Tag: Alex Stoddard

NESCAC Friday Tipoff: 1/10 Weekend Preview

NESCAC Basketball Weekend Preview

Trinity (9-4) @ Bowdoin (4-6), 7pm, Brunswick, ME

The Bantams, who are playing great basketball right now after a rocky start, get the pleasure this Friday of visiting a Bowdoin team that is clearly still feeling the graduation of stud Jack Simonds. The Polar Bears had more than a few stumbles in their non-conference games, with some brutal losses (Southern Maine, Colby by 46) along with some wins that were too close for comfort (ME-Farmington by 4, Framingham State by 9). With the conference slate being clean for everyone, though, Bowdoin still has a chance to turn it around. They will need guys not named David Reynolds (21 PPG in his last two games) and Sam Grad ’21 to step up if they want to make any splash in the conference this year, or it’s going to be a long season in Brunswick. Trinity, a team for whom offense has been a question mark in the past, has been scoring the ball at a rate we have not seen out of them in some time – albeit against some weaker teams. If you’re Coach Cosgrove, you have to be ecstatic about a starting lineup in which all five guys are currently averaging double figures. The Bantams have averaged 90 points per game over their last five games, all wins. Kyle Padmore ‘20, recently named NESCAC POTW, has looked like an all-conference player on both ends. As we all know, however, this conference is a different animal in the world of D3 basketball. Even Bowdoin will likely be a step up from some of the teams the Bantams have been blowing out lately. If Trinity can keep up the hot shooting while playing Coach Cosgrove’s tough brand of defense, they’re going to be a force in conference play. This team is on too much of a roll for a hiccup against the reeling Polar Bears.

Writer’s Pick: Trinity 83 – Bowdoin 65 

Williams (6-5) @ Hamilton (10-2), 7pm, Clinton, NY

Last year this game would have been a lock for game of the week and maybe even game of the year, but this year it pins two teams struggling to figure out their identities against each other. Williams has not scored at anywhere near the rate they were last season and they also find themselves with the second fewest assists per game in the NESCAC. Guys like Cole Prowitt-Smith ’23, Alex Stoddard ’23, and Spencer Spivy ’22 have shown that they’re capable of having big games, but none of them have displayed any level of consistency whatsoever. Big man Matt Karpowicz ’20 is the only guy on this team who has played significant time over the past few years and he’s sure to have a big game, but he’s going to need some help. The good news for Eph fans is that Hamilton is having a similar problem. Kena Gilmour ’20 is a stud, but it’s unclear who else is going to step up to fill the void left by all the players they graduated from last year. That said, the Continentals still average the second most points per game in the league (90.3) so it’s not all bad. This has the potential to be a pretty sloppy game given that these two teams are among the top 3 in turnovers and each of them have a slew of players that haven’t quite proven themselves yet. I expect this to be pretty evenly matched most of the way, but I don’t see the Continentals losing at home to an Eph squad that has been struggling as of late.

Writer’s Pick: Hamilton 77 – Williams 69

Connecticut College (3-8) @ #12 Colby (11-0), 7pm, Waterville, ME

If you’re the Conn College Camels, this is a very exciting point in the season. Everyone in the NESCAC is even in conference play, and you have an opportunity in front of you to put your past struggles behind and turn things around. The bad news for Conn is that they are starting off their conference slate with a Colby Mules team that is gaining attention nationwide for their offensive firepower, currently earning them the #12 spot in the country (only Middlebury is ranked higher among NESCAC teams). Not only is Colby 11-0, but they have also hit triple digits in six of those games. Sam Jefferson ’20 stands out right away with his absurd numbers – 24.5 PPG, 63% shooting from the field, and an unconscious 53% from deep. After Jefferson, guys like Matt Hanna ’21, Noah Tyson ’22, and Wallace Tucker ’21 have been scoring the ball at a high clip as well. The Mules will need to continue to take open threes and hit them in NESCAC play given that they have almost no size. Coach Strahorn has been running with a lineup of 7-8 guys, none of whom are over 6’4. This might work against some of the lowly Maine schools they have been playing, but it’s going to be a much bigger issue come NESCAC play. The one caveat to Colby’s success so far is their weak non-conference schedule. Conn, yes Conn, may very well be the best team they have faced so far. Conn should look to get 6’7 Dan Draffan and 7-footer Ryan Omslaer ’22 as many touches as possible to expose Colby’s lack of height. Defensively, the obvious emphasis needs to be on closing out perimeter shooters because Colby has plenty of them. I want to believe that Conn will make more of an impact in the NESCAC this year, but they just have not shown enough promise so far in their 3-8 season for me to feel good about their chances this weekend. The Mules have enough offense to roll at home.

Writer’s Pick: Colby 89 – Conn 68 

Tufts (10-2) @ Wesleyan (9-2), 7pm, Middletown, CT

This is a very important matchup for both of these teams. The Jumbos have started off the year very strong and Wesleyan is coming off of a statement win at home against Amherst. This Cardinal defense has looked outstanding, allowing the second fewest points per game of anyone while forcing a league-leading 9 steals per game. Jordan James ’21 is putting together another fantastic year so far, but he’ll go up against Luke Rogers ’21 who will certainly be the most talented big man he’s faced this season. That matchup will definitely be one to focus on. An interesting difference between these two teams is that Tufts has shot the ball very well so far as a whole, while Wesleyan is actually shooting a very low percentage, particularly from behind the 3-point line. This has worked so far for the Cardinals given that they play such good defense, but if the shots are falling for the Jumbos it’s tough to know who will respond for Wesleyan. Tufts has some very talented, athletic guards and we still haven’t really gotten a good read on the Cardinals’ young backcourt so it’ll be intriguing to see how they fare against one another. Tufts won this meeting last year in Medford behind a strong defensive effort and a hot shooting performance and at this point it’s hard to envision a different result this year.

Writer’s Pick: Tufts 78 – Wesleyan 74

Game of the Day

#3 Middlebury (13-0) @ #15 Amherst (9-3), 7pm, Amherst, MA

The surefire game of the week this week is taking place in western Mass tonight. These two perennial powers have played tough schedules so far and have looked very strong throughout. The Panthers’ combination of Jack Farrell ’21, Max Bosco ’21, and Matt Folger ’20 is one of the best scoring trios in the nation and they have showed no signs of slowing down. They have also benefitted greatly from the strong play of second-year center Alex Sobel ’22 who has stepped in to replace Eric McCord. He’ll have his work cut out for him when he goes up against this Mammoth team that is loaded with size. Middlebury’s offense looks incredibly hard to stop, but if anyone is going to do it then it’ll be the team with the league’s best defense. It’s hard to know exactly what to make of Amherst because most of their starters have played limited minutes so far. We know that Eric Sellew ’20, Fru Che ’21, and Grant Robinson ’21 are three of the best players in the conference, but first year Head Coach Aaron Toomey is still trying to figure out what is going to work to get these guys all involved. Robinson in particular hasn’t exactly looked like the same player from last season and there is speculation that he has been dealing with minor injuries in the early part of this season. Again, this is speculation, but something isn’t the same so far for the Mammoths. They’re also coming off a tough loss against Little Three rival Wesleyan, so it’ll be interesting to see which direction they go in their very difficult games this weekend. It’s difficult to open conference play with the best team in the league and I think that’s going to be quite a challenge for Amherst. This also may not be the last time these two teams square off this year…

Writer’s Pick: Middlebury 81 – Amherst 72

Not as Easy as It Looks: Williams Men’s Basketball Preview 2019-2020

Williams College Ephs

2018-2019 Record: 23-7 (6-4 NESCAC), lost in semifinals of NESCAC Tournament; lost in Elite 8 of NCAA Tournament

2019-2020 Projected Record: 19-9 (6-4 NESCAC)

Key Losses: G Bobby Casey, F James Heskett, F Kyle Scadlock, F Marcus Soto, C Michael Kempton

Projected Starting Lineup:

G: Mickey Babek ’20 (3.2 PPG, 1.8 REB/G, 1.2 AST/G, 45% FG)

The Southern California native finds a spot in the starting lineup after pretty minimal action in his first three years. However, Babek did see time in all 30 games last season and got to play alongside some of the most talented Eph players in recent memory. Thrust into the starting point guard role this season, a lot more will be asked of him as a senior. Babek has the height and length to overmatch a good portion of opposing point guards, but his defense is a huge area of focus. The NESCAC has some of the most explosive guards in all of Division III and Babek will be asked to defend many of them for extended periods of time. He isn’t the type of guy who will be putting up 25 points every night but if he can minimize turnovers and play solid defense against some of the opposing team’s best players, it will keep Williams in just about every game this season.

G: Spencer Spivy ’22 (2.3 PPG, 0.8 REB/G, 45% FG, 4.2 MPG)

Spivy is the perfect example of a guy that likely would have played much more significant minutes last year if he was on any other team (besides maybe Hamilton). Unfortunately he was stuck behind Casey, Heskett, and Scadlock, so Spivy didn’t get quite as much action as he would have liked. Now he’s jumping right into the starting lineup where he’ll have quite a bit more asked of him. Spivy is a versatile scorer who can really knock it down from deep, but he can also surprise you with his court vision as well. Realistically, the Ephs are going to need Spivy to start scoring a lot. They lost a ton of production from last year and they don’t have an obvious scoring threat left in the backcourt, so it’s Spivy’s year to step up. The sophomore had a decorated high school career so we know he has it in him, but it remains to be seen if he’s ready to take a step up to the next level in Williamstown.

F: Henry Feinberg ’20 (6.5 PPG, 3.2 REB/G, 1.2 AST/G, 49% FG)

Feinberg is a role player if there ever was one. This guy’s stats have been alarmingly consistent from year to year, but never jaw-dropping. He was a starter last year on their stacked Elite 8 team so he clearly brings something to the table, but to the untrained eye it’s hard to tell exactly what. Feinberg is a big hustle guy and will surely be the first to dive on the floor for a loose ball, but not a lot of what he does will show up in the box score. He has a big frame and is asked to defend a wide range of different players, so it’s very beneficial for Coach App to have a guy that he can task with defending anyone from point guards to big men. With that being said, it’s hard to say what more Feinberg can do this year given that he doesn’t show up much on the offensive end. With the amount of experience Feinberg has, it seems as though his most positive contributions will be helping groom some of the younger guys and teach them the Williams basketball way.

F: Jovan Jones ’22 (1.4 PPG, 1.4 REB/G, 5.7 MPG)

Much like Spivy, Jones would have likely seen significant time on any other team last season, but he was playing behind a slew of star caliber players. Now it’s his time to shine because this guy has talent, size, and athleticism that is very hard to come by in the NESCAC. At 6’5”, 210, Jones could have found himself a spot on a low-Division I roster, but he opted for Williams and it should pay dividends. He has the strength to muscle past a lot of the guards that will be defending him, but the quickness to beat a bigger guy if that’s the way that teams go. Working on his jump shot will be key because Jones hasn’t proven that he can consistently knock down the 3-ball and he has been an absolute liability at the charity stripe through one and a half seasons thus far. Jones has the athletic ability to be one of the most impactful players in the league so keep an eye on his progression this year.

C: Matt Karpowicz ’20 (11.8 PPG, 6.1 REB/G, 1.7 AST/G, 1.4 BLK/G, 61% FG)

Death, taxes, and Matt Karpowicz. It really just seems like we can’t get rid of this guy. When he’s not spending his time writing some terrific NbN articles, Karp is busy hauling down rebounds and posterizing opposing players. The 12th-year senior has played in literally every single game since his freshman campaign and this guy has been dominant. Karpowicz is shooting a career 61.6% from the field and has steadily increased his scoring numbers each season. He stands at 6’8” and 250lbs, and his impressive footwork and low-post ability make him one of the best true centers in the NESCAC. Williams has always had a very tall roster so Karp hasn’t needed to rebound as much as he’s capable of, but this year he’ll have to take a small step up in that area. The good news is it appears that he’s already doing that, as he posted a 29-point, 20-rebound double double in their most recent game against Springfield. The Ephs haven’t needed him to play up to his potential so far in his career, but this year he’s the star. This year the Ephs will only be able to go as high as Karpowicz can take them.

Everything Else:

Given their history, a 4-3 start isn’t exactly where Williams wanted to be at this point in the season. The reason for the slow start, however, is because the Ephs lost by far more production from last year than anyone else in the league. Graduating Casey, Heskett, Scadlock, Kempton, and Soto means losing 55.7 points per game (out of 82.1), 22.9 rebounds per game (out of 40.5), 10.6 assists per game (out of 15.4), and 126.7 minutes per game (out of 200). That is insanity. Losing over 50% of your team’s production usually results in what is colloquially referred to as a “building year” but we all know that those don’t exist in Williamstown. As usual, Coach App has a hoard of capable recruits and underclassmen that are ready to go.

There’s no doubt that Cole Prowitt-Smith ’23 will have the biggest impact of any freshman this season. Prowitt-Smith gained the attention of an array of Ivy League and Patriot League schools, but ultimately chose Williams and has made an immediate impact. Already averaging 12 points and 4 rebounds per game, Prowitt-Smith has a surprising level of athleticism and can knock down shots from anywhere on the court. His ability to get to the rim and defend at a high level are already more developed than most guards in the league and he’s only a freshman. This guy is the NESCAC’s next superstar.

Nate Karren ’23 will provide some support for Matt Karpowicz ’20 down low, but he is still in the progress of refining his skill set. Fellow rookie Alex Stoddard ’23 is a dynamic scorer and has already found himself scoring in double figures on a few occasions so far this year. The backcourt duo of Michael Myers ’21 and Ryan Moon ’22 will see an increase in minutes as well, but they, too, are relatively unproven and Coach App will look for them to develop mightily over the course of the season. The Ephs will also largely benefit from the return of Marc Taylor ’21 who missed the end of last year and the start of this year with injury. Taylor is a 6’8”, 200lb wing who can score and defend with the best of them. He will add a huge boost in size and depth for Williams who could really use help with both at this point.

This year will be a very telling one for the Eph squad and Coach Kevin App who, for the first time in his tenure, lost 5 seniors to graduation, all of whom played significant minutes. During App’s first 5 years at the helm, he never graduated more than 3 players in a single year and usually only 1 or 2 was playing meaningful time. We know he’s a capable recruiter, but we’re going to learn a lot about App’s ability to develop players in a much shorter time span if he wants the Ephs to be as competitive as they typically are. I don’t see them falling to the bottom half of the conference, but the NESCAC is very competitive and Williams has had a target on their back for quite some time now. They have to be very careful because it’s easy to get hurt when you fall all the way from the top.