Pitching is the Catalyst: NESCAC Baseball Stock Report Week 3

Stock Up:

Messing with Hitters

This weekend Wesleyan Freshman Klevin Sosa a.k.a. the lefty Johnny Cueto of the ‘CAC, showed us that he means business. Sosa pitched an absolute gem of a game against reigning runner-ups Middlebury to give the Cardinals a win in the second game of their series sweep. Sosa tossed 6 ⅔ dominant innings to stifle the Panthers, racking up 11Ks and only allowing 2 walks and 2 hits for no runs. With a season ERA of 1.16 and a K/9 of nearly 12, Sosa is not only making a case for a NESCAC Rookie of the Year spot, but maybe a First Team bid as well if he keeps this going through conference play. His keys to success are his changes in timing, slidestepping, double-leg kicking, holding at the bottom, and generally messing with hitters. He has some of the same flair as Johnny Cueto and Marcus Stroman, and was able to pitch like them last weekend:

Preseason Awards List Accuracy

If you thought Sosa’s performance was good, then you missed the real gem. LHP Mike McCaffrey ’19 didn’t just quiet Middlebury bats, he silenced them, combining for a no-no with Pat Clare. I would like to personally thank Mike for starting to live up to my prediction (https://nothingbutnescac.com/?p=5845) that he will be this year’s West Division Cy Young. His rocky starts in non-conference matchups did have me worried and his 4.28 ERA is still not where it needs to be, but clearly McCaffrey knows how to get hot when it counts. I would also like to offer my condolences to my editor and friend, RHP Colby Morris ‘19 (Middlebury), who pitched a CG loss for the Panthers against McCaffrey’s Cardinals. With the way that Midd was hitting in Game 1 they may as well have let Colby have a shot at hitting McCaffrey. But as anyone who has seen Colby hit knows, he probably would have fared just as well as his teammates.

McCaffrey was three outs a way from a CG no-no. A combined no hitter isn’t too bad though.

Amherst’s Weightlifting Program

The upperclassmen duo of Nick Nardone and Ariel Kenney wreaked havoc on the ERA of Williams’ pitchers this weekend. Both Nardone and Kenney managed to hit doubles in every single game of their 2-1 series win against the Ephs. Combined, these two hit .500/.577/.773 on the weekend powering the Mammoths to 11-9 and 16-4 wins along with a tight 5-4 loss. On the season Nardone now has a very respectable .876 OPS and Kenney boasts a ridiculous .431 BA. Halfway through conference play it’s looking like Amherst could be contending with West Division rival Wesleyan for the top spot in the NESCAC. These two clubs will face off for their final in-conference series later this month in what could turn out to be a NESCAC Championship preview. For now, the Mammoths will be traveling to Vermont next weekend to take on a staggering Panther team, which could lead to further inflation of these already noteworthy stats for Kenney and Nardone.

Bates Pitching

Holding another team to only 5 runs in a series is usually unheard of in NESCAC baseball, but the boys on the mound for the Bobcats were able to pull it off this past weekend. Starting off the series for Bates was LHP Connor Russell ‘18 who shut down rival Colby College on their own turf, going the distance in a complete game shutout. Although he didn’t need it, Russell was aided with copious run support in an 11-0 blowout. Bates took that momentum into Game 2 in which, RHP Nolan Collins ‘20, went 7 strong innings, only surrendering 1 run to the Mules. LHP Jake Shapiro ‘18 then came in for the Bobcats and finished off Game 2, not allowing a run in his 2 innings of relief. Although Bates did lose Game 3, they still got a scoreless 3 ⅓ IP of relief on a combined effort by Alex Simon ‘19, Miles Michaud ‘20 and Jake Shapiro ‘18. After a fairly ugly preseason, I’m sure that the Bobcats are fired up to see that things are starting to click on the mound. Although Colby doesn’t appear to be the strongest competition in the NESCAC, teams have to take every conference win that they can in order to contend for a playoff spot. In a conference of hitters, finding a way to get it done on the mound is invaluable. 

Stock Down:

William’s Starting Pitching

When you struggle to make it to the second inning on the mound, you’re gonna have a bad time. In their series against Amherst, Williams’ starters RHP Kyle Dean ‘20 and LHP Charlie Carpenter ‘20 combined to go 0-2, only lasting 1 ⅔ IP, and amassing 13 ER on 8 hits, 6 walks and 3 Ks. Now I’m sure everyone has heard of the sophomore slump, but a combined 70.2 ERA and 8.40 WHIP for the two hurlers is a little more harsh than most could even imagine. I’m just going to go ahead and say that Dean is not going to win the Reliever of the Year award, I’m man enough to admit when I’m wrong, and wow was I wrong with that one. A consolation prize goes to RHP George Carroll ‘21, who went 6 ⅔ IP and allowed 3 ER in the Eph’s lone 5-4 win. Thanks to Carroll, Williams starter’s ERA drops to 17.3 for the weekend, not great but, hey, it’s something. Williams will face both Trinity and Bates next week in a pair of battles between East and West in which they will look to bounce back from their performance against Amherst. To end on some words of encouragement for the Eph’s staff, there is nowhere to go but up, probably.

There have been plenty of runners for Williams C Alex Panstares to worry about with the state of their starting pitching.

Midd’s Playoff Hopes

As the Panthers returned east, leaving sunny SoCal, their hopes to make their way back to the NESCAC championship went south. In the NESCAC, in which you only have 12 conference games, being swept could be a death sentence for your playoff hopes. Too little, too late was the story of the weekend for the Panther lineup. Middlebury’s offense was held scoreless by Wesleyan for the first 13 innings of the series, not scoring until the 7th inning of Game 2. Maybe the reason that Midd couldn’t get their bats going is that morale was low from the get-go. At no point in any of the three games was Middlebury in the lead. This is probably due to the fact that in the first 5 innings of each game Wesleyan outscored Midd 18-4, aka too little.  Although the Panthers were able to turn it around later in the game, outscoring Wesleyan 10-5 from the 6th inning on, it was, you guessed it, too late. Baseball is a game of momentum and there was none to be found for Middlebury this weekend and it showed in the box scores. A team ERA of 9.41 and team batting average of .195 is not going to get the Panthers where they need to be. Middlebury’s series next weekend against Amherst will be make or break for their season. A sweep will put them ahead of the Mammoths in the standings and back in contention for a playoff spot but in order for the Panthers to make that happen they will need their bats to get going much much earlier.

Colby’s Infield

Lack of production is the nice way of describing Colby’s infield this weekend against Bates. As a group they went a combined 6-43 (.140 BA), left 11 runners on base, grounded into 3 double plays and got caught stealing on 2 of 3 attempts. An argument could be made that as a group they did more harm than good offensively. In the NESCAC a successful team needs to find production up and down the lineup and that was certainly not the case for the Mules in their NESCAC opener. Without a 10-30 (.333 BA) effort from Colby’s outfield the series could have been even uglier than it already was. The contrast between the Mules’ infield and outfield certainly explains why they’re currently last in the CAC with 1 ⅔ runs scored per conference game. The upsides for the Mules are two-fold; the fact that they were able to steal an away win in their final game against Bates could provide some momentum rolling into next weekend’s contest against a Trinity squad who currently leads the Eastern Division. Secondly, Senior Captain Matt Treveloni still paces the team with a .442 BA (2nd in the NESCAC), .674 SLG (3rd), 1.163 OPS (4th) and 2 3B (3rd). While Treveloni makes a strong case for First Team, as of now it still seems as if Colby won’t realize the dream of reaching their 1st ever NESCAC playoffs.

Swagger Wins Rings: NESCAC Baseball Roster Pic Power Rankings

NESCAC Baseball Roster Pic Power Rankings

As we all know, sports come down to much more than stats and analytics. In baseball especially, teams are more and more reliant these days on metrics and all sorts of things their computers tell them. Well, today we’re telling the story untold. Being a college baseball player really boils down to one thing: your roster pic. People can go any direction with their roster pic and it really is important. The message you choose to send is a big deal and it says a lot about you. Take a look at Middlebury skier Pate Campbell’s photo for instance:

This is a big time roster pic. I feel like I’ve known Pate Campbell my entire life after seeing this picture, and that right there is exactly the point. It’s a good thing this article focuses on just baseball players, because Campbell’s might possibly be the greatest roster pic I’ve ever seen. Naturally, we had to figure out which players had the best pictures across the league because that tells us more than stats ever could. After sifting through literally every single picture of every player on every team, one player was selected from each squad with the most outrageous pic, then ranked 1-10. This ranking is absolutely open for discussion because personal preference really affects the way each picture is perceived.

 

10. Justin Olson ’21 (Trinity)

Trinity is the only team besides Hamilton who takes their pictures without the team hat on, and I have to say it really paid off here. We’re fortunate enough to get a great look at a terrific head of properly coiffed, searing red hair. What happens if you combine that with an inviting smile and dreamy eyes? Ladies and gentlemen, I give you Justin Olson.

 

9. Ian Kinney ’18 (Tufts)

This one isn’t anything too crazy, but Kinney gives us a nice beard, a cheesy mustache, and a psycho stare that tells us he’s a relief pitcher before the program even has to. If you really want to dig deep, you’ll see that Kinney has added the beard to his repertoire since last year’s picture, which I must say is a great touch.

 

8. Sam Schneider ’18 (Amherst)

Schneider’s pic is interesting because my guess is that most people wouldn’t have even put him as high as 8. Well that goofy smile and teen wolf hair poking out from his shirt makes me think otherwise. I don’t like that Amherst wears purple hats with a purple background in their pictures though. It’s just too much purple.

 

7. Arlyn Lopez ’21 (Hamilton)

I liked Ian Kinney’s psycho stare, but I like Arlyn Lopez’s hardo stare even more. As a freshman you really have to go one of two ways: intimidating or completely goofy. Evidently, Lopez chose the former and we’re blessed to see this work of art. The chin piece is trimmed nicely and he looks ready to go. Well done.

 

6. Gray Goolsby ’20 (Middlebury)

The only reason Goolsby finds his way this high up the list is because of how long it took to figure out if he actually has a mustache or not. I think he does. This roster pic doesn’t tell us much about Gray Goolsby, but there’s a subtlety in his eyes that makes me think there’s something soft underneath that tough exterior that he may not be letting on. Also, that kind of grit reminds me of Lt. Aldo Raine which tells us all that he means business.

 

5. Connor Speed ’18 (Bates)

The crazy eyes. The mustache not quite connecting to the beard. The blank stare. Each of these help leave a bread crumb trail of insanity. Once you see the unorthodox, pseudo-submarine delivery that Speed offers, the picture is complete. This kid was born to be a pitcher and a pitcher he is – with a killer roster pic.

 

4. David Redfield ’21 (Wesleyan)

Wow. Here’s a guy that I would pay to see without his hat on. That kind of luscious, red hair is once in a generation. The fact that it covers almost the entire back of his neck while still providing a subtle curl is almost majestic. His stern look offers a nice contrast to the flowing locks, making this a nearly perfect effort at a freshman roster pic. The best part: His last name is Redfield! Talk about an electric nickname, Red.

 

3. Brandon Lopez ’19 (Bowdoin)

This pic oozes swagger almost as much as Lopez’s presence on the field. The facial hair that almost isn’t there but kind of sort of is perfectly complements the popped chains and bat on his shoulder. You can tell just from the picture that he isn’t here to mess around. Lopez nailed it with this one.

 

2. Adam Regensburg ’18 (Williams)

Sadly there weren’t very many killer mustaches to choose from. Luckily, Regensburg crushes this one out of the park. I’m a huge fan of the mustache with the 5 o’clock shadow look, so this hits home a bit. This is another guy who has undergone some serious changes since his earlier days – see his freshman football roster pic for some legitimate progress.

 

1. Cameron Garfield ’21 and Jackson Ward ’19 (Colby)

There was just no way to pick one winner from these two gems. Garfield’s working man beard reflects on his background from notoriously blue-collar Phillips Andover Academy. This confusing yet powerful facial hair is bold, but he pulls it off in a way I’ve certainly never seen before. Props to him. Then we have Ward whose ‘stache alone would’ve earned him a top 10 spot on this list. Throw in the lacrosse flow and hilarious smirk and he makes his way to the top.

Make or Break in Week Two: NESCAC Baseball Weekend Preview

NESCAC baseball is full steam ahead, despite what this weather is telling us. This past weekend we got to smell the sweet fresh cut grass, the ear ringing BBCOR aluminum bats, and baseballs snapping leather. NESCAC baseball, as always, is giving us upset alerts. Tufts, the most dominant team in 2017, has already dropped two conference games, just one off of last season’s total. On the filp side, as expected, Amherst is off to a hot start. Most teams, however, are in the middle of the pack only a week in. This second weekend is crucial for those teams who want to distance themselves from average. Here’s the weekend preview:

Bowdoin @ Trinity:

I wrote to the NESCAC universe in my season preview that Trinity is a team to take very seriously. I said that they potentially figured out how to optimize their pitching. Taking two out of three games over Tufts isn’t just good; it’s remarkable. Tufts is like the 2014 and 2015 Wesleyan teams: they were dominant the past two seasons. The ‘Bos graduated quality starting pitching, and it showed. The mark of a good ball club is winning close games. Trin took both games by three runs or less. The Bantams simply didn’t have the run support in the game they lost. I normally pick out a player that was the difference maker; however, there’s one team stat that illustrates how talented the Bantams are: they rank first in the conference in walks. Walks increase pitch count, make fielders lose focus, and put unneeded stress on the pen. If the Bantams can keep drawing walks, they’re going to be tough to stop.

Bowdoin is also 2-1 in conference. They took two games against Bates this past weekend. Wins are wins in the end, but Bates is no Tufts. Brandon Lopez is a jack of all trades for the Polar Bears. He’s both a pitcher and utility player. He has a .250 average so far and a 4.41 ERA. These are solid stats, but they’re nowhere near Lopez’s potential. He’s a freak athlete, both football and baseball, and played a major role for the Polar Bears last year. He’s a crucial piece if the Polar Bears want to make a playoff run. They’re first in the league in stolen bases, which is a dynamic aspect to the team. Lopez can fly. If he gets on base more, the team will be even more scary on the bases.

Series prediction: Bowdoin 1, Trinity 2

Colby @ Bates:

I’ll be blunt here. Both teams probably won’t make the playoffs. Even though the season is early, I don’t either team has the depth to beat the elite of the NESCAC. I do have a bias towards Colby. Two of my high school teammates, Matt Treveloni and Will Cohen, are Mules. Trev is already on track to be in the discussion of NESCAC player of the year and is hitting .469 with 11 RBIs–leading the team by far (a figure that should fall back to earth against better competition). Trev’s the key player for the Mules as a leader in the lineup, and a guy with scary range in the outfield. Cohen has pitched decently so far. He will need to pick if the Mules want to make a deep run this season.

Bates is picking up where they left off last season: without much momentum. Bates still isn’t hitting. They are only hitting .201. They’ve only scored nine runs in three games. That’s simply not enough in NESCAC baseball. Bates needs to figure at the plate if they want to have a record over .500. The pitching has been decent and Connor Russell is their ace with a 3.95 ERA but even he hasn’t been blowing guys away. It has to be frustrating for him without any support from their lineup.

Series Prediction: Colby 2, Bates 1

Williams lacks pitching, but range in the infield and lots of backpicks from C Alex Panstares ’19 might keep them in a ballgame or two. (Photo courtesy of David Goldstein)

Amherst vs Williams

The Amherst vs Williams rivalry is one of the most storied rivalries in college. Both schools are on opposite poles, however. Amherst is on the rise. Coach Hamm has figured it out once again. Amherst can mash. They’re first in the league in homers and second RBIs. Ariel Kenney is hitting .400 with two homers on the season. Harry Roberson was one player that I said would be Amherst’s best hitter. Kenney is absolutely crushing right now, and looks like he won’t slow down. The pitching staff is doing its job too as Andrew Ferrero holds a 0.96 ERA. That’s insane in his significant sample size of over 18 innings, but he was used out of the pen last weekend rather than as a starter. Amherst is strong top down without any glaring weaknesses.

Williams was lucky to go 1-2 last weekend against Middlebury. Midd’s a strong team, and Williams appears to be weak in multiple areas. The greatest area of concern for the Ephs is starting pitching. They have no depth. The team has a 7.21 ERA, which isn’t great to put it lightly. George Carroll has a 2.81 ERA which looks great on the surface, but he has zero strikeouts in 16 innings, showing that his numbers likely are not sustainable. That tells me that he doesn’t have an electric fastball. That’s a real shame because the Ephs’ lineup is solid. They’re hitting .271 as a team, but with a 7.21 ERA, that’s not nearly high enough to compensate for a lack of quality pitching. Williams has a long way to go, so if they pick up at most one win against Amherst, that’s a win.

Series Prediction: Amherst 3, Williams 0

Middlebury @ Wesleyan

This is my series of the week. Wesleyan has shown that they’re an all around solid team. Kelvin Sosa, a freshman pitcher, has a Kershaw like delivery that doesn’t allow hitters to consistently time up their stride. He doesn’t throw hard necessarily, but his southpaw late movement is really strong. He has a 1.62 ERA with 20 k’s on the season so far. To put it bluntly, he’s nasty. Jonny Corning is showing that he’s an elite player. I personally think he has all five tools. He’s not physically imposing, but he has pop. Look for him to be on the all conference team this year or in the years to come.

While Wesleyan has a young lefty arm up in their rotation, Middlebury’s Will Oppenheim ’21 is making a name for himself, too. (Photo courtesy of David Goldstein)

Midd comes into the series with some regrets. They should’ve taken all three games against Williams last weekend. Colby Morris, my editor, is going to be key in this series. Wes can hit, and Colby can pitch. Colby isn’t making me write this about him, which is going to be made clear in the next few sentences. He has to face a deep Wesleyan lineup. Even though the Cards’ strength is obviously 1-4 in the lineup, 1-9 will not give up easily. You rarely see three pitch strikeouts against the Cards. They string together quality at bats game in and game out. I’m not saying Colby will get shelled, but he can’t try to work around guys like Ryan Earle and Chase Pratt. He has to get out of three innings below sixty pitches. If Colby has a few early innings less than ten pitches, Middlebury will win the opener, and probably the series. Game one holds all the momentum.

If Wesleyan wins game one, I don’t think Middlebury can win the next two with Olmstead or Sosa on the bump for the cards

Series Prediction: Wesleyan 3, Middlebury 0

What can we expect from Wesleyan? NESCAC Baseball Week 2 Stock Report

NESCAC Baseball Week Two Stock Report:

Stock Up

Tanner Fulkerson (Wesleyan)

Tanner Fulkerson ’20

Fulkerson has had a monstrous start to his second season with the Cardinals, batting .393 with 1 home run and a conference leading 24 RBI’s in just 16 games. Fulkerson has had at least 4 RBI’s in three games so far this year as he leads a Wesleyan team averaging over 8 runs per game into their first NESCAC contests this weekend against Middlebury. While Wesleyan’s spring break strength of schedule wasn’t incredibly strong, Fulkerson will have a chance to prove he is the real deal against a strong Middlebury pitching staff.

Brent Greeley (Tufts)

Brent Greeley ’20

Another sophomore with a great start to the year, Greeley has a 1.29 ERA in 21 innings pitched. Greeley boasts a 3-0 record in those four appearances, while his only no-decision came last weekend against Trinity after he pitched 5 scoreless innings before getting pulled. Tufts is off from NESCAC play this weekend so look for Greeley to have another strong start against a non-conference team in preparation for an April 13/14 showdown at Bowdoin.

Colby Morris (Middlebury)

Colby Morris ’19

While I hate to put NBN head editor on this list, he deserves a spot. Morris has had the best start to the season of his career at Middlebury as he has pitched 28.2 innings with 22 strikeouts and a 1.88 ERA, which are all good for top-4 rankings in the league. This weekend series against Tanner Fulkerson and Wesleyan should be a good one as we will see which one of these guys can come out on top. The Midd/Wesleyan matchup features this showdown between arguably the best pitcher and hitter so far in the season.

Stock Down

Williams Pitching

The Williams pitching staff had a tough spring break trip posting a team ERA of 7.21 going into their second weekend of NESCAC play. In non-conference games over spring break, Williams gave up at least 7 runs in nine different games before getting rocked for 20 runs by Middlebury in their NESCAC opener. Williams was hoping Kyle Dean, a freshmen standout from last year, would be able to lead an extremely young rotation. Unfortunately, he has not had the start to the year he was hoping for despite his hard fastball due to a lack of stamina and offspeed repertoire. Williams’ top four most utilized pitchers so far this season are all freshmen and sophomores so hopefully with more and more experience throughout the season they will be able to turn it around.

Mike McCaffrey (Wesleyan)

Mike McCaffrey ’19

McCaffrey was NBN’s preseason pick for the West Cy Young award and while it is still early in the season, McCaffrey is going to need to step it up if he wants live up to the hype (that we created).  He currently has a 5.48 ERA but has given up 27 hits in just 21.1 total innings pitched. In his last two starts he has given up 10 earned runs in just 11 innings against Carleton and Endicott. The season is extremely young but this is not the momentum that McCaffrey wanted to build going into Wesleyan’s NESCAC opener.  One bright side is that McCaffrey leads the conference in strikeouts so hopefully he can use that as something to build on as the season progresses.

NESCAC Spring Break Trips

NESCAC teams travelled all over the country in search of warm weather and while it is important to note that playing against teams that have 10+ games under their belts is difficult, the NESCAC on a whole didn’t do itself any favors in overall rankings. NESCAC teams posted an overall record of 46-61. As a conference that is known for being one of the strongest for Division III baseball, posting a sub-.500 overall record will not bode well for teams hoping to get an at-large bid into the NCAA tournament later in the year. None of the NESCAC teams are ranked or received votes in the latest poll which is unusual. As we mentioned in the spring break recap article, Tufts usually walks through their games in Virginia with wins, so to see no teams threatening for an at large bid right now is a bit disappointing.

The Snow is Starting to Thaw: NESCAC Baseball Spring Break Recap

Editor’s Note: All of the NESCAC spring break trips are now over and conference play has started for eight of 10 teams. While it might be easy to predict some weekend results, others become muddled after looking at teams’ overall records. Depending on the region of spring break trips (Florida, Arizona, the Mid-Atlantic, or California) there are vastly different strengths of schedules, leading to either inflated or deflated stats. Generally, California has the strongest teams, while all of the other regions have extremely weak competition. For a more in depth look at strength of schedule, check out this site which provides a ranking and strength of schedule assessment for ever D3 baseball team in the country: http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/isr/d3_isr.html.

Amherst:

Trip Location: Florida

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Weak

Despite a stretch of losses in the middle, Amherst (9-5, 2-0) came out of their preseason contests boasting a respectable 7-5 record. While their offense did its job, hitting .279 as a team and scoring 5.9 runs per game, their pitching is really what carried their success. Andrew Ferrero ‘19 has been the Mammoths’ best pitcher so far, only allowing 2 runs in 18.2 IP on the young season, however, mostly out of the bullpen. Also impressive was Zach Horwitz ‘20 who holds a 1.64 ERA after 11 innings on the bump. Offensively, Amherst was led by Ariel Kenney ‘18 who hit .364 and had a sky-high OPS of 1.157 as a result of two home runs on their trip down south. The Mammoths have set a solid tone for their club for the rest of the season and if key pieces like Harry Roberson ‘18 start to find a groove, Amherst could be title contenders.

Bates:

Trip Location: California

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Strong

Bates (4-9, 1-2) started out their 2018 campaign slowly, dropping six straight games in California. Although they started off on a bad note, both for themselves and for the NESCAC, the Bobcats were able to pick themselves up a little bit once they got back to the East Coast, taking 3 of their next 4 games. A 3-7 record going into NESCAC play is nothing to brag about, but maybe Bates can use some of their recent success to jumpstart them in conference play. With a team ERA of 6.12 and team batting average of .195 going into the opening weekend, there weren’t a whole lot of individuals who stood out as noteworthy after their early trip to SoCal. One bright spot may be Dan Trulli ‘19 who hit .262 over their 10 games and dropped Bates’ only bomb all preseason long. While Bates did play poorly, they traveled to California on February 18th, just three days after official practices started, so we will give them a break here as they couldn’t have been adequately prepared to compete.

Bowdoin:

Spring Break Location: Florida

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Medium

Bowdoin (8-7, 2-1) exits their preseason going an average 6-6. While they had a few lopsided victories (10-1 and 10-2 over Keuka), they also had lopsided losses (16-3 against #3 Rowan). Bowdoin really came into their own over their last 6 games, going 5-1 and holding opposing offenses to only 2.5 runs per game. While their staff as a whole has a very unimpressive ERA of 5.82, Seamus Keenan ‘20 sets the pace for the Polar Bears with a 1.42 ERA and 13K through his first 12 ⅔ IP. The offense has been led by Joe Gentile ‘18 and Jack Wilhoite ‘19 who are each hitting .405 and .406, respectively. While Bowdoin does have 4 guys hitting over .340, nobody in the rest of their lineup is able to crack .260, creating a stark contrast between the middle of their order and the rest. Bowdoin’s keys to success this season will be to lower that team ERA, and get everyone involved up and down the lineup.

Colby:

Spring Break Location: Florida

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Weak

After a huge 13-4 victory over Keuka on opening day, the Mules (2-8, 0-0) have looked stagnant. Going 1-6 since that win is not the look that Colby needed going into NESCAC play. Their only other win after Keuka comes against Waterville rival Thomas College, which is not a particularly impressive win to say the least. Captain Matt Treveloni ‘18 has had a stand out spring so far hitting .440, with the majority of his knocks being for extra bases. Will Phillips ‘20 has also been lighting it up for the Mules at the plate hitting .444. On the other side of the equation, Colby has been giving up an average of 6.6 runs per game, and the offense can’t keep pace with that so far. One success the Mules have had on the mound so far has been Frank Driscoll ‘21, who allowed no earned runs and recorded 8 Ks in the first start of his college career, earning the win over Thomas. The clear problem the Mules have right now is not their ability to put runs on the board, but rather keep them off of it. As their younger pitchers gain more experience, perhaps the Mules can take an opportunity to climb in the standings from their last place finish in 2017.

Hamilton:

Spring Break Location: Florida

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Weak

Hamilton’s (6-9, 0-2) preseason has been an absolute rollercoaster ride. Dropping their first 7 contests, the Continental’s trajectory seemed to be on a crash course for disaster. That is until their bats caught fire and proceeded to win them their next 6 games in a row. Talk about getting hot at the right time, Hamilton is coming into conference play riding a huge wave of momentum, even though they couldn’t finish out a game against Amherst on opening weekend. A large chunk of their success so far has come from freshman duo Jarrett Lee ‘21 and Matt Zaffino ‘21 who both look to be in the early running for NESCAC Rookie of the Year. Zaffino’s 10 extra base hits, three big flys, .405 AVG. and absurd .892 SLG% pace the Continentals through this past weekend. Hamilton’s freshman heavy lineup continues with Gavin Schaefer-Hood ‘21 who leads the Continentals with 16 ⅓ IP saw his 3.77 ERA balloon to 6.06 after a rough outing against Amherst. While Hamilton would not appear to be in the running for a NESCAC crown this season, I would expect them to find a lot more success this season than last with lots of help from their newfound fountain of youth.

Andrew Corcoran ’18 and the Panthers take big swings and will try to continue their suddenly hot offensive streak into Middletown this weekend.

Middlebury:

Spring Break Location: California

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Strong

While Midd (6-9, 2-1) boasts a weak 4-8 non-conference record, their strength of schedule may be to blame. Unlike their competitors who venture down to Florida or Arizona for the duration of their spring break games, Midd throws themselves right into the fire. They played in both Georgia and Southern California to face quality competition on their turf. The Panther’s 3-3 record on their SoCal trip in comparison to Bates’ 0-6 shows the caliber of players that Middlebury has. While their offense has been lackluster, hitting .223 as a team before playing Williams, Justin Han ‘20 has been a diamond in the rough hitting .347 with 12 RBI for the Panthers. On the mound, NBN editor and Middlebury ace Colby Morris ‘19 has been getting the job done, already amassing 28 ⅔ IP on the young season and maintaining a stellar 2.08 ERA befoer facing Williams, which ismuch improved from his first two seasons. While Midd is slated to be a major contender for the NESCAC championship this spring, it is still clear that they have issues that need addressing both offensively and defensively in order to compete at the level they are expected to.

Trinity:

Spring Break Location: South Carolina

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Medium

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Trinity’s (6-8, 2-1) spring so far has been quite below-average. Their 2-4 record in South Carolina screams “meh” and the fact that they have already had 5 home games, a luxury most all NESCAC teams have not enjoyed, hasn’t seemed to serve them too well. With a vital series win against Tufts, the Bantams showed that they put themselves in a good position, however, to outplay the Jumbos. One guy who has been getting it done for the Bantams has been Matt Koperniak ‘20 who leads Trinity in AVG (.404) and extra base hits (6). On the bump, Trinity’s starting rotation has been fantastic. Their top 3 arms Erik Mohl ‘19, Alex Shafer ‘20, and Justin Olson ‘21 have each started at least 2 games and still maintain sub 3 ERAs. This makes Trinity’s problems all to clear, their offense in which nobody buy Koperniak is hitting over .300 and their bullpen which has been blowing games that their starters are setting up for them quite nicely. Although their preseason wasn’t too promising, it looks as if their starting pitching could carry the Bantams to the playoffs due to a down year in pitching for the rest of the conference.

Trinity’s starting pitching carried them to a series win over Tufts and should lead them to the playoffs.

Tufts:

Spring Break Location: Virginia

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Weak

Unsurprisingly, Tufts (7-6, 1-2) is one of the only NESCAC teams to exit spring break with a winning record at 6-4. The Jumbos can flat out rake, with a team AVG of .301 and scoring 11.1 runs per game exiting spring break. The blue and brown machine seems unstoppable, but their stats are not all that they appear to be. During their classic trip to Virginia, they played an unchallenging schedule, looking to leave ranked like in 2016 and 2017. Their 6-4 record, while respectable, is an illusion. They usually exit VA with at most one loss and showed that their pitching staff is much weaker than any could’ve imagined. While RJ Hall and Brent Greeley are off to hot starts with sub-3 ERAs, Tufts lacks the bullpen depth to dominate the NESCAC. As a result, their team ERA is an abysmal 5.85. and they failed to take home a series win against Trinity who didn’t even make the NESCAC playoffs in 2017. Malcolm Nachmanoff ‘18 , Nick Falkson ‘18, and John Moschella ‘19 bolster a strong lineup that should continually allow the Jumbos to compete, even if not at their usual dominant level. Tufts, as always, is favored to win it all this year but they will not be able to do it without some vast improvement in their pen. That being said, I am looking forward to some weekend slugfests between the Jumbos and their NESCAC opponents that could very well result in some football-esque scores.

Wesleyan:

Spring Break Location: Arizona

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Weak

The Cardinals (10-6, 0-0) can be crowned spring training champs of the NESCAC despite a weak strength of schedule. A dominant 9-4 performance shows that Wesleyan is firing on all cylinders to start of the 2018 season. With a team batting average of .314, everyone is eating for the Cardinals. They have an incredible 7 starters hitting over .300 and Chase Pratt’s ‘20 statline of 412/.553/.735 is scary good but down from.520/.618/.920 before last weekend, showing that the Tucson fields aided his bat. Tanner Fulkerson ‘20 has started his season red hot too, hitting .393 with a conference leading 24 RBI. There are almost too many names to mention for Wesleyan so let’s just say that Ryan Earle ‘19, Alex Cappitelli ‘20 and Matt Jeye ‘18 also rake. Although when it comes to pitching, Wesleyan looks like any other NESCAC team with their 5.53 team ERA. Mike McCaffrey ‘19 has had a solid showing so far as the Cardinal ace, with a 3.86 ERA and 12.12 K/9 before a rough start against a great Endicott team which inflated his numbers. His strikeouts are impressive but 27 hits in 21.1 innings and a current 5.48 ERA isn’t dominant. When it comes to offense, I recommend that Wesleyan doesn’t change a thing. On the bump there are certainly problems to be resolved. Nevertheless, McCaffrey, Alec Olmstead, and Kelvin Sosa make up a solid rotation lots of Ks and lots of BBs. The impressive showing the Cardinals put up in Arizona shows that, perhaps, they can go deep into the playoff race this year, but they will likely fall significantly back to earth in the Northeast.

Williams:

Spring Break Location: California

Strength of Schedule Assessment: Strong

All I can say about the Ephs (2-10, 1-2) preseason so far is yikes. If a 1-8 non-conference record isn’t enough to sound an alarm, maybe the fact that they had a 10 game losing streak before beating Midd 5-3 in game three of their opening series. Although they were able to pick up a win on opening day against historically bad Cal Tech, I’m not convinced that Williams’ 1-8 record in SoCal is too much better than Bates’ 0-6. To be fair to the Ephs, they have had several close losses, losing 5-4 to La Verne, 2-1 to Whittier and once again 9-8 to Whittier. It is clear that Williams is missing just some little pieces to turn themselves from a 1-8 club into a NESCAC contender. One piece that has been working for them is Erik Mini ‘21 who starts off his college career hitting .306 with a .611 SLG% and team leading 2 HR. On the mound there is not much to mention for Williams with their team ERA at 7.21. Williams needs to treat their preseason like MLB Spring Training and ignore the numbers. Their series in California against Midd was their first real test of the season and they showed that their pitching is a huge issue. They allowed 29 runs in three games to Midd (20 in game one), and unless they figure something else out, they won’t be able to win 2/3 games in any NESCAC series.

Top Fantasy Picks; Preseason NESCAC Baseball Awards (Reimagined)

Editor’s Note: The goal of this post is not only to slight the NESCAC baseball awards system where there are far too few pitchers, not enough creativity, and overlap between awards, but also to explore who is going to make a big impact this coming season in the same style as MLB awards. Also I’d like to give a warm welcome to new writer, my good friend, and my former high school baseball teammate, Spencer Smead.

West Player of The Year:

Harry Roberson ’18

SS Harry Roberson ‘18 (Amherst) Arlington, Mass.: After an outstanding 2017 campaign that yielded him 1st Team All-NESCAC honors, Amherst Junior Harry Roberson will look to follow up last year’s success with an even more impressive 2018 season. With a stat line of  .359 AVG/.418 OBP/.538 SLG as well as 18 extra base hits last season (good for 2nd in the NESCAC), it is no wonder why he was All-Conference. Along with his in season success, Roberson played in both the prestigious Cape Cod league this summer (on a temp contract) as well as the Futures Collegiate Baseball League (FCBL). After finishing second in the Eastern Division with an in-conference record of 8-4, Amherst was eliminated in the NESCAC playoffs with two losses to eventual champion Tufts. With the loss of several key seniors in Yanni Thanopoulos ‘17 and Anthony Spina ‘17, Roberson will need to carry an even heavier load in order for the Amherst offense to return to its 2017 strength. Amherst’s season has begun in Florida and all eyes are on Roberson to be the heart of a dangerous Mammoth’s lineup.

East Player of The Year:

Nick Falkson ’18

1B Nick Falkson ‘18 (Tufts) Dedham, Mass.: In all fairness, this was not a particularly difficult decision to make. Falkson, the reigning POY and opening week NESCAC Player of the week, will look to pick up where he left off with the rest of the reigning champion Jumbos. Numbers don’t lie, and Falkson’s .373 AVG, 37 RBI and 73 Total Bases are proof of his absolute dominance at the plate during 2017. Along with being an offensive threat, Falkson’s .997 Fielding % makes him Gold Glove worthy as well. Being recognized as 3rd Team All-New England by both the NEIBA and ABCA, Falkson’s 2017 accomplishments did not go under the radar. All of these accolades and statistical achievements are what lead to Falkson to be selected as a D3 Player to Watch by the Collegiate Baseball Newspaper. I am in complete agreement with the Collegiate Baseball Newspaper, whether you are a Tufts fan or despise the dominance they have held over NESCAC baseball, Falkson’s 2018 season will be one you won’t want to miss. Despite their NESCAC success, Tufts failed to pick up a win in their 2017 regional play and subsequently have dropped out of the top-25 national rankings. Falkson will hope to get the Jumbos back in the national conversation after their spring break trip to Virginia concludes.

West Cy Young:

Mike McCaffrey ’19

 LHP Mike McCaffrey ‘19 (Wesleyan) Warwick, R.I.: The class of 2017 had more than its fair share of extremely talented pitchers, leaving the door wide open for Cy Young candidates for the 2018 season. The frontrunner of those that remain is Wesleyan’s Mike McCaffrey. Averaging nearly 11K/9IP in 2017 it is obvious that McCaffrey has the stuff to put away even the most dangerous hitters in the NESCAC. Although his 4.11 ERA seems underwhelming for a Cy Young candidate, he proved this past offseason that he has the potential to be one of the best pitchers in the conference. After being named an All-Star in the Futures Collegiate Baseball League (FCBL), McCaffrey was also selected to the  D3 Players to Watch List by the Collegiate Baseball Newspaper. After posting a much more impressive ERA of 1.51 in the summer of 2017 and maintaining an excellent 11.6K/9IP, McCaffrey will look to carry his summer success over to the 2018 season. McCaffrey will need to be a workhorse for the Cardinals to lift them into the playoffs this year after a 3rd Place finish in the West in 2017. McCaffrey and the Cardinals have opened their 2018 play in Arizona already and will continue their spring break trip in Tucson through March 23rd.

East Cy Young:

Erik Mohl ’19

LHP Erik Mohl ‘19 (Trinity) Milton, Mass.: With the exit of two-time NESCAC Pitcher of the Year Speros Varinos ‘17 (Tufts), it is finally time to crown a new Cy Young in the East. Trinity’s Erik Mohl is the top candidate for the position after a fantastic season last year. Mohl’s 7 wins were good for 2nd best in the NESCAC last year and his 2.55 ERA was 3rd best in the conference. Mohl earned 2nd Team All-NESCAC honors last year with his performance and is the ace of the Bantams’ pitching staff. He will need to put up another strong season to propel Trinity to playoff contention after a 4th place finish last year in the Eastern Division. The last time that the NESCAC Pitcher of the Year did not reach the playoffs was 2007 when Tim Kiely ‘08 (Trinity) and the Bantams failed to do so. Trinity has a history of producing dominant pitching while not having the ability to put together a playoff team, but Mohl will look to break that tradition. The Bantams have already kicked off their preseason games down in South Carolina and will begin NESCAC play in a make-or-break series against Tufts on March 30th.

Reliever of the Year:

Kyle Dean ’20

RHP Kyle Dean ‘20 (Williams) Freemont, CA: In his rookie year in the NESCAC, Williams righty Kyle Dean was extremely effective in his role out of the ‘pen. In his 26 IP he maintained a stellar 1.38 ERA and amassed a K/9 of 9.35. With Williams losing their three most called upon pitchers, one to graduation (Luke Rodino ‘17), one to a transfer (Sean Hager ‘20), and one to an injury (Johnny Lamont ’20), I would expect to see Dean’s innings total to increase immensely this upcoming season. Dean will be called upon quite frequently for the Ephs., and Williams will need effective arms in their pen  if they want to enter the playoff race. In the 2017 season, seven of the Eph’s 11 losses were by two runs or less. Perhaps with a slightly more effective bullpen Williams could have pulled out some close games and improved upon their 3rd place finish in the West. Williams has begun play in Dean’s native California over spring break and has a strong strength of schedule (including a match up against defending national champion Cal Lutheran) before playing their bizarre neutral site series against Middlebury in SoCal to open up NESCAC play.

Breakout Player of the Year:

Andrew Hennings ’20 (He really needs to work on that smile)

IF Andrew Hennings ‘20 (Middlebury) Oak Park, IL.: In his limited appearances for the Panthers last season Hennings was able to make the most of his opportunities. In just 19 games played due to entering the starting lineup after the preseason and a shoulder injury, Hennings was able to put up a .388 AVG and a 1.001 OPS. As two spots have opened up in the Panther’s lineup this past offseason, expect Hennings to be a staple in the middle of their order. As his at bats increase, so should his already stellar numbers. I wouldn’t put it beyond Hennings to sneak into an All-NESCAC spot at the end of this year, so keep an eye on him throughout the season, including Midd’s preseason games in Georgia and Southern California.

DeMarini CF3 Slugger Award:

If you didn’t have a childhood and didn’t play Little League, this bat dropped bombs.
Brendan Pierce ’18

OF/P Brendan Pierce ‘18 (Trinity) Hingham, Mass.: With the pop that this Bantam produced last year, some may have thought he was using a BESR bat. Dropping a conference-leading 5 bombs in the 2017 season, Trinity Senior Brendan Pierce will return this year looking to wreak havoc on the ERA of NESCAC pitchers. With another year of experience under his belt and nothing to lose in his senior season, look for Pierce to up his power numbers even more. Traveling to the more tropical climate of South Carolina to open up the season, don’t be surprised if Pierce hits a tank or two in his preseason games to kick off what should be an impressive senior campaign.

2018 Preseason 1st Team All-NESCAC (Does not include award winners mentioned above)

C Alex Rodriguez ‘20 (Trinity) South Windsor, CT.

IF Kellen Hatheway ‘19 (Williams) Armonk, N.Y.

IF Tommy O’Hara ‘18 (Tufts) Glenview, IL

IF Jack Roberts ‘18 (Williams) Vineyard Haven, Mass.

IF Will Shackelford ‘19 (Tufts) Orleans, Mass.

IF Justin Han ‘20 (Middlebury) Vienna, VA

OF Sam Graf ‘19 (Middlebury) Loma, CO

OF Matt Treveloni ‘18 (Colby) Ashland, Mass.

OF Matt Koperniak ‘20 (Trinity) Adams, Mass.

P Connor Himstead ‘19 (Middlebury) Wellesley, Mass

P Connor Speed ’18 (Bates) San Diego, CA

P/UT Brandon Lopez ‘19 (Bowdoin) Amesbury, Mass.

Up for Grabs; NESCAC West Baseball Preview

Editor’s Note: As the new editor of NBN, I will try to be much less biased than Pete (sorry, Panther fans, and you’re welcome, Amherst fans). This not only pertains to my own articles, which will be on hiatus during baseball season, but also all of NBN’s articles. And I’ll start this era of free speech with Andrew’s well written and well researched season preview which doesn’t exactly provide such a great outlook for my Panthers.

Don’t let the blizzard fool you, northerners. Spring is coming. Barbeques, darties with friends, ‘studying’ outside, and a nice seventy-five degrees. And the men of NESCAC baseball will be trotting out to their respective positions; catchers will shake blue’s hand; pitchers will kick around the dirt around the mound to their liking; outfielders will play catch with each other before the catcher throws down to second. The batter will nod to the umpire, and the catcher will lay down a finger. The pitcher will nod, take a large inhale, and deliver a pitch. Indeed, baseball is here. The NESCAC is a competitive as ever. The East division has been dominated by Tufts for some time, but the West always seems to have new representatives in the playoffs each year. Here is a preview of NESCAC west baseball:

Amherst:

Head Coach: Brian Hamm, Ninth Season

Projected NESCAC Record: 8-4 (only 12 conference games)

Key Losses:

RHP Jackson Volle ’17 (5-2, 3.02 ERA, 47.2 IP)

OF Yanni Thanopoulos ’17 (.417 AVG, 60 H, 41 RBI)

OF Anthony Spina ’17 (.351 AVG, .522 SLG, 4 HR)

RHP Drew Fischer ’18 (1.40 ERA, 25.2 IP, 30 K)

Returning Starters:

SS Harry Roberson (.359 AVG, 52 H, .538 SLG)

2B Max Steinhorn ’18 (.316 AVG, 16 SB, .975 FPCT)

3B Nick Nardone ’19 (.305 AVG, 3 HR)

OF Ariel Kenney ’18 (.296 AVG, 7 2B)

C Severino Tocci ’20 (.306 AVG, 9 2B, .298 RCS%)

1B Chase Henley ’19 (101 AB, 30 K, 23 RBI)

DH Ryan Hardin ’18 (.327 AVG)

LHP Sam Schneider ’18 (38.2 IP, 2.56 ERA, 2-2)

Biggest Series:

April 20-21 vs Wesleyan University

The Amherst vs Wesleyan baseball rivalry is as storied as they come in the annals of history. The 2015 NESCAC championship game may still haunt some current Amherst players. Like Al Pacino said in “Any Given Sunday,” “Life is a game of inches.” Marco Barrata’s diving catch to keep the game tied, Andrew Yin’s hit and run RBI double to tie the game, and Guy Davidson’s nuke down the left field line to seal it all were key plays that came down to inches. Amherst was so close to another NESCAC championship then, but the team just couldn’t defeat the Cards. Nevertheless, 2015 is a long time ago, but the rivalry is still there. Both teams will be above .500 for sure in conference play. Each game of the three game series is crucial. One loss could be devastating to one team’s playoff hopes. If you love a good rivalry and close games, definitely tune into this series.

Everything Else:

I had a chance to ask a few questions to senior and Belmont Hill grad, Harry Roberson:

AM: What are your goals for yourself and the team this season?

HR: Our goal every year starting out is to be the best version of our team that we can be. Ultimately, we want to win a NESCAC championship. I know that’s something that as a senior class we haven’t accomplished yet so that is definitely an overarching goal for our team this season. May is a couple months away though so day-to-day we’re just looking to improve and build upon each practice. We’re excited to go down to Florida and see how we stack up against other teams.

AM: Which teams will be the toughest to knock off?

HR: Our entire side of the NESCAC is pretty strong. Obviously Wesleyan is always a tough series, we have a great rivalry with them that’s a ton of fun to compete in. Amherst-Williams is one of the oldest rivalries in sports so that series means a lot as well. Middlebury kind of came out of nowhere last year so that will be a great challenge for us too. Coach Leonard has done a great job with that program. And then Hamilton is a dangerous team too so there’s no time for let downs on the West side so we’re really looking forward to the opportunity to get out there and play against these guys.

AM: In one word, describe the team.

HR: Family

Amherst will always put an incredibly competitive product on the field year in and year out. However, losing a big bat like Yanni Thanopoulos hurts. He was one of Amherst’s go to guys during his entire career. Look for a guy like Severino Tocci to play a bigger role. He transitioned to catching last year, and actually started. He’s got a powerful bat from the right-handed batter’s box. I can see him being Amherst’s x-factor on the offensive end. I’m predicting that Amherst will make the playoffs again because they’re such a well-coached team. With the leadership and talent that Roberson has, and the development of younger players, I can see Amherst being a force to be reckoned with deep in the NESCAC tournament once again.

Wesleyan:

Head Coach: Mark Woodworth (17th season)

Projected NESCAC record: 9-3

Key losses:

IF Ellis Schaefer (.289 avg, 14 RBI)

IF Will O’Sullivan (.328 avg, 24 RBI)

P Asher Young (2-2, 5.33 ERA)

P Dylan Millehouse (0-1, 6.10 ERA)

C/P Nick Miceli (.237 avg, 18  RBI, 2-2, 3.55 ERA)

P Ethan Rode  (3-4, 4.78 ERA)

Returning starters:

IF Jake Alonzo (.091 avg, 4 RBI)

IF Johnny Corning (.258 avg, 4 RBI)

IF/OF AJ Ferrara (.229 avg, 6 RBI)

IF/P Alec Olmstead (.245 avg, 3 RBI)

OF Matt Jeye (.285 avg, 29 RBI)

Biggest series: Middlebury (April 7th-8th):

Wesleyan will have a great season if the Cards can get past Midd with at least two wins. The Cards’ other biggest series is against Amherst later in April, but it’s crucial for Wesleyan to get off to a hot start. Midd came out of nowhere last year to win the west. Wesleyan can run the table in the west this season if the squad has a winning record against Midd. That’s tough to ask, but it’s possible.

Everything else:

I spoke with senior captain Matt Jeye who was a member of the 2015 NESCAC championship team and was named to the DIII players to watch list:

AM: Obviously you played on some great teams in your underclassmen years. How does this team compare to those championship teams?

MJ: This team is gritty. We don’t have any preseason All-Americans, but we’re a tough group who put in a lot of hours focusing on the little things. This is the most dedicated group I’ve ever been around and I’m excited to see how much our younger guys grew in a year.

AM: What are some of the strengths of this year’s team? Do you think any younger guys will have a serious impact?

MJ: I think one major strength is our communication. This is one of the closest teams I’ve ever been a part of and I think that shows when you see us out on the field picking each other up and talking throughout every pitch. I’d personally run into Tilted Towers (Fortnite reference)  with nothing but impulse grenades to save any one of them.

We have a lot of younger guys this year that got to play a lot last year so we are counting on them a lot. We have a good mix of experience and new faces and I think we’re going to surprise a lot of people.

AM: Are there any teams that you’re especially looking forward to playing?

MJ:  I’m always looking forward to playing purple, whether it be Amherst or Williams. It’s a different atmosphere against those guys. Everyone wants to get ahead and then rub it in so emotions are always high.

First off, Matt’s Fortnite reference makes me want to run through a brick wall for this squad. Wesleyan has been in transition ever since that 2015 season, in my opinion. To lose guys like Guy Davidson, Andrew Yin, Nick Cooney, Jonathan Dennett, Sam Goodwin-Boyd, Gavin Pittore, Donnie Cimino, and Marco Barrata all within a year can devastate a team. However, that’s college sports; there’s turnover. The fact that Wesleyan wasn’t sub .500 these past two years is something to be proud of because they’re such a young team. Now it comes down to pitching. There are a lot of young wings, but I’m not entirely sure that they’ll be able to go the full season without getting shelled a few times. The lineup may not be as scary as 2015’s, but it needs to provide run support for these pitchers. Rest assured, I don’t think Wes will have much trouble scoring runs.

Middlebury:

Coach: Mike Leonard (second season)

Projected Record: 7-5

Key losses:

C Ryan Rizzo (.301 avg, 11 RBI)

IF Jason Lock (.354 avg, 31 RBI)

Returning starters:

MIF Brooks Carroll (.274 avg, 16 RBI)

MIF Justin Han (.319 avg, 20 RBI)

OF Sam Graf (.323 avg, 30 RBI)

IF Andrew Hennings (.393 avg, 9 RBI)

IF Kevin Woodring (.281 avg, 13 RBI)

OF Alan Guild (.288 avg, 12 RBI)

Biggest series: Wesleyan (April 7th-8th):

I’m projecting Middlebury to have a sophomore slump of sorts. Coach Mike Leonard, in his first season with the Panthers last year, fostered a fairytale journey for his team. The NESCAC west had been so competitive in previous years that Midd always seemed to be left out of the conversation with the likes of Amherst and Williams. Leonard and the young squad showed everyone how dangerous the Panthers are. On paper, Middlebury could go 10-2 or 11-1 if the frosh from last year keep swinging the stick. However, I can’t see 1-9 all having great years at the plate like they did last year. Wesleyan is a big series. Midd’s first test is their first road NESCAC series in enemy territory. Both teams will put up runs, but if Middlebury can sweep or win two, then I think they can really win the NESCAC crown.

Justin Han ’20 is one of many Midd hitters that will need to prove that they can replicate last year’s performance.

Everything else:

I corresponded with pitcher (and colleague) Colby Morris. He was a stud last year on the bump, and I’m interested to see if he can still keep hitters off balance this year:

AM: How does this team compare to last year’s team? In what ways have you guys improved/regressed? What are some of the strengths of this year’s team? Do you think any younger guys will have a serious impact early on? Are there any teams that you’re especially looking forward to playing?

CM: The biggest similarity to last year is in our starting lineup, returning six of eight position players. We also have a similar team chemistry, which was electric last season and probably pissed off every opponent. We are a power centered offensive team with the same rotation as last year, but a deeper bullpen. It definitely hurt to lose Ryan Rizzo and Jason Lock, but that just means some of us upperclassmen need to step up in their place. We have a stronger bullpen with a lot of good young arms, and should compete better in mid-week games because of that. Our strengths would be offensive and defensive depth as we have so many lineups we can roll out to put a competitive team on the field. I think that Henry Strmecki will have a big impact either in RF or in CF and should be a powerful leadoff hitter, and the same goes with some of our frosh pitchers, although not exactly sure yet which ones will make the biggest contributions. I’m definitely locking in on that Williams weekend…we got swept by them last year and want revenge.

Midd should be the most interesting team to follow this year. The Panthers almost won it all last year, but came up just short. They didn’t lose many seniors; their lineup is stacked with talented sophomores and juniors. If Colby’s right about improved relief pitching, Middlebury can take jump over that hump to be a championship team. However, they must start out strong against Williams. For if they don’t, it’s very possible that they fall into a sophomore slump.

 

Williams:

Coach: Bill Barrale (11th season)

Projected Record: 4-8

Key losses:

OF Jack Cloud (.375 avg, 16 RBI)

IF Jackson Parese (.255 avg, 12 RBI)

IF Nate Michalski (.216 avg, 14 RBI)

P Luke Rodino (3-1, 4.02 ERA)

P Johnny Lamont (injury) (4-1, 1.80 ERA)

Returning starters:

IF Kellen Hatheway (.362 avg, 25 RBI)

IF Jack Roberts (.368 avg, 27 RBI)

OF Adam Regensburg (.295 avg, 28 RBI)

IF Doug Schaffer (.218 avg, 13 RBI)

C Adam Dulsky (.262, 9 RBI)

Key Series: vs. Amherst (4/6-4/7)

Amherst vs. Williams is one of the most historic rivalries in sports. A Wesleyan student myself, I love to say that all three schools are in the Little Three, but I have to admit, Amherst vs Williams is a whole separate rivalry (that doesn’t mean that my obsession to defeat both schools doesn’t exist; it does). Williams needs to break out of mediocrity. To be quite honest, I don’t see them doing that this year. The Ephs best pitcher, Johnny Lamont, is gone for the whole season due to Tommy John. In this early series, however, if they can take all three or even two games against their arch rival Amherst, then I think Williams can gain some momentum, and possibly make the playoffs. It all starts with this series.

Everything else:

I talked to Williams pitcher and Groton School alumnus Johnny Lamont on what he thinks his squad can do without him this season:

AM:  What are your goals for yourself and the team this season?

JL: Our goal is to win the NESCAC championship, and that isn’t some lofty goal we don’t expect to achieve. We felt that we underperformed last year, but a lot of the talent we had last year is back, and we’ve learned from those moments where we played ourselves out of the playoffs. I’ve pitched against our lineup in squad scrimmages and practice, and it is the best lineup I’ve faced at any level in any league. The staff is gonna do our job, get our guys back on offense, and then it gets real fun to watch.

AM: Which teams will be the toughest to knock off?

JL: We learned from last year that every team in the NESCAC deserves respect, even if we are the most talented team. We swept Midd, and then they went to the championship game. We outplayed Wesleyan, but lost that series. The only thing that we’re focused on this season is how we play, and if we play up to our potential, we’ll win the West no matter who the opponents are.

AM: In one word, describe the team.

JL:  Hungry for that W. (Not sure if he understood the question).

Johnny was one of the best pitchers in the NESCAC last year; he was one of the major reasons why Williams got to six wins. As a teammate and competitor, it’s incredibly hard to sit out. You feel a sense of helplessness. However, it gives you a new perspective on your team. Instead of focusing on individual goals, guys like Johnny can use a wider lense of how the team operates. While I don’t think Williams will make much noise next year, expect Johnny and the Ephs in 2019 to be a powerhouse in the West because not only will Johnny have regained his strength that made him a freshman sensation, but he will have the mental toughness to know what it’s like to fight through an injury

Kellen Hathaway ’19 is one of the top hitters in the league and will need to lead the Ephs along with Jack Roberts ’18.

Hamilton:

Coach: Tim Byrnes (11th season)

Projected Record: 2-10

Key losses:

OF Ryan Wolfsberg (.400 avg, 23 RBI)

C Brett Mele (.284 avg, 27 RBI)

IF/P Andrew Haser (.320 avg, 20 RBI)

OF Kenny Collins (.313 avg, 12 RBI)

IF Chris Collins (.346 avg, 9 RBI)

OF Robert Morris (.282 avg, 6 RBI)

P Finlay O’Hara (3-2, 2.60 ERA)

Returning starters:

IF Dean Rosenberg (.227 avg, 8 RBI)

IF Jordan Northup (.266 avg, 9 RBI)

P Max Jones (0-4, 4.43 ERA)

Key series: Wesleyan (April 13th-14th):

Hamilton has always had trouble with Wesleyan. Last year there was a game at Wesleyan were Hamilton thoroughly outplayed the Cards. Somehow, the Cards took it to extras, and Ryan Earle hit a walkoff single. Hamilton played so well, but they got sloppy down the stretch in the field. If Hamilton wants to breakout of being in the middle of the pack in the West, they must beat the leaders like Wesleyan.

Everything else:

I asked senior Dean Rosenberg a few questions about the team and the season:

AM: What are your goals for yourself and the team this season?

DR: We have a super young team after losing a lot of upperclassman who were big contributors for us last year. Our goal this year is to work hard, compete every day, and improve every practice and throughout the season. Personally,

I want to continue to improve as a leader and as a ball player and enjoy my last season playing the game I love.

AM: Which teams will be the toughest to knock off?

DR: The NESCAC is an extremely competitive conference, every conference weekend is a grind. We learned last year that everybody can beat everybody, so I wouldn’t necessarily say any team is the team to beat in the West.

AM: In one word, describe the team.

DR: Together

Like Dean says, the team is very young this year. Hamilton has proved over the past few seasons that there’s no talent game between them and the other NESCAC teams. What separates the likes of Tufts, Amherst, and Wesleyan from Hamilton is winning close games down the stretch. There are only twelve conference games a year, so each one is crucial. There’s no doubt that the Conts will compete their tails off this year, but they’ve lost so many bats that I think it will be hard for them to match the output of the other West teams. They can and will compete every day, however.

What is an Internship? NESCAC Baseball Summerball Recap

Editor’s Note: Here’s to all of the NESCAC baseball players who didn’t come here to play school. Heading into the baseball season, we wanted to give an update on which players played in competitive summer leagues and the standouts from each league from nearly all of the teams (Sorry, Colby Mules, we literally found no information on your players in summerball, so I guess you did go there to play school). We would also like to welcome a new writer, Max Stamler of the Middlebury D1 Alpine Ski Team, to our writing team.

As Baseball season nears its time to continue to make predictions for the upcoming season. We have already previewed NBN’s preseason choices for player and pitcher of the year but we also wanted to highlight some big-time summer-ball seasons that players from all around the ‘cac had. They will be looking to continue their success from the summer season to having big time impacts for their squads this spring.

Wesleyan LHP Mike McCaffrey

Wesleyan’s Mike McCaffrey earned an All-Star selection in the FCBL.

McCaffrey played this summer for the Brocton Rox of the Futures Collegiate Baseball League (FCBL). He appeared in 8 games and posted a 2-2 record with a 1.46 ERA. This performance earned him a spot in the FCBL All-Star game stacked with mostly Division 1 players. McCaffrey’s success pitching this past summer in a highly competitive league should give him the confidence he needs to make that next step in this seasons NESCAC play as he looks to lead Wesleyan into the playoffs in a strong West division.

Trinity C Alex Rodriguez

The reigning NESCAC Co-Rookie of the year turned in a strong summer league season in the NECBL, one of the top leagues in the nation. Rodriguez batted .342, had a slugging percentage of .465 and knocked in 23 runs on his way to leading the Valley Blue Sox to the NECBL title, the first ever for the franchise. After breaking out in his first season, he looks to lead a Bantam team to home field advantage in their new stadium for the NESCAC playoffs after they narrowly missed the postseason in 2017.

Hamilton C Craig Sandford

Another NESCAC catcher with a successful summer season was Craig Sandford of Hamilton, playing for the Sherrill Silversmiths of the New York Collegiate Baseball League (NYCBL). Sandford appeared in 30 games hitting .354 with 12 RBI’s and 3 homeruns while earning a spot in the All-Star game. Sandford should see the bulk of the playing time and be a leader for a Continental team that is rebuilding following the loss of the majority of their starting lineups.

Williams 2B Jack Roberts

Roberts played for his hometown Martha’s Vineyard Sharks of the FCBL this past summer and the his team was definitely happy he chose to stay home. Roberts appeared in 47 games, hitting .374 with 28 RBI’s and 3 home runs. He was perhaps the biggest NESCAC contributor over the summer, and his 65 hits and 174 AB’s were both team highs. Not surprisingly, Roberts performance was rewarded with a selection in the All-Star game alongside many Division 1 players. He was statistically the best player on a team loaded with guys from Vanderbilt, UConn, Kansas, and Notre Dame and will be the cornerstone for the Ephs along with SS Kellen Hatheway.

Bates LHP Connor Russell

One of Bates only players to participate in summer ball, Russell started 5 games for the Seacoast Mavericks in the FCBL wining 1 of those appearances with a 4.15 ERA. He played this past summer alongside Middlebury RHPs Conor Himstead and Colby Morris and might just face them in the playoffs again in 2018. Russell and the Bobcats are already off to a tough start this season, going 0-6 during their trip to California and need to get their bats hot to compete. Russell is more of a pitch to contact, veteran style pitcher and will find a way to get outs this year no matter the level of offensive support he gets.

Tufts 1B/3B Nick Falkson

Falkson appeared in 43 games for the North Shore Navigators of the FCBL at 3B hitting .273 with 19 RBI’s. He also drew 21 walks over the summer which ranked third on the team. Falkson returns to a Tuft’s team looking to defend the NESCAC title and make a run deep into NCAA tournament in his final year as a Jumbo. After playing 3B this summer, the Jumbos might have a competition at the hot corner as senior 3B Tommy O’Hara has started there for three straight years but saw limited time there over the summer for the Brockton Rox.

Tufts’ Nick Falkson looks to improve on his 2017 POY season after a strong summer in the FCBL.

Amherst SS Harry Roberson

Roberson joined the Nashua Silver Knights of the FCBL partway through the summer after a brief stint in the famed Cape Cod League and proved to be a key contributor in their lineup for the second half of the summer. In 30 games, Roberson hit .308 with 7 doubles and 17 RBI’s. In the last 9 games of the year, Roberson hit just below .500 as the Silver Knights won 6 of their last 9 to win the FCBL championship. Roberson looks to keep this form heading into his final collegiate season and has an outside shot to keep playing after college.

Middlebury CF Sam Graf

Unlike many of his NESCAC peers, Graf traveled outside of the Northeast for his summer season where he played for the Suffolk Fightin’ Crabs of the new short season Virginia Beach Collegiate League. Graf slugged .520 and had 23 RBI’s, both of which ranked him in the top 5 in the league and earned him a spot in the All-Star Game. Graf, coming off a semester in Chile swinging sticks instead of bats (for more information on his semester check out https://cbscout.net/2018/02/18/the-journey-colby-morris-sam-graf/), looks to lead a Middlebury squad into the NCAA tournament for the first time since 2006.

Bowdoin RHP/OF Jack Wilhoite

Wilhoite led the North Shore Storm of the North Shore Baseball League (NSBL) into the playoffs over the past summer hitting .304 with 14 RBI’s in 19 games while also pitching in 4 games. In just 12 innings pitched, Wilhoite struck out an impressive 16 batters. The Polar Bear’s dynamic player looks to have a bigger impact this spring after just throwing 10.1 innings in 2017. He did strike out 22 hitters last season though, so he is the favorite to close games this year.

 

 

 

Stock Report 3/6: Just Staying Alive or Dominating the Dance?

Stock Up

Jack Daly and Middlebury’s Rebounding

While Daly might not be able to change his position in the Player of the Year race anymore, he is doing everything he can to keep his senior season going. He put up a triple-double in Midd’s opening round win over Lebanon Valley with 13 points, 14 assists, and 11 boards. The Panthers won 83-63 and continued their dominance by dominating the regional host, Eastern Connecticut, 83-58. The Panthers handed the Warriors just their fourth loss of the season and did so in convincing fashion, simply outplaying and out rebounding their opponents. We know Midd likely won’t shoot over 40% from beyond the arc, so their front court, which includes Daly, their PG, is the key to winning games. They more than doubled Eastern Conn’s board totals (54 to 26) and have a lethal combination of Eric McCord, Adisa Majors, Matt Folger and Nick Tarantino playing as forwards. They actually have a favorable path to the final four too. #19 MIT is a tough opponent, but is still missing top player Bradley Jomard, and regardless of whether he returns or not, he likely won’t be at 100% (to learn more about Jomard and MIT, check out this article by d3hoops.) In a potential elite-8 matchup, the Panthers would see either unranked Ramapo (who upset Williams 66-62) or unranked Franklin and Marshall.

Daly was on his game last weekend, and has Middlebury with the Final Four in their sights.

Hamilton’s Chances of Advancing

Hamilton breezed by their opening round opponent, Nazareth, 86-72, and then struggled to knock off #11 York 69-66. York was ranked higher than Hamilton and higher than any opponent of any of the other NESCAC teams, and was a great test for the Continentals. Now, they play unranked Springfield in a sweet-16 matchup and would likely follow that up against sectional host, Swarthmore, who is ranked 14th by d3hoops. Springfield went 1-3 against NESCAC opponents this year, only beating Wesleyan in a game where the Cardinals shot just 3-25 from three—something Hamilton won’t do. Swarthmore lost to York earlier this year but also beat Middlebury handily 91-75. But let’s not forget that Hamilton also demolished Middlebury 102-83. They also went 2-1 against #12 Johns Hopkins, but lost in their conference tournament like Hamilton. With their starting lineup’s balance and shooting potential, the Continentals just might make a run to the Final Four. Check back later for a more in depth preview of Hamilton’s sectional.

Kena Gilmour ’20 and Hamilton are making the selection committee looking silly for not giving them a home game in the first round.

Stock Down

Second Round Success:

While both Wesleyan and Williams were able to breeze by their opening round opponents, they each suffered defeats to Swarthmore and Ramapo, respectively. Wesleyan was trounced 97-75 against the team ranked just ahead of them nationally (14 compared to 15). While they shot over 35% from the field and from deep, their fouling and Swarthmore’s unbelievable execution from the charity stripe (21-22) led them to victory over the Cardinals. Williams, on the other hand, had an easy draw in their first two rounds and lost to a Ramapo team that didn’t have a tough strength of schedule on their home court. James Heskett had a tough day from beyond the arc, shooting just 3-12 and the NESCAC champions now need to look towards next season.

NCAA Selection

Hamilton had great success in the regular season, had a high national ranking, and ridiculous thanks of schedule (thanks to the NESCAC’s four NCAA tournament team), but didn’t get to host any playoff games. The result of their opening rounds was a proverbial middle finger to the haters who paired them up with a great York basketball team. They proved that they were deserving of a home game and might legitimize their position and their program for future years.

There’s a First Time for Everything: Wesleyan NCAA Tournament Preview

#15 Wesleyan (21-6, 7-3, Lost in Final to Williams)

The Cardinals looked like a borderline tournament team at the conclusion of the regular season, but played their way to the title game of the NESCAC tournament in part thanks to some heroics from Nathan Krill ’18 in the semifinal against Amherst. This made them a lock to not only make the tournament, but they were selected to be a host for the first two rounds of games. The Cardinals have never won a national tournament game, and this looks to be their best chance.

Wesleyan finished 2nd in the NCAA regional rankings (behind Williams) and 15th in the D3hoops poll, which concluded a solid season for a team who lost two impact underclassmen before the school year. They have made the tournament twice in recent years with Coach Reilly at the helm, but failed to make it past the first round either time. In fact, they have never made it past the first round as a program, so they will surely be tested in their opening round matchup with Southern Vermont.

How They Got Here:

Going into this season, we had absolutely no idea what to expect from Wesleyan. They lost two key players in Salim Green ’19 and Andrew Gardiner ’19 who left the school, as well as the graduation of Harry Rafferty ’17, who was the star from last year’s team. They got off to a hot start with big early season wins over #21 Nichols and #5 Williams (pre-Scadlock injury mind you), before falling to Springfield and then Williams in their second meeting for the official NESCAC season. Their loss to Trinity midway through the season was a bit surprising, but the NESCAC is tough and it was Kevin O’Brien’s first game back from illness, so that’s not a particularly bad loss. The focus for Wesleyan is on the three point shot because they have been very streaky this season from deep. Their defense is excellent, so if their offense can keep up they have a chance to make a run. Something to focus on is that Wesleyan has very solid senior leadership in JR Bascom ’18, Jordan Sears ’18, and Nathan Krill ’18. This is the third NCAA Tournament appearance for these guys, so they certainly don’t lack experience. Jordan Sears ’18 took home the Defensive Player of the Year Award this weekend (both from us at NbN and officially, from the NESCAC) Nathan Krill ’18 has already proven that he can step up when they need it by knocking down a very deep, game-winning 3-pointer with 1.7 seconds left to cap off a 29-point, 10-rebound night. This is a team that is ready for the postseason, under the excellent coaching of Joe Reilly.

After downing Amherst, let’s see if Nathan Krill ’18 has any magic left.

How They Lose:

Wesleyan has some solid scoring threats (see Nathan Krill ’18, Jordan Bonner ’19, Austin Hutcherson ’21), but they are a defensive-minded team. They’ll get themselves into trouble if they get into a shootout with someone, so they need to elevate their defense even more in the tournament. This isn’t helped by the fact that Southern Vermont, New England College, and #14 Swarthmore are all pretty high scoring teams. With this low-scoring approach, the Cardinals will need to be efficient with their shots. They only average 13.8 assists per game, which is second to last in the NESCAC, only ahead of Conn College. Devoid of a star player who can take over games, they’ll have to pay extra attention to sharing the ball and working for the best shot they can get.

The Competition

Southern Vermont College Mountaineers (22-5, 12-2, Conference Champs)

The Mountaineers won the Northeast Collegiate Conference championship to earn their program’s third ever bid to the NCAA Tournament after a very solid 22-5 season. They boast the conference’s player of the year, senior Mike Pierre ’18 who averages 19.1PPG, 6.5REB/G, 2.5AST/G, and shoots a solid percentage from the field. They also claim the conference’s defensive player of the year, Daemond Carter, who helped them hold conference opponents to an astounding 66 points per game. The Mountaineers will likely look to shoot a lot and keep their games at a fast pace, especially since they struggle with rebounding at times. It will be tough for them to matchup with Nathan Krill on the rebounding side, with their tallest player only being 6’6”. They will look to push the ball in transition, staying ahead of the Wesleyan shot blockers. The size of Wesleyan combined with their disciplined approach puts them in great position to win their first ever NCAA Tournament game.

#14 Swarthmore College Garnet (22-5, 15-3, Lost in Final to #12 Johns Hopkins)

Does Cam Wiley ’19 have the star power to lead the Garnet deep into the playoffs.

The Garnet return to the NCAA Tournament this year after being sent home in the second round of last year’s tournament. They sit at #14 in the nation and 3rd in their regional ranking, receiving at at-large bid after losing to #12 Johns Hopkins in the Centennial Conference championship game. The Garnet play one of the toughest non-NESCAC schedules out there, with notable wins over #18 Middlebury (when they were as high as 2nd in the nation), #12 Johns Hopkins, and Franklin & Marshall. They don’t have any standout scorers, although they’re lead by point guard Cam Wiley ’19 who averages 15.8PPG, to go along with 4.4REB/G and 3.2AST/G. What the Garnet have going for them is that they rebound very efficiently, and have the size to matchup with just about anyone. They also shoot at a 47.6% clip as a team, which is outstanding and very hard to keep up with. This is a very tough team to beat, and a potential matchup with Wesleyan in the second round makes this region very interesting.

New England College Pilgrims (21-6, 15-3, Conference Champs)

 

Last but not least we have the North Atlantic Conference champions: the New England College Pilgrims. This is another team that lacks true size (tallest player is 6’6”) so they’ll look to spread the floor and try to stay out of half court sets. They’ve got two reliable scoring threats in Ricky Leonard ’19 (17.3PPG) and Izaiah Winston-Brooks ’20 (16.7PPG) so they are a team that could potentially play spoiler if they get hot. They don’t have a senior on their roster so the inexperience could hurt a bit, however the game plan is very simple if they’re going to beat a team as talented as Swarthmore: the shots need to be falling. The Pilgrims need to be very efficient with their shots and will have to shoot a very high percentage to keep up with the Garnet. They are definitely an underdog, but who doesn’t love an underdog in March?