Tag: Luke Duncklee

Offense Needs to Make Strides for Mules: Colby Season Preview

ColbyAmherst
The Colby defense makes a goal line stand against Amherst on October 11, 2014. (Courtesy of Mark Box of Clarus Studios)

Editors’ Note: While 99 percent of the work done in these previews is credited directly to the author, the projected records are a decision made together by the editors, Adam and Joe. So if you don’t like it, blame us.

Projected Record: 2-6

Offensive Starters (*Seven Returning)

QB: Gabe Harrington ’17*
RB: Jabari Hurdle-Price ’17*
FB: Rob Murray ’16*
WR: Ryder Arsenault ’17*
WR: Mbasa Mayikana ’18
TE: Glenn Parsons ’16*
LT: Jesse Eddy ’16*
LG: Drew Choos ’16*
C: Mike Roberts ’17
RG: Andrew Ferraro ’16
RT: Larry Patrizio ’17

Projected Defensive Starters (*Four Returning)

DE: Ryan Ruiz ’16*
DT: Chris Marano ’17*
DT: Harry Nicholas ’16*
DE: Henry Wallrapp ’17
OLB: Connor Rozinsky ’16
MLB: Stephen O’Grady ’16*
OLB: Ryan Neville ’16
CB: Adam Balaban ’18
SS: Justin Lamere ’17
FS: Ian Dickey ’18

Offensive MVP: Running Backs Jabari Hurdle-Price ’17 and Carl Lipani ’17

Optimism for this season begins with the talented pair of junior running backs. Lipani has played a lot from day one, and he started off last year in a big way with 133 yards on 20 carries against Trinity. Then he was lost for the season after the second game against Middlebury. Hurdle-Price showcased his skills the rest of the season and finished the season fourth in the NESCAC with 553 yards. Both are also capable pass-catchers and will be used there also to help make things easier in the passing game. There will be a lot of carries to go around, and these two could be on the field at the same time at points too. They have pretty overlapping skill sets, but those skill sets are both very diverse and will present defenses with a lot of problems.

Defensive MVP: Linebacker Stephen O’Grady ’16

At least he better be. OK, that is putting too much pressure on the senior, but the biggest weakness for Colby is their back seven on defense, and O’Grady can do a lot to help shore it up. He missed the first four games of 2014 with injury but returned in the second half to record 19 tackles and help Colby to their 2-2 finish . The Mules lost their top two tacklers and need to fill that production immediately. O’Grady had 39 tackles as a sophomore, and he figures to have even more than that from his middle linebacker position. The good news for Colby fans is that O’Grady has looked great in camp and has taken well to being a leader on defense.

Biggest Surprise of Camp: Smoothness of Transition to New Coaches

So this isn’t your usual pick for this, but Colby has gone through a lot of turnover in its coaching staff in recent years. The Mules are technically on their third Offensive Coordinator in as many years as Head Coach Jonathan Michaeles takes over the play-calling duties. Long-time Defensive Coordinator Tom Dexter is also still around in Waterville. Overall, Michaeles is more than happy with the additions of Coaches Matt Dugan, Sean Conerly, and Alex Kretzschmar. The coaching staff has been able to focus on the players, both on and off the field, and Michaeles is excited about what this group can do going forward.

Biggest Game: Bates at Colby, 1:00 PM October 31, Waterville, Maine

The Mules once again start their season with a murderers row of Trinity, Middlebury, Wesleyan and  Amherst. From there the schedule gets easier, and this game represents the beginning of the CBB. The game last year was a classic with Bates coming back to win 34-28 in overtime in front of a big crowd in Lewiston. QB Gabe Harrington ’17 had one of the more interesting stat lines in this one, going 13-38 (34.2 percent) but also throwing for 234 yards and four TDs. A major challenge for Colby will be slowing down Bates receiver Mark Riley ’16 who had five catches for 109 yards last year. Colby will be primed for this game in a big way, and a win is essential in order to wrest the CBB away from Bates.

Summary:

Last year’s squad was sunk in large part because the front end of their schedule decimated the depth chart with injuries. Even still, Colby was a late Bates comeback away from taking the CBB, and they will have a chance to capture that crown this season if their offense clicks. Harrington is of course the key to all of this. Last year he showed flashes of the phsyical ability to make all the throws, and he finished the season fifth in the league in YPG with 177.9. However, he forced way too many balls and had an 11:9 TD:INT ratio and an ugly 48.5 completion percentage. Michaeles is focusing on letting Harrington make simpler throws. The Head Coach thinks it took the QB a little time to settle into the position, but he was more willing to take what the defense gave him and even began to run the ball a little in the second half. Harrington needs to be more consistent and let his skill players make plays

Elsewhere on offense, the wide receiver position is fine despite the graduations of Luke Duncklee ’15 and Nick Joseph ’15. Ryder Arsenault ’17 takes over as the primary target and will be the first place Harrington looks on most downs. Arsenault ended up leading the team in catches last year with 25 and should surpass that total. Across from him, one of our Breakout Players, Mbasa Mayikana ’18, will also get a lot of chances, especially on deep balls where the track athlete excels. Fullback Rob Murray ’16 has had a very productive camp and will help as a lead blocker and a receiver. Tight End Glenn Parsons ’16 is used primarily as a blocker, but he could become a crucial safety valve in the passing game. Finally the offensive line has the chance to be good, but they could struggle with depth (a concern for many NESCAC teams) as the season goes along even though Michaeles wants to start the season rotating some positions along the line.

As mentioned above, the defense lost a lot of talent, and the strength of the unit is clearly on the defensive line where four year starter and captain Ryan Ruiz ’16 is the anchor. The Colby defense struggled in part because of their inability to create turnovers or sacks, and they lose defensive back Jason Buco ’15 who was responsible for seven of the nine total turnovers. The defensive line will have to be not only stout against the run, but also find a way to consistently get to the quarterback in order to keep the inexperienced back end of the secondary get exposed too often. Jack Muntu-Caron ’17 might not start at defensive end, but he is an intriguing talent after having three sacks in just five games.

The secondary is going to be an adventure early on, and the game against Middlebury in Week 2 will be extremely difficult. Ian Dickey ’18 and Justin Lamere ’17 finished the season starting a couple of game, and their experience is important there. Neither registered much in the way of pass defense, but they did a good job coming up against the run. Last year receivers Joseph and Duncklee both saw time at defensive back to help shore up the back line. The Mules were a middle of the road pass defense a season ago, and the hope is that the new guys are coached up quickly.

Michaeles has shown he is more than flexible and will work hard to get the 22 best athletes on the field in some way. That might mean moving somebody like backup QB Michael Ecke ’17 to wide receiver or cornerback if the need arises. The Mules have some talent and they could find themselves in some exciting high scoring games if Harrington develops in his second year. Ultimately that tough schedule and inexperienced defense will cause issues and keep the Mules from climbing back into the middle of the pack.

Best Tweet: This is what we call ‘playing to your strengths.’

Panthers Make Rude Guests in Hartford: Stock Report 10/26

Every streak will end at some point, and Trinity’s vaunted home winning streak of 53 games finally came to a stunning finish on Saturday. Like any streak of such length, the Bantams endured many close calls before Saturday, but the Panthers sucked out any potential drama long before the final whistle. Middlebury scored the first 20 points of the game, and a Brendan Rankowitz ’15 touchdown catch with 6:07 left made it 27-7, essentially ending the game.

So just how did Middlebury manage to take down the unbeatable Bantams? Well, considering the margin of victory, the simple answer is that Middlebury just outplayed Trinity. From a more philosophical point of view, this was speed beating size. The Trinity starting offensive line averages 280 pounds while the three down lineman for Middlebury average 247 pounds. That didn’t matter as Middlebury was still able to get to the ball.

Trinity finished the game with 85 yards rushing on 38 attempts, a 2.2 yards per carry average. The last time Trinity was held to under 100 yards rushing was October 2, 2010 when Williams held the Bantams to 87 yards rushing. Not coincidentally that was also a loss for Trinity. The 85 yards was the lowest total in a game since October 11, 2008 when Tufts (yes, Tufts) held the Bantams to 50 yards rushing. (Of course in that game Trinity threw for 470 as well to win a wild overtime game 28-27.)

The fact that the two top tacklers for Middlebury were defensive backs tells us that while the Panthers won the line of scrimmage, they didn’t do it conventionally. Waves of defenders threw themselves at the point of attack on running plays without exposing any lanes for cutbacks. Trinity’s longest run in the game was 19 yards.

Matt Minno '16 hauls down one of his three touchdowns in the Panthers' victory. Courtesy of Greg Sullivan (http://www.sevenstrong.net/TrinityFootball)
Matt Minno ’16 hauls down one of his three touchdowns in the Panthers’ victory. Courtesy of Greg Sullivan (http://www.sevenstrong.net/TrinityFootball)

Not having Sonny Puzzo on the roster for Trinity hurt the Bantams because Foye is not a runner. Puzzo gave the Trinity offense a little more diversity and defenses had more difficulty keying on one player. Spencer Aukamp ’18 has the running capabilities to replicate Puzzo, but Aukamp is not as polished of a passer. Henry Foye ’15 was able to come back from a touchdown deficit last week against Bowdoin, but he is not a quarterback capable of leading a team back from the hole Trinity found themselves in early in the second half.

Meanwhile, Matt Milano ’16 played a nearly perfect game. He went 25-36 for 286 yards. Though he threw one interception, he made up for it with four touchdowns. Matt Minno ’16 reemerged from the shadows last week against Bates, and he confirmed that he is back with his best game of the season: a three touchdown, 90 yard day. Milano actually played better than Mac Foote ’14 did last year when Middlebury beat Trinity in Vermont. Throw out the debacle against Amherst, and Milano has been stellar.

The running game led by Drew Jacobs ’18 was nothing special, but it did enough to keep Trinity honest. The Bantams could not load up on 3rd and long and come after Milano, especially because the Middlebury offense is designed to get the ball out quickly.

Finally, credit should be given to the Middlebury special teams which had two big plays early in the second half. The first was a gutsy on-side kick call coming out of the half. Rather than giving Trinity the ball back with the score 13-0 Middlebury, the Panthers dialed up an onside kick that they recovered. Two plays later, Milano hit hit Minno for his third touchdown of the game. The next drive Trinity tried a fake punt on 4th and 2 from their own 43-yard line, but Middlebury was not fooled at all. Michael Budness ’15 gained only one yard and the Trinity gambled failed.

The last time Trinity lost at home was to Williams in September of 2001. Every Trinity football player starting with the class of 2006 until the class of 2014 was undefeated at home. The thing for Trinity is that their path to a NESCAC championship remains unchanged. If they can rally and beat Amherst and then Wesleyan, they will at least earn a share of the NESCAC title. With only two weeks to still go, both Connecticut schools have now lost when before the season it looked possible that both would go undefeated until they faced each other.

Stock Up

Safety Dan Pierce ’16 (Middlebury): Seems like every week we highlight another Panther defensive player that has emerged as a cog in a defense that has become the strength of Middlebury. Pierce had a great all around game totaling 12 tackles and two interceptions. He had the play of the game midway through the second quarter. With Middlebury up 7-0, the Bantams drove the ball down to the five yard line. Then Pierce picked off Henry Foye ’15 in the end zone and returned it 71 yards to the Trinity 29-yard line. Four plays later, Middlebury punched it in to go up by two touchdowns forcing Trinity out of their comfort zone. Pierce now leads the Panthers in tackles on the season and is fourth overall in the NESCAC. We know it is early, but given that players like Pierce, Tim Patricia ’16,  and Nate Leedy ’17 will all be back on defense along with Milano leading an offense that will return all of its playmakers with the exception of Rankowitz, Middlebury should be the favorite entering next year.

Wide Receiver Steven Kiesel ’15 (Williams): Saturday was just another ho-hum day for the senior receiver as he finished with five catches, 62 yards, and a touchdown that ended up being the difference in Williams’ 21-14 victory. Kiesel’s performance was notable because of how normal it has become. He has had at least five receptions in all but one of Williams’ games and now leads the NESCAC in receptions for the year. With the Ephs backed up on their own one, Austin Lommen ’16 went to his favorite target and hit Kiesel for a 32-yard gain that ended with Kiesel’s touchdown catch. The Williams running game has struggled for long stretches of this season, and Kiesel has been the most reliable source of offense for the Ephs. It might be a longshot given they are only 2-4, but Williams can salvage their season starting Saturday with a big upset over Wesleyan.

Quarterback Matt Cannone ’15 (Bates): The CBB picked up right where it left off last year in terms of excitement. The Bobcats QB returned just in time to get the Bates offense moving. He was still bothered by his ankle so that he was not much of a threat out of the pocket, but Cannone still played admirably. He went 18-32 for 203 yards and four touchdowns. His main target was Mark Riley ’16, but with the game on the line he used Riley as a diversion and went to Frank Williams ’18. On 4th and goal, Cannone found Williams for the game tying touchdown with under a minute left. Then in overtime the same connection worked again for a 25 yard touchdown and the victory. The win gives Bates the early lead in the CBB with the Bobcats visiting Bowdoin this week. Now Cannone will look to seal the CBB.

Running back LaShawn Ware ’17 (Hamilton): Sometimes, you have to admit that you’ve made a mistake. At the beginning of the season, in our Breakout Players of 2014 article, we highlighted Hamilton backs Rico Gonzalez ’16 and converted safety Jeff Hopsicker ’15. Gonzalez hasn’t been much of a factor all year, and had two carries against Williams. Hopsicker started out as the team’s primary back, but has seen his carries total dwindle ever since Week 2. When we spoke with head coach Dave Murray at the beginning of the year, he highlighted the speedy Ware as someone who could make an impact, but we just saw too much competition in the backfield. Well, Ware now leads the team in rushing yards and yards per carry, and racked up a career-high 115 yards against Williams. It looks like Murray has settled into a two-headed attack, with Ware moving the ball down the field and Amman Weaver ’18 getting the chances to punch it in near the goal line. It’s another lost season for the Continentals, but there will be weapons back in 2015.

Stock Down

Tufts Offensive Execution: A few stats from the Tufts-Amherst game: Tufts first downs – 11, Amherst first downs – 12. Tufts total yards – 249, Amherst total yards – 244. Tufts return yards – 78, Amherst return yards – 93. So how was this game 30-3 in favor of the Jeffs? As the Tufts website notes, every single Amherst scoring drive started in Tufts territory. Seventy-nine of those return yards came on interceptions for Amherst, with Chris Gow ’16 returning one Alex Snyder ’17 pass to the house. The Lord Jeff defense is very good and known for their takeaways, but this was another level. A big reason for that was because Jack Doll ’15 did not start and only threw the ball six times. It would have been extremely difficult for the Jumbos to upset Amherst at home with the Jeffs smelling a conference championship, but the offense let down a defense that played much better than the score indicated.

Bowdoin Secondary: One week after allowing Henry Foye to enjoy his best game of the season, Jesse Warren ’15 threw for five touchdowns against the Bowdoin secondary. Early in the game Bowdoin was getting pressure, but Warren converted two third downs of more than 12 yards on the first touchdown drive. For the game Wesleyan was 10-17 on third down. The Polar Bears have had problems slowing down the opposition’s passing attack all year with teams finding ways of making big plays consistently. Though Jay Fabien ’15 was slowed, Josh Hurwitz ’15 stepped up and had three touchdown catches. The Bowdoin secondary will have to rise to the occasion and stop Bates’ Riley on Saturday.

Colby’s Depth: The brutal opening schedule robbed Colby of a good deal of their players, and in an effort to get their best talent on the field, wide receivers Luke Duncklee ’15 and Nick Joseph ’15 have started playing on defense as well. Many NESCAC players went both ways in high school so they are somewhat used to it, but doing it in college is especially hard because it is much harder to take any plays off. The duo played well Saturday totaling 14 tackles between them, but it was not enough for Colby to hold off Bates. Advocates for expanding the current roster to more than 75 players might point to Colby’s issues as evidence. It is possible that the issue comes up again in conversations between coaches and administrators, but schools are unlikely to look at this one instance and consider it enough reason to change a longstanding rule.

 

Is an Upset on the Horizon? The Weekend Preview 10/23

Conventional thinking for this season has been that three teams have a legitimate chance at winning the NESCAC title-Amherst, Wesleyan, and Trinity-and that the title would come down to the results of the games between those teams. This week will be the strongest test of that thinking as all three top teams face varying challenges this weekend. Middlebury traveling to Trinity is the highlight, but Tufts visiting Amherst and Bowdoin at Wesleyan could also offer intrigue. The big advantage for the top three teams is that they all play at home, though on the season home teams are only 12-13.

If one of the top three teams loses, then the final two weeks could become much more complicated. It would not necessarily drop Amherst or Trinity from the conversation because both teams are still undefeated, but Wesleyan knows they must win out to have a chance. Elsewhere the CBB gets underway with Colby and Bates, and Hamilton looks to notch their first win at home against Williams.

Three to Watch

Quarterback Jesse Warren ’15 (Wesleyan): Perhaps lost somewhat in Wesleyan’s loss last Saturday and their inability to run the ball, has been how good Warren has played this season. The knock on him last year was that he didn’t need to throw the ball often and his stats were a product of teams loading the box to stop the run. This year he has proven that wrong in all respects. He is averaging over 45 more yards per game while also being more efficient as his yards per attempt is up 0.9 yards and his completion percentage has edged up from 64.7 percent to 66.9 percent. To top it off he still has only thrown one interception this year while also tossing nine touchdowns. Last week Trinity was forced to turn to Henry Foye ’15 and air the ball out against Bowdoin, and a similar situation could see itself play out again this week. If Warren continues his stellar play, the Cardinals are in good hands.

Linebacker Tom Szymanski ’15 (Trinity): The Bantams defense is a very deep unit that has talent all across the board, but Szymanski has been the leading man so far. His 31 tackles are the most on the team. He has also been a force in the pass rush with two sacks on the season. The senior had his biggest game a few weeks ago against Hamilton totaling 12 tackles. The Bantams are banged up on defense (more on that later), and Szymanski will have to be a steadying force to make Middlebury one-dimensional through the air. Even though the Panthers have not run the ball particularly well (second to last in the NESCAC per carry), they will try to establish something on the ground.

Running Back Nick Kelly ’17 (Amherst): After some early season missteps, the Amherst offense seems to be on track with Kelly as the main horse for the Jeffs. Kenny Adinkra ’16 was the starter entering the season, but injuries have forced him to miss multiple games. Kelly has stepped in and been a force. His first highlight came when he iced Bates with a 42-yard touchdown. After only gaining 28 yards in week two, Kelly has busted out for three straight 100+ yard performances. Kelly is a powerful back who also has breakaway speed once he turns the corner and gets a full head of steam. Amherst will need him to approach the 100 yard mark again this week, but it might not be as easy as you might expect against Tufts. Though they are not usually associated with a strong run defense, the Jumbos stonewalled Williams for 46 yards on 29 carries last Saturday.

Trinity Looks to Make Sure There is NPITC
Trinity Looks to Make Sure There is NPITC (No Poop in the Coop)

The Picks

Game of the Week: Middlebury (3-2) at Trinity (5-0)

Trinity survived on the road last Saturday, and they are more than happy to be back at home protecting their 53-game home winning streak. Meanwhile Middlebury comes in on a two-game winning streak and hoping for a signature win to their season.  Sources told us this morning that Chudi Iregbulem ’15 will give it a go tomorrow after not playing last week.

Middlebury has lost both of its games by one touchdown, and their main issue has been offense in those games. Matt Milano ’16 and company have put up 28.3 points per game in their victories but only 7.0 in their two losses. Granted, they played Amherst in a driving rain storm that was a huge boon for the Jeffs in terms of stopping the Panther passing game. The Bantams stack right up there with Wesleyan and Amherst on defense allowing only 7.6 points per game.

The Trinity defense has been even better than their stats as well. Teams have only scored two touchdowns on drives of more than 40 yards through their first five games. The rest of the touchdowns given up by the Bantams were because of short fields after a turnover. They are strongest against the run allowing only 2.5 yards per carry, and the Panthers should expect few lanes open.

Injuries on the defensive side of the ball are a major issue. Safety Mike Mancini ’15, linebacker Mike Weatherby ’14, and cornerback Brian Dones ’15 are all questionable for the game because of injury. Head Coach Jeff Devanney has said he thinks it is possible all of them play, but as Iregbulem’s injury shows, the Bantams do not reveal a lot of information about injuries. Not revealing injuries is of course part of the game and Trinity is under no obligation to tell anybody who will be playing. However, at this point Trinity appears to be healthy, and all those players will try to play tomorrow.

Dones in particular is important because when healthy he can shut down one side of the field. Grant Luna ’17 did not play last week due to a concussion so his status is up in the air, but Matt Minno ’16 and Brendan Rankowitz ’15 are more than capable of making plays for Milano and Luna’s replacement, Ryan Rizzo ’17, is just as athletic as (and faster than) every receiver on the Panthers’ roster. The major difference between this year’s Middlebury offense and those of past years’ is the lack of a pass catching tight end. William Sadik-Khan ’14 and Billy Chapman ’13 were both big targets in the middle of the field that were match-up nightmares for NESCAC teams. No tight end has more than five catches on the year right now for Middlebury.

On the other side of the ball Middlebury will look to make Trinity rely on the passing game. Bowdoin did a good job of this last week, but Henry Foye ’15 proved he could make throws when it mattered. In the second half Foye had a handful of throws down the field that helped make his receivers open. This entire video of Trinity coach Jeff Devanney going over game film is worth watching, and he does a good job of breaking down some of Foye’s throws starting at 9:15.

The Middlebury secondary should be more up to the task of shutting down Ian Dugger ’16 and Chris Ragone ’15. Nate Leedy ’17 is the top corner for the Panthers, and safeties Matt Benedict ’15 and Dan Pierce ’16 make a lot of big plays as well. On the season the Panthers have allowed the second least amount of passing yards though per attempt teams fare reasonably well against them.

If Iregbulem is still slowed then the Panthers have a good shot at pulling the upset. It will be imperative for Milano not to make any costly mistakes. Since throwing for two interceptions against Wesleyan, he has passed for eight touchdowns and no interceptions. Still, though health is an issue for Trinity, the Bantams will have enough to keep the streak alive for at least one more week.

Prediction: Trinity 27 over Middlebury 21

Tufts (3-2) at Amherst (5-0): No team has a bigger disparity between their home and away performance than the Jumbos, and unfortunately for them Amherst hosts this week, but that doesn’t mean Tufts has no chance. Jack Doll ’15 is right up there with Warren for top QB in the NESCAC so far, but throwing on the Jeffs is always difficult. As mentioned before, Tufts loves to get the ball into the flats quickly, something that Amherst is adept at covering. Gene Garay ’15 emerged as Max Lippe’s ’15 security blanket underneath last week. Tufts needs its defensive stars Mike Stearns ’17 and Matt McCormack ’16 to be presences all day long in order to slow down Amherst. The Tufts have a good chance of getting to .500 on the year, but it won’t happen this week.

Prediction: Amherst 31 over Tufts 21

Bowdoin (2-3) at Wesleyan (4-1): (Editor’s Note: Prediction and game blurb by Joe MacDonald) How the Cardinals respond mentally to their let down last week will go a long way in this game. Given all the seniors on the roster, the likelihood is they come out looking for revenge. Besides their Week 1 debacle, the Polar Bears tend to keep games close and have looked better every week. The Wesleyan defense will work hard to force turnovers to help put the offense into good situations. Jay Fabien ’15 has become the number one target for Warren through the air, and Lou Stevens ’17 enjoyed his biggest game of the year on the ground last week. Meanwhile Dan Barone ’16 has cemented himself as Bowdoin’s number one option and is enjoying a top five receiver caliber season. The Polar Bears don’t have enough talent to hang for 60 minutes, and Wesleyan will pull away.

Prediction: Wesleyan 31 over Bowdoin 17

Our favorite NESCAC football photo of all time (courtesy of Bates Athletics)
Our favorite NESCAC football photo of all time (courtesy of Bates Athletics)

Colby (1-4) at Bates (1-4): The Mules busted out last week, and if they play anything like they did last week, then Bates could be in trouble. Some regression should be expected however, and in the opener of the CBB this should be a close one. Strong play by the Bates defense has only led to one victory so far because of offensive struggles exacerbated by injuries especially to Matt Cannone ’15. It is still uncertain whether Cannone will play Saturday, and if he does how effective he can be because of his ankle injury. Both teams have endured grueling schedules to start the year, and are more than ready for this game to get underway. Whether Bates can find consistent gains on the ground will be the difference. The Bobcats want to hold the ball for the majority of the game and keep Luke Duncklee ’15 and Nick Joseph ’15 from getting loose deep. Consider this one basically a coin flip between these two teams, but we will give Colby the edge based on last week’s results.

Prediction: Colby 21 over Bates 20

Williams (1-4) at Hamilton (0-5): The wheels fell of the bus somewhere along the way from Clinton to Waterville last week for the Continentals, and the same can be said for Williams too. The Hamilton defense has been a hard luck group this year as they place last in the NESCAC in points allowed per game (32.6) but are fifth in yards allowed per game (334.0). Williams will look to get Alex Scyocurka ’14 the ball at least 25 times on the ground in an attempt to wear down the Continentals. Chase Rosenberg ’17 has to do a better job making the easy throw when open. He has not had a single game with a completion percentage above 60 percent. As long as the Ephs show up motivated and ready to play, they should keep Hamilton in the loss column.

Prediction: Williams 24 over Hamilton 14

Last Week: 4-1

Season Record: 21-4

Now the Fun Has Started: The Stock Report 10/21

For NESCAC watchers, this weekend lived up to its promise and then some. Amherst at Wesleyan featured two of the top-three teams trading punches the entire game until Phillip Nwosu ’15 decided it. Then up in Maine, Trinity was without Chudi Iregbulem ’15 and needed a fourth quarter comeback to knock off a resilient Bowdoin team. Middlebury got to above .500 for the first time this year. Finally, Colby got into the winning column in a huge way. There is a lot to cover, so let’s get to the stock report.

Stock Up

Kicker Phillip Nwosu ’15 (Amherst): Back in the preseason when we made Nwosu our team MVP for the Jeffs, many probably found it unusual to see a kicker get so much love. Then the senior went 1-4 on field goals entering the game Saturday with the three misses all coming from 33 yards or fewer. He was still forcing plenty of touchbacks, but something was off. Well Nwosu could not have picked a better time to get his form right than Saturday. He finished 4-4 on field goals and 3-3 on extra points to account for 15 of Amherst’s 33 points. His most important kick was also his best: a 41-yarder in unsure footing with under a minute left to force the game into overtime. The win for Amherst was of course a complete team effort with big games from Gene Garay ’15 and Chris Tamasi ’15 in particular, but at the end of the game after Nwosu had hit the game winner, it was the kicker who was hoisted onto the soldiers of his teammates in celebration.

Colby Leadership: We have made note several times of the brutal schedule that Colby had to face to begin the year, and Saturday saw the Mules take all their frustration out on the Continentals. The Mules came out on a mission from the first snap of the game. The Continentals were the poor team that had all that aggression taken out on them, and they are a better team than they showed on Saturday. Still, this game was over even before halftime with Colby up 40-0. Hats off to the Colby seniors for keeping the team together and working hard in the lead up to this game. Jason Buco ’15 was the star for the defense with two interceptions, and Luke Duncklee ’15 had his best game of the season recording three total touchdowns. Gabe Harrington ’17 looked comfortable in the pocket spreading out his throws to a wealth of receivers. The Mules go to Bates on Saturday in the opener of the CBB (Colby-Bowdoin-Bates). After Saturday, Colby sees no reason why they can’t close the season on a torrid streak.

Bowdoin Linebackers: The trio of Brendan Lawler ’16, Branden Morin ’16, and Bjorn Halvorsen ’17 combined for 34 tackles with 5.5 tackles for loss. Lawler recovered a fumble while Morin accounted for Bowdoin’s only touchdown with a 45-yard interception return for a touchdown. We mentioned on Friday how Bowdoin had the worst rush defense in terms of yards per rush allowed, but on Saturday Trinity gained only 2.8 yards per rush without Iregbulem. The play of the Bowdoin linebackers and the front seven in general forced the Bantams to turn to the air in order to claw their way back for the 17-10 victory. After a slow start to the season, all three linebackers have started to make plays all over the field for the Bowdoin defense.

Stock Down

Bates’ Triple Option: At this point the Bates offense has essentially come to a grinding halt. The Bobcats are averaging a league worst 13.0 points per game. They are also averaging only 231.2 yards per game, the worst mark by any NESCAC team since Tufts averaged 219.5 yards in 2011. Bates usually tries to run the ball all over teams with the triple option, but the running game has had no consistency. Their 2.2 yards per rush average is by far the worst in the NESCAC, with Middlebury the next worse at 2.6. Quarterback Matt Cannone ’15 is the most talented player on the offensive side and he was the player most capable of breathing life into the offense when the running game struggled. However, injuries have slowed him in recent weeks and he has been far from 100 percent. Without him healthy, a once promising season is near the precipice.

Running Back Kyle Gibson ’15 (Wesleyan): After the injury to LaDarius Drew ’15, this was supposed to be the year when Gibson shined as the lead back in Wesleyan’s run heavy attack, but for whatever reason it just has not materialized. Gibson averaged 6.5 yards per carry last year but only 3.4 yards this year. It is entirely possible that Gibson has been struggling with injuries or something else is up because he averaged only 27.5 yards in his past two games. Wesleyan’s running issues do not end with Gibson though. After leading the NESCAC in yards per rush last year with 4.7, the Cardinals are seventh in the NESCAC at 2.9 yards per rush. The Cardinals are so lost for how to get it moving that Donnie Cimino ’15 and Jake Bussani ’14 each got carries on Saturday in an attempt to inject some life into the offense. Jesse Warren ’15 has raised his play almost enough to offset those issues, but a passing offense is not what Wesleyan wants its identity to be.

Week 1 Results: It has now been a month and a day since the first results of the season came back, and at this point it is very important to remember what has changed. Williams was the team of the week with their 36-0 beatdown of Bowdoin. They were riding high until Trinity came in and returned the favor with a 38-0 win. Williams has now lost four games in a row and it looks like they are in disarray. The Polar Bears turned their season around and came close to pulling the upset of the season on Saturday.

Look, Week 1 did tell us a lot. It told us Wesleyan would not be the juggernaut we thought they could be without Drew running the ball, that the Amherst defense was going to be really good, and that something really cool was going on in Medford. Yet you can’t trust everything that happens in the first week of the season. Teams in the NESCAC are closer talent-wise than they might appear from week to week. One injury or a weird bounce can put an “elite” team into a dogfight like Trinity found themselves in this weekend. Teams mature and change over the course of the season so that at times it seems that what we saw in the first week was a mirage.

Breakout Players of 2014

One of the great things about college sports is that every season a new crop of players comes to the forefront. Some players can come in and play as freshmen while others have to wait a couple of years before they get their chance at playing time. Below are the players we expect to become big names in the NESCAC

6. Cornerback Stefan Soucy ’17 (Amherst)

Jaymie Spears is one of the top corners in the NESCAC, and Soucy will start the season at the other corner after almost never playing as a freshman. The New Hampshire native is big and rangy for a defensive back which will help him if teams try to beat him deep. The Jeffs are hoping the corner duo performs similar to how the Jets used Darrelle Revis and Antonio Cromartie a couple years ago. Spears will lock down the top receiver and erase one side of the field while Soucy uses his athleticism to make plays because he has help over the top from his safeties. Running on the Amherst front seven will be very difficult, so teams will come after Soucy in the air.

5. Safety/Linebacker Ben Coulibaly ’17 (Bates)

The sophomore is somewhat of a hybrid for the Bobcats playing all over the field. He is capable of rushing the passer from the outside linebacker position or patrolling center field at safety. While he won’t be asked to do all those things every game, his positional flexibility will allow the Bates coaches to game plan specifically for each opponent. Coulibaly could even end up returning kickoffs. Bates has shown they are willing to be inventive in getting their 11 best players on the field as they moved Andrew Kukesh from safety to linebacker despite him never having played their before. Coulibaly might not have one position he plays every down, but he will have a major impact.

4. Running Backs Rico Gonzalez ’16 and  Jeff Hopsicker ’16 (Hamilton)

James Stanell was the man at running back for the Continentals last year, but Gonzalez and Hopsicker are ready to fill that void. Gonzalez has a Darren Sproles build at 5’7″ and will be able to make defenders look silly at times. The switch to a new offensive attack should also help Hopsicker as he makes the move back to offense. Hopsicker is the bigger of the two backs and will be responsible for gaining a lot of the tough yards on the ground. With those two running behind a line that brings back a plethora of players with experience, the Continentals will look to control the clock.

3. Quarterback Gabe Harrington ’17 (Colby)

The Mules are excited about Harrington stepping in at QB especially with all the skill players around him. Receiver Luke Duncklee ’17 said Harrington’s strength is that “he sits back there and fires the ball. He fits perfectly with our scheme.” Duncklee, Nick Joseph ’17, and Ryder Arsenault ’17 are returning starters so the Colby offense will look to have more balance than it did last year. Harrington throws a great deep ball that will allow the Mules to be one of the few NESCAC teams that can stretch a defense vertically. Harrington will not have a lot of time to adjust as he opens tomorrow against a great Trinity defense.

http://www.hudl.com/athlete/628081/highlights/19905414

2. Linebacker Branden Morin ’16 (Bowdoin)

Morin replaces departed defensive player of the year Joey Cleary ’14 at the WILL linebacker position in Bowdoin’s 4-3 defense. Do not expect the drop-off in production to be significant. While the Bridgewater-Raynham product has only seen limited snaps so far for the Polar Bears, he will pair with former junior Brendan Lawler ’16 in the middle of the defense. Morin’s strength is in run defense where he should blow up plays in the backfield, and he has worked hard to become a good coverage linebacker as well. Morin also starred at running back in high school. Could he become the NESCAC version to UCLA linebacker/running back Myles Jack?

1. Quarterback Austin Lommen ’16 (Williams)

Lommen is a transfer from Boston College who has won the starting job for the Ephs heading into the season. Transferring from D1 to the NESCAC does not automatically mean success like many might assume, but Lommen appears to be making a big difference already. From the Williams Record, “transfer quarterback Austin Lommen ’16, has emerged as a leader of the team. “He commands respect inside the huddle and off the field and I look forward to seeing him lead our offense,” Cabarle [Captain Tom Caberle ’15] said.” His senior highlight tape shows he has a quick release and has the ability to throw on the run. Most of his passes come in rhythm as the first read in the offense which could lead to some interceptions against teams capable of disguising their coverages. His ability to throw the deep ball will be tantamount for an offense that is loaded with height at the wide receiver and tight end positions.

Handicapping the Player of the Year Races

Predicting the potential Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year is about searching for trends in the voting pattern of the NESCAC coaches. Seven of the last eight Offensive POY were quarterbacks, and six of the last seven Defensive POY were linebackers. With that being said, this season looks like it could be very different.

Offensive Player of the Year

The Favorite: Running Back LaDarius Drew ’15 (Wesleyan) – Both All-NESCAC QBs from last season are gone, and Drew looks to be the feature running back on the most explosive offense in the league. He averaged 4.6 yards per carry and scored 10 touchdowns including a 167 yard performance against Bowdoin last year. However, he slowed down as the year went along, averaging under four yards per carry in three of his final four games. Also, Kyle Gibson ’15 will also take a lot of carries and was actually more productive per rush in 2013. Drew could run into a situation where the Wesleyan coaches decide to only give him about 15 carries a game (he averaged 20.5 in 2013), letting Gibson run more, and keeping Drew from putting up big numbers.

Contenders:

Quarterback Jesse Warren ’15 (Wesleyan) – If carries are split by Drew and Gibson then Warren could win if he repeats his efficiency from last season but with slightly more production. Another 15:3 TD:INT ratio will give him a good shot.

Wide Receiver Luke Duncklee ’15 (Colby) – The most productive receiver in the NESCAC will collect a lot of credit if Gabe Harrington ’17 has a seamless transition to the starting role. Fellow receiver Nick Joseph ’15 will also need a good season to make sure teams can’t key on Duncklee.

Quarterback Matt Cannone ’16 (Bates) – After seeing Cannone in action in the scrimmage against Colby, it was clear the junior has made major improvements to his game especially in the passing game. He will rack up both passing and rushing yards in the Bates offense.

Running Back Alex Scyocurka ’14 (Williams) – Opponents keyed on Scyocurka a lot meaning he averaged only 3.3 yards per carry, but he should be able to punish defenses with a more balanced attack this season, and he’s as healthy as he’s ever been, so perhaps he can get closer to the 5.3 yards per rush he averaged in 2012. An improvement as a team will also help his prospects, though he has to cut down on the four fumbles from a year ago.

Wide Receiver Gene Garay ’15 (Amherst)-  The only other receiver who looks to have a shot at POY honors is Garay. The senior was the leading receiver for Amherst last season and should see even more targets with Jake O’Malley graduated. He is also helped by the potential for big plays in the return game.

The Darkhorse: Running Back Chudi Iregbulem ’15 (Trinity) – Iregbulem has not seen the field very much because of all the talent in front of him, but now he steps to the forefront. He will get the majority share of carries in tandem with Jacob Rivers ’15. His 7.2 yards per carry average is inflated somewhat because it came at the end of blowouts against tired defenses. Consider his potential a tacit compliment to the entire Trinity offensive line who will deserve much of the credit if he has a great season.

Defensive Player of the Year

The Favorite: Defensive End James Howe ’16 (Williams)

Howe was the only sophomore selected to the All-NESCAC First Team in 2013. He tallied 55 tackles, which is impressive for a lineman, especially given the fact that teams would choose to run the opposite way if given the choice, seven more than the next-highest total by a lineman, Colby defensive end Caleb Harris ’15. Howe led the league in sacks with 10, 2.5 more than Harris, and was one behind Amherest linebacker Chris Tamasi ’15 with 17 tackles for loss. Usually linebackers get the most recognition because they are asked to do the most on the field, but Howe is on another level compared to his peers. His pressure and dominance on the line makes the linebackers’ and defensive backs’ jobs easier, and for that he comes into 2014 as the favorite to bring home this honor.

Contenders:

Linebacker Tim Patricia ’16 (Middlebury) It’s been noted before, but the tackle numbers on defenses like Middlebury and Tufts are inflated because their offenses run so many plays. Nevertheless, Patricia is a playmaker. The former Rookie of the Year has been a force in the Middlebury for the Panthers since day one. It’s not his athletic tools that make him a great tackler, but his football IQ. Proof that his numbers are not just a product of high play totals: Patricia accounted for almost 14 percent of Middlebury’s tackles and over 13 percent of solos. Leading tackler Joey Cleary ’14 tallied just over 16 percent of Bowdoin’s tackles and just under 16 percent of solos.

Safety Jake Bussani ’14 (Wesleyan) The only thing that might keep Bussani from making a run for DPOY honors is the wealth of talent surrounding him on defense, but the graduate has made the All-NESCAC First Team in three straight seasons. His stats weren’t as impressive as in the previous two seasons, but that doesn’t mean that his play has tapered off.

Defensive End Caleb Harris ’15 (Colby) We already mentioned Harris above, but it’s worth reiterating that Harris was the cornerstone of the best run defense in the league last season, and was only six off the pace for most tackles on his own team.

Linebacker Chris Tamasi ’15 (Amherst) Much like the next name on this list, what sets Tamasi apart is his ability to penetrate the backfield. Tamasi led the NESCAC with 18 tackles for loss and had four sacks, tying with teammate Ned Deane ’15 for the most among linebackers.

Linebacker Mike Weatherby ’14 (Trinity) A year after making the All-NESCAC First Team for the first time, Weatherby is back for a fifth year at the heart of the Bantams defense. Weatherby is great at stopping the ball carrier behind the line of scrimmage, as he racked up just one sack in 2013 but 11 tackles for loss.

Cornerback Brian Dones ’15 (Trinity) It’s tough to leave out Dones’ teammate, safety Mike Mancini ’15, but the corner might be the best pass defender in the league. His three interceptions and 11 pass breakups were both tops in the NESCAC, and his 1.8 pass breakups per game was tied for 11th in the nation. Teams might choose to throw away from Dones this year, but expect him to still make some big plays.

The Darkhorse: Safety/Linebacker Gilbert Brown ’15 (Bates) Brown fills the “down safety” position in Bates’ 3-3 stack defense, a position that requires a great deal of versatility. This allows Brown to be a factor in both the run and pass game, and on occasion he will be called on to create pressure on the quarterback. He racked up 42 tackles, 7.5 tackles for loss, one sack, two interceptions and two pass breakups in 2013. Bates’ defense should be much improved this season with a bunch of starters returning, and Brown could elevate his game and become a game plan player around the NESCAC.

Anyone you think we missed? Let us know in the comments.

Colby Team Preview – The Mules Look to Leave a Legacy

2013 Record: 4-4

Returning Starters: 18 (8 offense, 9 defense, 1 specialist)

Offensive Overview:

The offseason headlines centered around dual-threat QB Justin Ciero transferring, but the Mule offense still has a lot of talent remaining. The good news for the new QB is that the strongest returning group is wide receiver with Luke Duncklee ’15, Nick Joseph ’15, and Ryder Arsenault ’17 all back. Gabe Harrington ’16 at this point is the favorite to win the job barring a major late push from transfer Michael Ecke ’17. While Duncklee was far and away the most targeted receiver last season, Arsenault and Joseph should see more throws their way in order to keep defenses honest. Carl Lipani ’17 won the starting running back role halfway through the year, and he will see a large bump in carries as well.

Tight ends Glenn Parsons ’16 and David Von Euw ’15 were also not targeted often last season, but they will both see the field a lot, possibly in two tight end packages. The offensive line has a couple of holes to fill, but the biggest issue could be depth if there are injuries. Captain Connor Clancy ’15 along with returners Tom Abare ’15 and Jesse Eddy ’16 will have to play very well in order to keep the offensive line effective. This offense will have a different look than the one last year, but that doesn’t mean it couldn’t still be successful.

Defensive Overview:

With nine starters back, this could be one of the best defenses in the NESCAC. The strength of the team is in the front seven where all seven starters and other upperclassmen return to a  group that allowed only 88.2 rushing yards per game. The defensive line had 19 sacks last season, led by the 7.5 sacks from defensive end Caleb Harris ’15. Ryan Ruiz ’15 returns from injury and is the other end, while a name to watch is Jack Muntu-Caron. He came on in the second half of the season including a two sack game in the finale against Bowdoin. Chris Marano ’17 and Kalu Kalu ’15 are the starting tackles on the inside with others ready to play behind them. The linebackers are loaded with Henry Nelson ’15, a four year starter, a force from the middle linebacker position. Stephen O’Grady ’16 and Tony Atkinson ’15 are the outside linebackers, and both are now three year starters.

The secondary is led by stars corner Jason Buco ’15 and safety Zach Padula ’15. Those two will have to make big plays in order to keep teams from attacking Colby in the air as the Mules were eighth in the league in terms of defensive passing yards per game. Ethan Johnson ’16 and Randy Person ’15 are the others who will see time the the defensive backfield. The defense has a lot of talent and experience, but they need to do a better job against the best offenses. The season opener against Trinity will be an interesting test.

Courtesy of Amherst Athletics
Courtesy of Amherst Athletics

Three Big Questions:

1. Can they survive the first half of the season?

Colby’s schedule this season gets harder with the inclusion of Trinity giving Colby four very hard games to start the season. In order, they play Trinity, Middlebury, Wesleyan, and Amherst. Last season they emerged from the first half with a 1-3 record before winning three straight. Playing such a tough schedule with a new starting QB means another dimension of complexity, but the defense should keep them in every single game they play.

2. How well can the offensive line play?

The new QB will have an easy transition as long as the offensive line plays well. He has the skill position players around him to succeed, but he will need a solid running game and time in the pocket to make plays. Ciero often danced around in the pocket which sometimes led him to avoid sacks but also caused him to take sacks when he should have gotten the ball away quicker. The Colby rushing attack was one of the better ones in the league last season. As said above, injuries could be a potential downfall.

3. Will special teams see improvement?

Colby was weak in a lot of areas in special teams last season. Louw Scheepers ’15 was solid on kickoffs and field goals going 7-11 including a long of 41 yards, but his punting was not as steady. Colby averaged as a team 31.1 yards per punt, 3.4 yards less than any other team. Padula was the primary returner on punts and kickoffs. While he did a decent job, the Mules still had the third lowest kickoff return average. Given the potential for a slow start to the offense, a great special teams would help Colby steal a game or two even.

Team MVP: Caleb Harris ’15. You know another thing that helps teams when there are questions around the offense? Having a defensive end who can make the opposing offense’s day terrible. Harris’ sack numbers are inflated somewhat because he had four in one game against Hamilton, but he still posted at least half a tackle for loss in every game.

Biggest Game: Sept. 27 against Middlebury

Colby’s second game of the season will tell us if they can continue to grow as a team or if the loss of Ciero will cause the potential for a special season to fizzle. A win at home against Middlebury sets up Colby for a potential late season run that would send them about .500. The matchup of the two new QB’s in this game will be a fun one to watch with two defenses that both have been under-appreciated before.

Best Tweet of the Offseason: Remember people, everyone loves Wawa.