved this season with a bunch of starters returning, and Brown could elevate his game and become a game plan player around the NESCAC.

Anyone you think we missed? Let us know in the comments.

Colby Team Preview – The Mules Look to Leave a Legacy

2013 Record: 4-4

Returning Starters: 18 (8 offense, 9 defense, 1 specialist)

Offensive Overview:

The offseason headlines centered around dual-threat QB Justin Ciero transferring, but the Mule offense still has a lot of talent remaining. The good news for the new QB is that the strongest returning group is wide receiver with Luke Duncklee ’15, Nick Joseph ’15, and Ryder Arsenault ’17 all back. Gabe Harrington ’16 at this point is the favorite to win the job barring a major late push from transfer Michael Ecke ’17. While Duncklee was far and away the most targeted receiver last season, Arsenault and Joseph should see more throws their way in order to keep defenses honest. Carl Lipani ’17 won the starting running back role halfway through the year, and he will see a large bump in carries as well.

Tight ends Glenn Parsons ’16 and David Von Euw ’15 were also not targeted often last season, but they will both see the field a lot, possibly in two tight end packages. The offensive line has a couple of holes to fill, but the biggest issue could be depth if there are injuries. Captain Connor Clancy ’15 along with returners Tom Abare ’15 and Jesse Eddy ’16 will have to play very well in order to keep the offensive line effective. This offense will have a different look than the one last year, but that doesn’t mean it couldn’t still be successful.

Defensive Overview:

With nine starters back, this could be one of the best defenses in the NESCAC. The strength of the team is in the front seven where all seven starters and other upperclassmen return to a  group that allowed only 88.2 rushing yards per game. The defensive line had 19 sacks last season, led by the 7.5 sacks from defensive end Caleb Harris ’15. Ryan Ruiz ’15 returns from injury and is the other end, while a name to watch is Jack Muntu-Caron. He came on in the second half of the season including a two sack game in the finale against Bowdoin. Chris Marano ’17 and Kalu Kalu ’15 are the starting tackles on the inside with others ready to play behind them. The linebackers are loaded with Henry Nelson ’15, a four year starter, a force from the middle linebacker position. Stephen O’Grady ’16 and Tony Atkinson ’15 are the outside linebackers, and both are now three year starters.

The secondary is led by stars corner Jason Buco ’15 and safety Zach Padula ’15. Those two will have to make big plays in order to keep teams from attacking Colby in the air as the Mules were eighth in the league in terms of defensive passing yards per game. Ethan Johnson ’16 and Randy Person ’15 are the others who will see time the the defensive backfield. The defense has a lot of talent and experience, but they need to do a better job against the best offenses. The season opener against Trinity will be an interesting test.

Courtesy of Amherst Athletics
Courtesy of Amherst Athletics

Three Big Questions:

1. Can they survive the first half of the season?

Colby’s schedule this season gets harder with the inclusion of Trinity giving Colby four very hard games to start the season. In order, they play Trinity, Middlebury, Wesleyan, and Amherst. Last season they emerged from the first half with a 1-3 record before winning three straight. Playing such a tough schedule with a new starting QB means another dimension of complexity, but the defense should keep them in every single game they play.

2. How well can the offensive line play?

The new QB will have an easy transition as long as the offensive line plays well. He has the skill position players around him to succeed, but he will need a solid running game and time in the pocket to make plays. Ciero often danced around in the pocket which sometimes led him to avoid sacks but also caused him to take sacks when he should have gotten the ball away quicker. The Colby rushing attack was one of the better ones in the league last season. As said above, injuries could be a potential downfall.

3. Will special teams see improvement?

Colby was weak in a lot of areas in special teams last season. Louw Scheepers ’15 was solid on kickoffs and field goals going 7-11 including a long of 41 yards, but his punting was not as steady. Colby averaged as a team 31.1 yards per punt, 3.4 yards less than any other team. Padula was the primary returner on punts and kickoffs. While he did a decent job, the Mules still had the third lowest kickoff return average. Given the potential for a slow start to the offense, a great special teams would help Colby steal a game or two even.

Team MVP: Caleb Harris ’15. You know another thing that helps teams when there are questions around the offense? Having a defensive end who can make the opposing offense’s day terrible. Harris’ sack numbers are inflated somewhat because he had four in one game against Hamilton, but he still posted at least half a tackle for loss in every game.

Biggest Game: Sept. 27 against Middlebury

Colby’s second game of the season will tell us if they can continue to grow as a team or if the loss of Ciero will cause the potential for a special season to fizzle. A win at home against Middlebury sets up Colby for a potential late season run that would send them about .500. The matchup of the two new QB’s in this game will be a fun one to watch with two defenses that both have been under-appreciated before.

Best Tweet of the Offseason: Remember people, everyone loves Wawa.