Ephs on the Rise: 4/27 Weekend Preview

With only a few weeks left in the spring semester, NESCAC weekends are even more critical to a team’s playoff aspiration. The leading teams coming out of the west are the usual candidates: Amherst and Wesleyan. The teams coming out of the east right now, in a somewhat shocking manner, are Bates and Tufts. The three seeds in each division are poised to become two seeds if they play strong these next few weekends. In this weekend edition, I will preview the most important matchups this weekend, and how the outcome will affect the entire league.

The East: Tufts University @ Bates College:

This series will be exciting for a number of reasons. Firstly, both teams were underachieving midway through the season. Once sitting at 3-3, the Bos’ have become hot quickly. As last season’s champs and perennial contender, it wasn’t hard to predict that Tufts’ wasn’t going to receive the stellar starting pitching that it had the year before. I could never predict 3-3, though. You have to understand that Coach John Casey’s Tufts will never be in the bottom of the league. Whether it be the way they recruit, practice, or the tradition that Tufts Baseball has under Casey, the ‘Bos will simply never be bad.

Can Coach John Casey really push Tufts to victory every season? You bet he can.

Bates, on the other hand, under the regime of Jon Martin, has exceeded expectations. Even though some attribute Bates’ playoff appearance last year to luck, the Bobcats still played in the tournament while every non-tournament team was golfing. Bates simply wasn’t good earlier in the year—especially at the plate. Personally, I ripped on and even written off Bates earlier in the year. This weekend is crucial for Bates to establish themselves as a perennial contender. If Bates takes at least two on its home field against Tufts, I will consider them a legitimate team. Hitting is still a problem, though. Starting outfielder Will Sylvia is only hitting .227. Bates’ pitching right now is one of the best in the league, so if the hitters throughout the lineup can figure it out at the plate, Bates could be considered a favorite in the tournament. The .247 average really isn’t helping the Bobcats.

Tufts’ bats exploded against Colby last weekend—putting up run totals in the teens and twenties. Even though Colby is no Amherst, the Mules are still a NESCAC team. The demolition that Tufts put on Colby is truly remarkable. Tufts is either first or second in all major hitting statistical categories; they can definitely mash. Like it always is, Tommy O’Hara, Nick Falkson and Malcolm Nachmanoff are leading the charge with 17 combined dingers and an average just below .400 for O’Hara and above .400 for Nachmanoff. Pitchers are scared to face these guys, and I don’t blame them. With a swing of the bat, they can turn the game around.

This is a series that I doubt anyone predicted would be one of the most critical of the season; dominant hitting against dominant pitching is fun to watch. Normally pitching wins at the highest level, but that could be underestimating how well Tufts swings the bat. Regardless, it’s going to be a fun series.

Prediction: Tufts wins the series two games to one.

The West: Wesleyan University vs. Williams College:

Mike Stamas ’20 made his first pitching start last weekend, showing that he is a versatile diamond in the rough for the Ephs.

Here’s a hot take: Williams isn’t bad. They’re good. How good? We’ll see this weekend against Wesleyan. Wesleyan is coming into this series with a 2-4 conference record these past two weekends. It hurts me to say this: I definitely overvalued Wesleyan after its dominant sweep of Middlebury. I completely overlooked the lack of real relief pitching. Yes, Sosa, McCaffery, and sometimes Olmstead will put together a quality start, but who do you really trust with the ball in their hand in the eighth or ninth on the road with men on base? I definitely trust Pat Clare, but Dan Lombardo has been inconsistent in giving up extra base hits. Jake Alonzo and Ryan Earle are quality right handers as well, but if you want to get a lefty-lefty matchup against a big power guy, who do you go to? Doug Hartshorn can provide a good matchup with offspeed and other secondary pitches, although he spiked a ball during game one against Amherst last weekend that got past C Chase Pratt, which led to a critical Amherst run. Even though I love what smaller southpaws like Hartshorn bring to the table with late movements on fastballs, loopier breaking balls, and changeups that are incredibly hard to sit back on and read, pitchers have to throw strikes at the end of the day. Coming back from that long tangent, I’ve realized that the reason I overvalued Wesleyan is because of the bats against Midd. When the bats were hot– that means Cappitelli through Walek were stringing together quality at bats, the relievers faced no pressure. When you know what hit the fan at Hamilton, I first saw Wesleyan’s relatively weak bullpen. It’s inevitable that a lineup will ebb and flow. For Wes to be successful with its thin pen, everyone has to hit.

Williams supringly isn’t as bad as I thought they were going to be. Sitting at 4-5 in conference play, if they take two against Wes, the Ephs have a serious shot at making the playoffs. 4-5 really isn’t a bad record. People forget that last year’s breakout star Johnny Lamont is recovering from Tommy John surgery. Similar to Bates, it seems that Williams’ achilles heel is its lack of production at the plate. Kellen Hatheway, the guy who’s getting the most AB’s, is barely hitting is weight (full disclosure, I don’t know his true weight. He’s hitting .209, so I assume he’s between 180-220). The pitching doesn’t seem stellar either. No pitcher is below a 3.50 ERA with a minimum of one innings pitch. What picture do these numbers paint? Williams is average at best numbers wise? How’d they win four elusive league games so far? They haven’t been swept yet. The Ephs have won some close games against quality teams. They took one against Amherst, one against Midd, and one against Bates (non-league), and two against Hamilton. They’ve beaten some quality teams, which makes me think that they have clutch at bats and get outs when they need them.

With all this said, I’m not saying Wes is a bad ball club or that Williams will win it all. Wesleyan at the end of the day will win ball games. Remember Dennett’s clutch hit against Tufts’ in 2014 to score Cimino and Yin to jump ahead against Tufts. That was when Wes won its first ever NESCAC title. Guys like Jeye, Andrews, Coppola, Ferrara, and Howard remember that bus ride back to Middletown with the feeling that they accomplished something no Wes baseball player ever did. The pride of stepping off the bus outside of Freeman Athletic Center knowing that you wore that W on your chest, represented the school, and won is a feeling that is indescribable. These guys know how to win under pressure, but let’s see if the rest of the squad can do it. Williams be up to the challenge if Wes can’t come through in the clutch. This is a little three game, so I know it’ll be a great series.

Prediction: Wesleyan wins two games to one.

Wait…What just happened? Stock Report Week 3

WHOA!: Stock Report 3

What. A. Weekend. It was the craziest two days of NESCAC baseball we’ve seen in recent memory, turning the standings and what we thought was a fairly clear playoff picture upside down. Just as I had crowned Trinity the prohibitive favorite and 1 seed-elect in the East Divison, they were swept by Bates in 3 games decided by 4 runs total. Instead of planning their NESCAC championship weekend travel plans, the Bantams will now be glued to their laptops and grainy NSN streams looking for some help from both Tufts and Bates, who play each other this weekend (more on that to come). In the West, Williams has managed to give themselves a fighting chance to make the playoffs thanks to some help from archrival Amherst. Going into the stretch run of the regular season, who’s rounding into form at the right time?

Stock Up

Bates

No one had a bigger weekend than the Bates Bobcats. Heading into Hartford tied for 2nd at 3-3, but with their remaining 6 divisional games against the two teams above them in the standings, Bates realistically needed to win all 3 games to have a chance to make the playoffs, and that is exactly what they did. They didn’t get their best from ace P Connor Russell ’18 in Game 1 but eked out a win, and rallied down from 2 runs down with 2 outs in the final inning to win 5-2 in game 2, before jumping out early with 3 in the first inning and a clutch performance from P Justin Foley (5 IP, 2 R) to pull out the sweep. All of a sudden Bates sits at 6-3, tied for first in the division with Tufts, who they play this weekend. If they win just one of those 3 games, they are headed to the postseason.

Tufts’ Bats

 Was this a statement weekend from the class of the league or what? The Jumbos absolutely clobbered Colby in a 3 game sweep in which they racked up a total of 56 runs. 56! They’re tandem of senior IFs Tommy O’Hara and Nick Falkson has all of a sudden turned into a terrifying trio with the addition of senior OF Malcolm Nachmanoff whose monster week (4 HR, 8 RBI) earned him NESCAC POTW honors. Overall, the three veterans combined for 7 HRs and 24 RBI against Colby, which also brought them to 6-3 and tied for first in the league. The Bates sweep of Trinity actually might have hurt the Bos’ chances of making the playoffs, as their head-to-head record (1-2) against Trinity means that they need to take 2 of 3 against Bates to be in (Check out the playoff scenario breakdown to read more on this: https://nothingbutnescac.com/?p=6063), but the way they’re playing, this should be expected. Their other three-headed monster, the one toeing the rubber of Hall, Greeley, and Langdon, continued to cruise, save for a 3 run Colby 9th that turned a potential CG, 4 ER for Hall into something a little messier, but they look like the best team in the league right now, and their championship DNA should see off Bates.

Nick Falkson is just one of three big bats for the Jumbos…watch out, NESCAC pitchers.

Parity

Between Bates’ sweep of Trinity, Amherst’s series win over Wesleyan, and Williams’ series win over Hamilton, the standings got a whole lot more crowded this weekend. Last week it looked as if 3 of last year’s 4 NESCAC tournament participants were going to return to the postseason, and now only one of those three (Amherst) can be assured that their spot is safe…for now. It sounded crazy to say a week ago that Trinity might not make the playoffs, but it’s now a very realistically, and honestly, a likely scenario. Did anyone have Williams playing into mid-May? Well they might. It’s simple for the Ephs: take 2 out of 3 from Wesleyan and their season continues. It’s great news for this league in a year where it looked as if everything could’ve shaken out by now, but there is a whole lot left to play for heading into this last weekend.

Williams’ Pitching 

What a turnaround for this staff, if you could even call it a staff, because they’ve been getting contributions from all over the field. It took the Ephs a while to adjust to the loss of their top 4 arms, but they showed that they’re more than capable this past weekend against Hamilton. Junior LHP Jack Bohen earned NESCAC pitcher of the week honors with his CG, 2 H, 1 R, 10 K outing in a 2-1 win in Game 2, hurling an absolute gem to effectively keep their season alive. And in another absolute must win on Sunday, it was sophomore OF Mike Stamas (yes, outfielder) who threw 3.2 IP in his first career start, allowing just one hit and one run, as well as striking out 6. Coach Barrale then turned it over to the pen for a combined 5.1 IP of scoreless baseball from 4 different arms. It looks as they have a clear 1-2 in Bohen and freshman George Carroll, who have both been quietly stringing together quality outings, improving each time out. It remains unclear as to who the third starter will be (my money is on LHP Charlie Carpenter ’20), but if Mike Stamas bats leadoff and throws a gem to beat Wesleyan and steal their playoff spot on Sunday, then we might have to revise our Top 5 NESCAC moments of 2017-18 (https://nothingbutnescac.com/?p=6034), because that would have to make the list.

Stock Down 

Trinity’s Playoff (Playoff!) Chances

Tough to have a rougher week than the Bantams. Bates’ best chance to steal any games off of this red hot squad was going to be riding on the arm of Connor Russell, but if I told you he had a final line of 5.1 IP, 9 H, 7 ER, you would’ve felt pretty good about Trin and their chances to win that game and clinch a playoff berth. But LHP Eric Mohl ’19 couldn’t match him (3.2 IP, 8 H, 6 R), and a bullpen collapse after 26 outs in Game 2 started them down 0-2. The bats didn’t come to town for Game 3, and a 7-2 Trinity team had turned into a 7-5 one before you could blink. This team was white hot going into this weekend, a team that matched up great against a Bates’ team whose strength is their pitching. All of a sudden the Bants need some serious help to make the playoffs, sitting behind Tufts and Bates. But to make matters worse, those two teams, both at 6-3, are playing each other this weekend.

Scheduling

Except the rain did hurt, Charlie Brown.

I do not intend to include bashing the NESCAC in every Stock Report, but this does make two weeks in a row that I have had a gripe with the league, this one coming to light heading into this weekend, with Trinity awaiting their fate in the hands of the Tufts/Bates series. Trinity has played all 12 of its divisional games, while Tufts and Bates have only played 9. I’m not saying that this is unfair to Trinity, as they simply could’ve avoided having their season decided by someone else if they had performed stronger, but as a fan, it certainly takes a lot of the fun and drama out of these final weekends. How great would it be if every team was playing Game 12 on Sunday at 1, frequently refreshing live stats in the stands, in the dugout, and in the bullpen, to see the playoff scenarios changing by the pitch. Middlebury has also only played 6 (50%) of their divisional games up to this point and have back to back conference series coming up. Yeah, they are a long shot to make the playoffs, but they did the same thing last year, so who knows. It’s wild to think that their sweep last weekend of Bowdoin doesn’t factor into NESCAC play at all either, but more excitement is on the way, I guess.

Furthermore, and maybe more importantly, is the way the non-division games are spread out. Trinity could have their season effectively end on Saturday or Sunday, but regardless, they’re due to play three additional doubleheaders against Amherst, Middlebury, and Wesleyan, respectively, games which you’re going to have a hard time convincing me will matter. Could they win the last 8 games on their schedule to finish with a record of 22-13 and have the slightest of chances of catching an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament? You could try to persuade me that they could (not making your conference tournament is usually a negative when it comes to giving out at-large bids), but I doubt it. I don’t want to get rid of those games, because baseball is baseball, and they deserve to play as many games as they can, but stacking up all of the non-league, and to be frank, pointless, games at the end of the season is criminal. While the divisional games are obviously the priority when it comes to managing lineups and your pitching rotation, the league is doing us a disservice by throwing us Amherst-Trinity and Wesleyan-Trinity, two series that have been playoff previews all year, at the end of the season when it is all done and dusted. Spread the out of division games out, or just make all of the league games count the same, although that deserves its own rant for another time.

Coming Down to the Wire: Playoff Scenario Breakdown

NESCAC East:

Bates (13-12, 6-3 NESCAC): Bates is currently riding high, sharing the top seed in the East with Tufts. The Bobcats were able to put themselves in this position through a hard-fought sweep of Trinity. Bates was able to get ahead early and put the Bantams away in games 1 and 3 of the series and put up a 4 run 7th inning in game 2 to complete a wild comeback. Next, Bates has to square off against Tufts, and this series may determine which one of them makes it into the playoffs. If Bates is able to win at least one game against Tufts, they will make the playoffs based on their head to head record against Trinity. Two wins or a sweep gets them the top spot in the East. It all comes down to these final 3 games for the Bobcats, so now is the time to get the job done.

Prediction: Bates finishes 7-5 in the NESCAC East and makes the playoffs as a 2-seed (tiebreaker vs Trinity).

Bowdoin (11-16, 4-5 NESCAC): Bowdoin started off their season hot, taking 2 of 3 from rival Bates, but since then the momentum just hasn’t been there for the Polar Bears. After losing their next 2 series to Trinity and Tufts, Bowdoin finds themselves sitting in 4th place in the NESCAC East. Even with a sweep of Colby this weekend, which is not too unlikely, both Tufts and Trinity hold the tiebreaker over Bowdoin so their playoff hopes have been officially eliminated.

Prediction: Bowdoin finishes 6-6 in the NESCAC and does not make the playoffs.

Colby (5-18, 1-8 NESCAC): Colby’s playoff hopes have been gone for quite some time, but after getting swept by Tufts they are officially out of playoff contention. They next play Bowdoin, who are also eliminated from playoff contention, in what has turned out to be a consolation series.

Prediction: Colby finishes 2-10 in the NESCAC and does not make the playoffs.

Trinity is playing the waiting game this weekend…

Trinity (14-13, 7-5 NESCAC): While Trinity is the first NESCAC team to have completed all of their league games, there is still a lot on the line for the Bantams this weekend. If either Tufts or Bates is able to sweep the other, or if Bates takes 2 of 3 from Tufts, the Bantams will be playoff bound. For Trinity all they can do now is watch, wait and pray. While the Bantams do have double headers against both Amherst and Midd this weekend, none of those games will count for their NESCAC record (which is a whole different issue to discuss), so the most important series for the Bantams this weekend will be taking place in Maine.

Trinity will make the playoffs with the following scenarios:

-If either team sweeps, resulting in one team finishing at 9-3 with the 1 seed, and the other at 6-6 with a 3rd place finish

-If Bates wins 2 of 3, Trinity will tie for 2nd with Tufts at 7-5, who they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over.

Trinity will be eliminated from the playoffs with the following scenarios:

-If Tufts wins 2 of 3, resulting in an 8-4 1st place finish for Tufts, and a 7-5 2nd place finish for Bates, who hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over Trinity.

This is obviously a really tricky situation for Trinity, as Tufts winning 2 would end their season, but Tufts winning 3 would extend it. Unfortunately for any Trinity fans, I would say that the most likely situation would be Tufts winning 2 of 3, but it is definitely possible with the way they are not only pitching, but hitting, that they could take all 3. I’m going to predict that Tufts and Bates, in that order, however, are the two teams to represent the East Division in the NESCAC tournament. What a difference a weekend can make.

Prediction: Trinity finishes 7-5 in the NESCAC and does not make the playoffs (tiebreaker vs Bates).

Tufts (15-12, 6-3 NESCAC): Tufts is currently red-hot, taking 3 games from Colby and scoring 56 runs in the process. The Jumbos seem to be gaining momentum at the right time, winning 6 of their last 7 NESCAC games heading into the end of the year. Next up they have the Bates squad with whom they are currently tied for 1st in the East. This series is crucial for the Jumbos because if they drop one to Bates, they will be eliminated from playoff contention for the first time since 2013. If Tufts manages to win the series they will be back in the playoffs and will have a shot at making it 3 straight NESCAC championships.

Stony Brook transfer, Malcolm Nachmanoff, is having his first successful full season with the Jumbos and leads the league with 6 long balls.

Prediction: Tufts will finish 8-4 in NESCAC and make the playoffs as the 1-seed.

NESCAC West:

Amherst (17-8, 6-2 NESCAC): With 4 NESCAC games remaining, Amherst is sitting pretty in 1st place in the West, with a comfortable lead on the rest of the division. If the Mammoths only win one of their next 4 games they still have a chance to make the playoffs but if they take 2 of their next 4 they are guaranteed in. Getting 2 wins in 3 games against Midd and 1 game against Hamilton should not be an issue for Amherst who has been rolling all year. Barring a sweep by Middlebury, Amherst should have no issue cruising into a 1-seed this year.

Prediction: Amherst will finish 9-3 and will make the playoffs as the 1-seed

Hamilton (15-14, 3-5 NESCAC): Hamilton has been lead this season by the strong performance of their freshman class. Matt Zaffino ‘21, Jarrett Lee ‘21 and Ethan Wallis ‘21 are the top three hitters in the Continental lineup, which should bode very well for the future of their program. For now however, Hamilton is sitting at 4th place in the West and has a tough road ahead of them if they want to find themselves in a playoff spot. After defeating #6 Cortland this week, Hamilton has a home series against Midd and then a final game against current 1-seed Amherst. Both of these matchups will be tough for the Continentals as Midd is coming off a sweep of Bowdoin and Amherst is looking to be the favorite to win the conference. Hamilton holds head-to-head advantage against Wesleyan, but not against Williams, who face each other this weekend. Hamilton still has a shot at the playoffs if they are able to take 3 or 4 of their final 4 games and Williams does not sweep Wesleyan. For now the Continentals will need to focus on what they can change, which is their own games, and hope that everything else goes their way.

Prediction: Hamilton will finish 4-8 and not make the playoffs.

Middlebury (10-13, 2-4 NESCAC): Believe it or not, Midd still has half of their NESCAC games to play. Although they might be sitting in last place in the West at the moment, it is certainly not impossible for the Panthers to pull themselves into a playoff spot. Coming up first for Midd is Hamilton, who dropped their most recent series to Williams 2 games to 1. Middlebury is most likely going to have to sweep this series in order to give themselves a chance to make playoffs. Coming off a sweep of Bowdoin, the momentum should be there for the Panthers, which will make them a tough squad for Hamilton to face. Second, Midd has to take on current 1-seed Amherst. This series will be the decider in whether Middlebury will make playoffs. In order to be the best, you have to beat the best. Midd will have to prove to the rest of the conference, and themselves, that they are playoff-worthy and taking down a powerful Mammoth team will be all the evidence they need.

Prediction: Middlebury will finish 5-7 and not make playoffs.

Wesleyan (17-11, 5-4 NESCAC): Wesleyan is sitting in 2nd place in the NESCAC West at the moment, but Williams is right on their heels. Luckily for the Cardinals, their next series is at home, where they are 7-2 this season, and it is against Williams. If Wesleyan is able to perform in crunch time the same way they have all season, they are a lock for the playoffs. Williams will have to face the three-headed monster of Mike McCaffrey ‘19, Alec Olmstead ‘20 and Kelvin Sosa ‘21. This trio is the same one that shut down Midd in their last series, and considering the fact that Midd tore through Williams, the Cardinals are the sure favorite in this series. If Wesleyan picks up 2 wins they should be home free, unless Midd happens to win all 6 of their remaining games or Hamilton wins all of their next 4. The Cardinals have their fate in their own hands right now and I very much expect them to use it to their advantage.

Prediction: Wesleyan will finish 7-5 and make the playoffs as the 2-seed.

Jack Bohen and the Ephs need a lot of help to continue their season.

Williams (8-16, 4-5 NESCAC): At the beginning of the year it seemed as if Williams was the favorite to end up in dead-last in the NESCAC, but they have managed to turn it around and find themselves with an opportunity to make the playoffs. After losing 2 of 3 games in both of their first series against Amherst and Midd, the Ephs were able to pick up a huge series win against Hamilton which put them in playoff contention and gives them the all-important tiebreaker against the Continentals. The formula for making the playoff for Williams is pretty simple, a series win against Wesleyan will put them in a very good spot. If they beat the Cardinals 2 games to 1, they will hold the tiebreaker against them and therefore be in 2nd place and make the playoffs. However they will still have to worry about Hamilton, who will pass the Ephs if the take 4 of their next 4, and Midd, who will pass them if they take 4 of their next 6. Although Williams has the ability to decide their fate, they have to face an extremely talented Wesleyan team on their home turf. Williams will have to pull off a pretty surprising upset to make playoffs, but crazier things have happened.

Prediction: Williams will finish 5-7 and not make playoffs

 

Pitchers Are People Too; NESCAC Probable Starters Weekend Preview

Pitchers are People Too

The hall of fame football coach, commentator, and player John Madden once said, “They’re either going to run the ball here or their going to pass it.” Even though this quote isn’t relevant to the article, I just wanted to include it to show how much we miss Madden in the booth. Madden’s best statement is the following: “Usually the team that scores the most points wins the game.” The same mentality holds true in baseball. The team that scores the most runs wins. However, winning a ballgame encapsulates so many more characteristics than just scoring runs. You hear in basketball and football that defense wins championships. The 2000 Ravens, 2016 Broncos, and those mid-2000’s Pistons’ teams are all examples of great defenses carrying teams to championships. Having a dominant starting pitcher, setup man, and closer are pertinent to championship teams. Remember Madison Bumgarner coming into game 7 mid game against the Royals in the 2014 World Series, and absolutely shutting them down? He was on short rest, but still blanked the Royals. NESCAC hitting has been most of the talk all season, but I want to focus on the guys who constantly keep their teams in games when the well runs dry in the hitting department. Here are some of my conversations with the league’s top pitchers.

Colby Morris, Middlebury College:

Colby Morris ’19

3-4, 1.77 ERA, 37 K’s, Roster picture evaluation: chin up, chain out, confident.

AM: How do you plan to beat Bowdoin this weekend?

CM: To be honest, I haven’t looked too much at  Bowdoin yet and am focussed on mid-week games and bullpens first. As far as the game plan goes, however, I’m just going to stick to what I’ve been doing–mixing it up and locating which is kind of what I do on the mound.

AM:  What’s the mentality you take to the mound when you’re not getting run support?

CM: I try not to think too much about run support when I’m pitching. Obviously if we have a big inning offensively, my focus coming back out is to pitch to contact. In a tight game though, whether we are up or down doesn’t really matter to me as I’m just trying to stop everybody from scoring to keep the score where it is.

AM: What has been your best pitch this season and why?

CM: Strike three. In general my offspeed is just sharper than it was last year and with better location I have been able to get more K’s. While I usually pitch to contact (as seen with some low K/9’s my first two years), it has been big preventing big innings with some K’s.

My conclusion: Colby’s followed up a stellar sophomore campaign with an arguably better junior year. The win loss record is due to Midd’s underachievement as a lineup; you can’t put any of that on Colby with his ERA. Midd’s in a bind with Amherst and Wesleyan dominating the west, so every series is a must win for them.

Alex Shafer, Trinity College:

Alex Shafer ’20

 4-3; 1.74 ERA (NESCAC); .197 opponent avg. (NESCAC); Roster picture evaluation: nice guy to shoot the breeze with, crazy maniac on the mound. Loose tie.

AM: How do you plan to beat Bates this weekend?

AS: The game plan is always to give the team a chance to win, by reducing or eliminating the amount of runs that Bates scores.

AM:  What’s the mentality you take to the mound when you’re not getting run support?

AS: My mentality is always the same. my game is built around keeping the fielders engaged with soft contact. handing them easy ground or fly balls keeps them in the game, which in turn means they may take more focused at bats. So if i wasn’t getting run support, i just try to be as effective as possible. I try to throw the least amount of pitches in order to get my fielders their at bats.

AM: What has been your best pitch this season and why?

AS: I think my best pitch is whatever keeps the batters off balance. Some batters are excellent at waiting on off speed, but struggle against well located fastballs. Some batters try to ambush fast balls, so i work them with off speed. My favorite pitch is my changeup, and the pitch calling partnership between me and my catcher means we are rarely unprepared for a batter’s tendencies.

My conclusion: Trin is having a very impressive season (7-2 NESCAC). If they can take at least two against Bates this weekend, there’s no way they don’t make a solid run in the playoffs. Shafer’s mentality of getting ground balls in tough spots is why Trinity has been so successful. It allows Shafer’s pitch count to be low, so he can stay out there for at least two thirds to three quarters of the game.

Mike McCaffrey, Wesleyan University:

Mike McCaffrey ’19

1-0 (NESCAC); 1.54 ERA (NESCAC), 12.34 K/game; Roster picture evaluation: pretty swag, officially sponsored by Nike, looks like a kid who would take your candy (see below).

AM: How do you plan to beat Amherst this weekend?

MM: Every time we play Amherst the game seems to come down to one play or one pitch, so just focusing on winning each pitch.

AM: What’s the mentality you take to the mound when you’re not getting run support?

MM: I’m going to attack hitters and control what I can control, everything else seems to take care of itself.

AM: What has been your best pitch this season and why?

MM:  I don’t know if I could choose one

My conclusion: He clearly went to the same college as Bill Belichick with these answers, and I love it. McCaffrey along with Kelvin Sosa have been two dominant southpaws at the top of Wesleyan’s rotation. As I said in my season preview, this is the biggest series of the year for both teams. They will likely meet again in the playoffs. Amherst won’t give Wes any free runs, so expect close games in this series with McCaffrey leading the charge.

Gavin Schaefer-Hood, Hamilton College:

Gavin Schaefer-Hood ’21

3-3, 3.81 ERA, 27 K’s, roster picture evaluation: looks like the kid McCaffrey took candy from; still a beast on the mound this year; probably got a 98 on a midterm right before this was taken.

AM: How do you plan to beat Williams this weekend?

GSH: Being a freshman I don’t know much about Williams so I’ll be relying a lot on the game plan our coaches put together for us. They definitely seem to have some talent at the plate hitting both for average and with some power so I’ll just be trying to compete and prevent any big innings.

AM:  What’s the mentality you take to the mound when you’re not getting run support?

GSH: I don’t think my mentality on the mound changes at all up one run or up 10. I’m just trying to execute each pitch and rely on my defense to make plays. I know my teammates will find ways to push runs across – they did it enough against me in the fall and early spring practices – so I just try to do my part and keep guys off the bases.

AM:  What has been your best pitch this season and why?

GSH: I’d love to answer this one but we still have two league teams that I’ve never seen and that have never seen me so I’d love to keep as much of an element of surprise as I can before facing them. Lets just say the knuckleball.

My conclusion: Gavin had to take a role that most freshman don’t take as a key starting pitcher for Hamilton. He has rose to the challenge. He stunned Wesleyan last weekend with only one earned run through seven innings. Wesleyan’s lineup is nothing to joke about, but he made the Cards anemic at the plate.

Brooks Parker, Colby College: 

Brooks Parker ’20

1-3; 9.00 ERA; 11 Ks; 2017 Stats: 0-6, 3.31 ERA, 40 K’s; Roster picture evaluation: This guy doesn’t hide in the bushes in Fortnite.

AM: How do you plan to beat Tufts this weekend?

BP: Tufts is a very good baseball team and it will take a strong team effort on both sides of the ball to win against them.  On the offensive side, we need to put more pressure on the defense and force them to make plays. Our pitchers need to throw strikes, keep the ball down and minimize hard hit balls.  We can’t afford to give up free bases by walking batters as Tufts will take advantage of those opportunities. I’m confident in our defensive ability to make the plays behind our pitchers.

AM: What’s the mentality you take to the mound when you’re not getting run support?

BP: When I’m not getting run support I try to stay focused on what I can do to help the team win.  For me, my mentality is very similar whether we’re up by a lot of down by a lot. I just try to make my pitches, hit my spots and keep the game close to give us an opportunity to win the game.  I know that if I do my part on the mound, the runs will eventually come. Our team has some great hitters and although we’ve been slumping in conference games this season, I’m confident that we will find a way to score runs if our pitchers and defense can keep us in the game.

AM: What has been your best pitch this season and why?

BP: I’d say my best pitch this season has been my curveball.  When everything’s working, my best pitch is my changeup, but I’ve had some trouble locating that pitch this season, which is something I’ve been working on.  I love going to my curveball early in the count because most batters will not swing at it unless they have 2 strikes on them. I can generally locate my curveball very well and it allows me to get ahead in the count to come back with a fastball or changeup just out of the zone to hopefully get a swing and miss or softly hit ball.

My conclusion: Colby hasn’t been good all season; the road doesn’t get any easier this weekend against Tufts. I know there have been injuries and sickness up in Waterville, but the Mules have to figure it out at this 1-5 record. It all starts with solid pitching. With Brooks’ ERA coupled with his 0 wins, it’s clear that he hasn’t gotten the run support he needs. I love his answer to question two because it’s clear that he’s mature enough to bring a positive attitude to the mound inning to inning when the Mules’ bats are silent. That’s the attitude of a winner. If Colby can take two from Tufts, they really hurt Tufts’ chances at a playoff bid. I’m sure the Mules would love that.

Hot Takes Like Steven A. Smith; NESCAC Baseball Week 3 Stock Report

After another weekend of NESCAC baseball that featured three divisional series, we are starting to gain a little more clarity and direction in the standings. Trinity swept Colby putting them at 7-2, 4.5 games clear at the top of the East division, essentially locking up a playoff spot and the 1 seed, although Bates (3-3) might have something to say when they come to Hartford this weekend. The West has the potential to get a little messy. While Amherst (4-1) and Wesleyan (4-2) are the only teams with a winning record, the two Little 3 rivals face off this weekend, and there is always a chance of a sweep that could throw the race for the second spot into complete chaos.

Stock Up 

Tufts Pitching

I highlighted the ‘Bos trio of pitchers in last week’s Power Rankings but they were really on display this weekend at Bowdoin. R.J. Hall ‘19’s 7 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 7 K line earned him NESCAC Pitcher of the Week honors in a 10-0 win on Friday while Brent Greeley and Spencer Langdon added in another combined 13.2 IP and 5 ER in a much needed 2-1 weekend for Tufts. There are 7 qualified pitchers in the league with sub-3 ERAs and those three are all on that list. Langdon (1st, 1.08), Greeley (T3rd, 1.85), and Hall (7th, 2.57) have been excellent in NESCAC play so far, and they’re going to need them to continue that trend as they are in a dead heat with Bates for 2nd in the East at 3-3. Should they make it out of the regular season (I expect them to), they might be the favorites to win the league for a 3rd straight year on the backs of their pitching staff. No one else has even close to the arms for the double-elimination championship format. Facing Spencer Langdon and his 1.08 ERA in your third game of the weekend for a chance to hang a banner? Good luck.

Trinity’s Title Chances

Trinity has everything going for them, riding high after three straight series wins.

I thought about also titling this “Trinity Pitching” but I decided to go with their title chances as a whole because no team should be feeling better about themselves than the Bantams following a 3-0 weekend against Colby in which they outscored their opponents 31-6. We talked about the potential Achilles heel of Trinity’s volatile starting rotation pitching them out of games against inferior opponents, but there was none of that on display this weekend. Eric Mohl ’19 and Alex Shafer ’20 both went 6+ IP and allowed less than 2 ER in their starts, while the bats took care of the rest, behind a POTW performance from sophomore IF Matt Koperniak and his hitting for the cycle on Friday. Everything is clicking for Trinity right now.

The Future of the League

One of the best storylines of this NESCAC season has been the performances of the underclassmen. Hamilton freshman IF Matt Zaffino has been so good that there isn’t much of a ROY race left, and (the season isn’t over yet) if it wasn’t for lack of greater team success he would be in the POY race in his first year as well. He extended his hit streak to 15 games this week, bringing his line to .394 (6th in the league), 3 HR (T3rd), 19 RBI (8th). But he is far from the only newcomer making a name for himself this year. Williams freshmen Eric Pappas is third in the league in batting average, hitting at a .415 clip, while his classmate Erik Mini is hitting .315 with 2 HR and 8 RBI. Matt Koperniak, as previously mentioned, is just a sophomore, and is in the midst of what could be the first of many All-League seasons. More than half of the 10 league leaders in ERA are underclassmen as well. Up and down the league there are underclassmen contributing, a trend that should continue as teams at the bottom of the standings begin to give their younger guys a chance at the end of the season. The future is bright for the league.

Editor’s Note: While I appreciate that the league will be solid for years to come with such good first year players, we still have only seen one team make the NCAA tournament for two seasons in a row. Not a single NESCAC team is ranked nationally which means this will be the third year of NESCAC teams relying on the automatic bid to the tournament. To really make the league good, more players need to play baseball in the summer and stop worrying about internships. Or the league needs to add fall baseball with coaches for so many reasons.

Stock Down

Bowdoin’s Playoff Chances

Bowdoin needs to turn on the afterburners in the second half.

Coming into this weekend, the Polar Bears still had a very much realistic chance at postseason play, sitting at 3-3, just one game outside of Trinity and the top spot at 4-2. But that chance quickly evaporated after a series loss to Tufts. Bowdoin is actually only half a game out of the playoffs, so theoretically they’re right in the thick of things, but they’re at a disadvantage in the fact that they’ve played 9 division games, while the teams they’re chasing, Tufts and Bates, have only played 6. But Tufts and Bates have yet to play each other (they play the 27th/28th), so the winner of that series will stretch its lead over Bowdoin even further. While also holding the head-to-head tiebreaker, Tufts’ three other games are against Colby, which does not bode well for Bowdoin. They’re going to need to take all three in their own series with Colby this weekend if they want a realistic chance at the playoffs, because while 7-5 gives them a (slim) chance, 6-6 isn’t gonna cut it.

NESCAC Playoff Format

Following up a discussion on why Bowdoin probably isn’t going to make the playoffs is the question, why shouldn’t they? Bowdoin, like Bates, like Middlebury, and probably even like Hamilton, deserve to play postseason baseball. The two division and four team playoff format have their own merits, and the double elimination NESCAC tournament is certainly exciting, but to play a 30+ game regular season where only 12 games matter (a discussion for another time) is silly. After such a long schedule, should the league title really be decided by just four teams? More importantly, in a league where more often than not the only NCAA tournament participant is going to be the league champ, why should any taste of the postseason be excluded from the other 6 teams? Open it up to at least 6 and have the 2 and 3 seeds play a one game playoff to get to the final 4. It incentivizes winning the division, it gives more teams a chance to play extra baseball, and anything can happen in baseball in one game.

Everybody Knows that Betting is Tough; NESCAC Baseball Top 5 Surprises of 2018

You might notice that some of our preseason predictions are a bit off. We foresaw some things and whiffed on some others. Here are the things we swung and missed on and why they matter so far this season:

  1. Tufts’ In-Conference Woes: Does their Record Accurately Reflect their Potential? 

            In NBN’s preview of the Eastern Division last month, the question wasn’t “Which two teams are making the playoffs?”, but rather “Which team is going to finish below Tufts?” Halfway through their conference schedule, a different narrative is being presented. The Jumbos currently sit at a 3-3 in-conference record, and are heading into their 3rd weekend of NESCAC play. Tufts faced a tough Bantams squad for their first NESCAC series, but nobody expected that they would be on the short end of 2/3 games. The first two games of this series were close ball games but, both victories went to the Bantams. Tufts was able to salvage the third game of the series but nevertheless, the Jumbos are not used to losing series, especially on their own turf. Although Tufts was able to win their next series against Bowdoin, 2 games to 1, they were handed their third loss, one more loss than NBN predicted they would have all season long. So what is going wrong for the Jumbos? Are there key pieces who haven’t gotten it going? Or is it just dumb luck that their opponents have been able to get the better of them?

RJ Hall has cemented himself as one of the league’s best pitchers.

Nick Falkson ‘18, was my pick for Eastern Division MVP and he’s just not quite living up to the hype right now. Despite the fact that he is leading the conference in homeruns (4), his .269 BA shows an inconsistency of hard contact. His average has gone down over .100 from last season and perhaps this could help explain some of Tufts’ troubles, as their senior leader is not all he was cut out to be. On the mound, Tuft’s 1-2 punch of Brent Greeley ‘20 and R.J. Hall ‘19 have been lights out. Greeley is 3rd in the conference with a 1.85 ERA and Hall is 2nd in the conference with 3 wins. Out of the ‘pen Spencer Langdon ‘20 is leading the conference in ERA (1.08) and has a clean 2-0 record. Looking at Tuft’s stats, there doesn’t seem to be too much going wrong. So how did they end up 3-3? They happened to run into a red hot Trinity, who were barely able to take 2 of 3 from the Jumbos. Secondly, Bowdoin’s only win against Tufts was an extremely close 4-3 game in which the Jumbos had the tying run on base and just barely couldn’t get the job done. My intuition says that the talent is still there for the Jumbos and they certainly will not be missing out on the playoffs this year. I would predict an electric playoff series between 2-Seed Tufts and 1-Seed Amherst, with the Jumbos hungry for yet another ‘ship.

The whole Tufts staff, including its two first year starters, is pushing back towards the playoffs.
  1. Trinity’s Improved Staff
Trinity’s staff carried them to a series win against the previously untouchable Jumbos.

Offense was never going to be an issue for the Bantam’s this year. As predicted, they have been getting it done at the plate, in-conference they are boasting a team AVG of .304 (2nd in NESCAC), 33 XBH (1st), 4 HR (1st), 56 RBI (1st) and 21 SB (1st). To be fair they have played 9 games while almost all other teams (with the exception of Bowdoin) have only played 5 or 6, but the numbers are impressive regardless. Trinity’s question was whether their pitching staff has the ability to keep them in games. Last year the Bantams finished 7th in team ERA (4.68) and were dead last in home runs allowed (16) and K/9 (5.94). This year Trinity’s staff has really stepped it up, lowering their in-conference ERA to a modest 3.65, raising their K/9 to 8.57 (2nd in NESCAC) and leading the NESCAC with 68Ks. The combination of Trinity’s potent offense and rejuvenated mound presence have lead the Bantams to a conference-best 7 wins. Much of Trinity’s success on the mound is thanks to starters Erik Mohl ‘19 and Alex Shafer ‘20. These two starters for the Bantams have combined for 5 of the team’s 7 conference wins. In 2 of Shafer’s 3 starts in the ‘CAC, he has gone the distance for a CG. In the one start he didn’t toss the whole game, he pitched 6 ⅔ innings of a 7 inning game. It’s safe to say that this guy is an absolute workhorse for the Bantams and his ability to limit bullpen use has been extremely helpful to their success this year. Schafer looks to have a real shot at NESCAC Pitcher of the Year as he is second in the league in innings pitched (37 ⅓), tied for first in complete games (2) and wins (4) and is 4th in ERA (2.17). Experience has clearly aided the Bantam’s staff this year as they have returned every single pitcher from last year. With the addition of Max Barsamian ‘21 and Justin Olson ‘21, Trinity has taken advantage of their ability to grow and mature as a staff over the last year and the results show it. With the Bantams leading the conference in many major statistical categories, both offensively and defensively, it seems as if they are on a crash course to a NESCAC championship as nobody has shown the ability to slow them down yet.

  1. Midd’s Early Struggles
Hayden Smith is one of the few brights spots in 2018 for the Panthers.

To say that the Panther’s started out on a high note is a complete understatement. After a whopping 20-1 opening day victory over Williams, it seemed as if Midd was on the fast-track to another NESCAC championship appearance. After splitting the double header the next day, things still seemed to be going according to plan as the Panthers headed back home to snowy Vermont with a respectable 2-1 conference record. The next weekend would turn out to be one that Midd fans wish they could forget. Wesleyan managed to take all 3 games from Midd, pushing the Panthers from being playoff-likely, to being tied for last in the division with the Williams team they had clobbered the previous weekend. As NBN predicted in our preview of the West Division, it was not likely that their order would be as consistent as 2017, which was evident after struggling against Wes’ pitching. Additionally, the Panther staff wasn’t getting it done either, allowing 23 runs over the 3 game series. On the season, Midd is next to last in the league in batting average (.252) and total bases (208). Additionally, they are 8th in conference in ERA (5.46), which is not a great combination for a successful team. The road to repeat for Midd looks tough this year, as their remaining NESCAC opponents are a Hamilton squad, who just took 2 out of 3 games from the same Wesleyan club that swept the Panthers, and a red hot Amherst who currently leads the West Division. A sweep, or even two, might be necessary for Middlebury to find themselves back in the playoffs this year. This will be an especially tough ask when one of their starters (Colin Waters ‘19) has an ERA over 10 and the rest of their ‘pen hasn’t fared too well either. Also considering the fact that only 2 starters, Justin Han ‘20 and Hayden Smith ’20, are hitting over .300, things are gonna have to change for the Panthers really quickly in order for them to be playoff contenders once again.

  1. Age is Just a Number: Freshman Getting it Done at the Dish

            Everyone knows that the jump from high school to college baseball can be extremely difficult adjustment for some. Clearly nobody told these Freshman that, as they have been tearing it up at the plate for their respective teams.

Joseph Palmo ‘21 (Amherst) Austin, TX: Palmo, along with his fellow Mammoths, have started off their 2018 campaign on a hot streak. The Texas native has started out his college career on a high note, hitting at a .350/.412/.450 clip. Not only is it a feat in and of itself to be a starter as a Freshman, but Palmo takes full advantage of the opportunity of the playing time he’s given. Palmo has the 3rd highest batting average among a group of extremely talented starters for Amherst. His consistency at the plate has helped the Mammoths to a 4-1 start in conference play and I would expect to be hearing Palmo’s name a lot for the next 3 years.

Eric Pappas ‘21 (Williams) Providence, RI: While there has not been a lot of success to point to in Williamstown, as the Ephs currently have a 5-14 (2-4 in NESCAC) record, Pappas provides hope for a struggling Williams squad. With an outrageous .415 batting average, Pappas currently sits in 3rd place in the NESCAC. Pappas is constantly putting the ball in play, resulting in only striking out a mere 2 times on the season. Maybe Pappas’ older teammates could take a page out of his book; as a team Williams is striking out in about 20% of their ABs compares to Pappas’ 5%. Perhaps some youthful inspiration from Pappas could help turn around the Ephs’ season, but at the moment that probably won’t be enough.

Andrew Russell ‘21 (Colby) Massapequa, NY: Russell is yet another thriving Freshman on a struggling squad. While the Mules are currently last in the NESCAC with their 4-15 (1-5 in NESCAC) record, that hasn’t slowed down Russell’s bat. Russell is 3rd on the team with his .311 AVG and is one of 5 Mules to go yard this season. Earning the starting shortstop job as a Freshman means that he will have 3 more years to bring Colby to their first NESCAC playoffs because, barring a miracle, they will miss out on postseason play yet again this year.

Matt Zaffino ‘21 (Hamilton) New Canaan, CT and Jarrett Lee ‘21 (Hamilton) Medfield, MA: Sitting in 3rd place in the West Division, Hamilton’s success this year has been a surprise to most. We predicted that Hamilton would come last in the NESCAC this season, going 2-10 in conference. The Continentals have already met that win total, boasting a 12-11 (2-3 in NESCAC) record. A major part of their unprecedented success this year has been the contributions by these 2 key freshman. Lee has an excellent season thus far, sporting a .349 BA and .950 OPS. Lee leads the team in stolen bases (6) and is last in strikeouts (6). Zaffino is looking like the leading offensive candidate for NESCAC Rookie of the Year so far. He leads the Continentals in AVG (.394), walks (15), RBI (19), 2B (6), 3B (4) and HR (3).This kid is legit and the conference has taken notice. When making pre-season predictions the biggest wildcard is always the performance of first year players. Zaffino and Lee are also leading Hamilton in most offensive categories making it clear why they were overlooked heading into 2018. Although they’re currently 1 ½ games outside of 2nd place, the Continentals have the chance to ride their newfound fountain of youth all the way to the playoffs.

  1. Wesleyan’s Strikeout Factory

            Heading into the 2018 season there was no debate that Wesleyan would have a strong pitching staff, seeing as Mike McCaffrey ‘19 and Alec Olmstead ‘20 would be returning. Both of these pitchers are known for being able to not only get ahead in the count but consistently putting away hitters via the strikeout. With the support of newcomer Kelvin Sosa ‘21, who currently is racking up 11.06 K/9, the Cardinals currently rank 1st in the NESCAC and 25th in the nation in K/9 at 9.8. Wesleyan is one of only two NESCAC teams to break the top 100 in this category nationally (Colby ranks 82nd at 7.9 K/9), and it is in very large part thanks to this trio of starters. McCaffrey and Olmstead each hold K/9s of 11.73 and 10.93, respectively, to go along with Sosa’s stellar strikeout rate. Being able to get over 33% of their outs via strikeout has allowed the Cardinals to post a +39 run differential on the season en route to their 15-8 (4-2 in NESCAC) record. No team in the NESCAC has ever finished the season with a K/9 of over 9.0 so the Cardinals have the chance to make it into the record books. Sitting a half game back of 1st place Amherst, Wesleyan will look to their staff to keep putting Ks up on the board in order to continue their success.

Rejoice, NESCAC fans, Lacrosse Coverage is Here! Playoff Push Power Rankings

Playoff Push: Men’s Lacrosse Power Rankings 4/14

Editor’s Note: I’m sure many Northeastern NESCAC fans are going to be excited about our debut piece on lacrosse, written by new contributor Ryan Moralejo from Bates. While this coverage won’t be as consistent as our three main sports, more is coming, so get stoked!

As the regular season comes to a close, no seeding position is safe.  At the top of the conference we have Amherst, Tufts and Wesleyan all battling for the regular season title and the prize that comes with it: home field advantage throughout the playoffs. In the middle of the standings, Williams, Conn, Bowdoin, Midd, and Bates are jockeying for seeding, waiting for someone to slip up and fall off the pack. Further down, a matchup of two Mainers looms in the distance with postseason aspirations on the line.  There’s a lot to cover in a short amount of time, so let’s get to it.

  1. #4 Amherst: 11-2, (7-1)

Last Week: 24-11 W @ Conn College, 20 – 16 W @ Tufts

This Week: vs. Bates

While Amherst’s decisive victory over Conn College was impressive, the Mammoths earned the top spot on the list due to their most recent victory over the previously undefeated Jumbos.   Led by Evan Wolf ’19 and Matt Solberg ’20, Amherst blitzed Tufts in the first half, jumping out to a 15-5 lead.  They boast four of the top 10 goal scorers in the ‘CAC, highlighted by Wolf’s league-leading 28.  Amherst’s high-octane offense has accounted for a mind-blowing 155 goals in eight conference games, and since their nail-biting loss on the road to Wesleyan, the Mammoths have rattled off three straight – all against top-tier conference opponents.  They will undoubtedly be favored next weekend versus Bates on Senior Day, but can’t afford to rest their laurels on Saturday’s performance.

The Mammoths hold the top spot in this week’s rankings.
  1. #6 Tufts: 10-1 (6-1)

Last Week: 12-11 W (OT) @ Endicott, 20-16 L vs. Amherst

This Week: vs. Bates, @ Middlebury

The Jumbos were riding high after their 14-10 victory over Wesleyan; however, their two most recent performances (a closer-than-expected overtime win against a 4-9 Endicott squad and a home loss to Amherst) brought Tufts back down to earth.  While the Jumbos don’t have a particular individual who excels offensively, they do have the second-most goals in conference play thanks to six double-digit scorers. Before Saturday’s dismal showing, goalie Mason Pollack ’20 was second in the ‘CAC in goals allowed per game (9.25); he’ll need to brush off his performance versus Amherst and right the ship quickly as the Jumbos head into Lewiston to take on the Bobcats.

  1. #5 Wesleyan (7-1)

Last Week: 11-6 W @ Trinity, 12-8 W vs. Bowdoin

This Week: @ Hamilton

Cardinals fans might be a little displeased to see their #5 nationally-ranked squad listed third in their own conference rankings.  Honestly, I almost bumped them ahead of Tufts, but the Jumbos own the head-to-head victory.  There’s a lot to like about this Cardinals team: they boast the league’s best defense in large part due to goalie Otto Bohan ’21, who ranks tops in save percentage and wins.  Their offense isn’t too shabby either: Ronan Jacoby ’21 totaled nine goals against Trinity and Bowdoin, adding to his scorching-hot rookie campaign.  Last year’s top goal scorer and point leader Harry Stanton ’18 has 23 goals to date, and Carter Hawthorne ’19 leads the league in assists.  Despite this three-headed monster, the Cardinals are middle of the pack in goals scored.  Saturday’s date with Hamilton should be fairly easy to maneuver around, but they’ll need to find another source for offensive production if they want to repeat as NESCAC champions.

 

  1. Williams 6-6 (5-3)

Last Week: 9-5 W vs. Hamilton, 16-12 W vs. Colby

This Week: @ Western New England, @ Bowdoin

While the overall record isn’t pretty, the Ephs are a gritty bunch and will be a tough outcome tourney time.  Their 5-3 record in conference play is solid, and they only lost to Wesleyan by one and Tufts by three.  They have the capability to go toe-to-toe with any team in the conference if I ignore their 19-9 shellacking against Amherst.  Offensively, Williams is run through Kevin Stump ’20 and James McFarland ’18 who both went to work this past Saturday against Colby. McFarland led the way with six goals while Stump added three of his own to go along with four assists.  Williams also has a solid goalkeeper in George Peele ’20, as the sophomore ranks second in save and win percentage.  The Ephs have a non-conference tilt with Western New England before a huge matchup with Bowdoin: a win could move Williams closer to solidifying the fourth seed for the conference tournament, but a loss could open the door to the likes of Conn College and/or the Polar Bears to move up from behind.

  1. Connecticut College 9-4 (5-4)

Last Week: 24-11 L vs. Amherst, 8-5 W vs. Hamilton

This Week: vs. Stockton

The Camels couldn’t bounce back from their collapse against Bates two Saturday’s ago, falling 24-11 to Amherst this past Tuesday.  Fortunately for them, they hosted Hamilton this past weekend (for those counting, this is the second time I’ve mentioned Hamilton in a negative manner before getting to their ranking, so you get the idea).  They did just enough to secure an 8-5 victory over the Continentals, shutting them out in the fourth quarter.

The Camels are all about defense, allowing fewer than ten goals a game; however, they really struggle on the offensive end and would be downright helpless without stud midi, Ben Parens ’18, dominating face offs.  Conn basically has three players capable of scoring: Jordan Foster ‘19, Maxx Trotsky ’20 and PJ Kelleher ’19 form a trio that compile 77 of Conn’s 83 total goals.  The Camels are off from NESCAC play this weekend and will need to solve some of their offensive woes if they want to shock Wesleyan in their season finale.

  1. Bowdoin 8-4 (4-4)

Last Week: 8-7 L vs. Colby, 12-8 L @ Wesleyan

This Week: vs. Williams

The Polar Bears dropped both their conference games this week.  On the road against Wesleyan is acceptable, but losing to Colby?  Most Polar Bear faithful would agree this was a disheartening performance against their inferior rival, and it could cost Bowdoin come seeding time.  The team’s leading scorer, Brett Kujala ’20, was a non-factor in Tuesday’s tilt, and the Polar Bears mustered up a mere eight goals against a Mule defense allowing nearly double that figure.  On the bright side, they improved their sturdy defensive stats, lowering their goals allowed per game to 9.63.  That figure trails only Wesleyan, and they’ll need their defense to be sharp come Saturday against Williams: a win would negate the Colby loss and keep the Polar Bears in the hunt for the #4 seed.

  1. Middlebury: 7-5 (4-4)

Last Week:  12-11 W @Springfield, 13-12 W vs. Trinity

Next Week: @ Endicott, vs. Tufts

The Panthers are on a nice four-game win streak: sure they barely squeaked by Colby and Trinity, but no victory is a given during NESCAC play (unless you’re playing Hamilton).  AJ Kucinski ’20 and Henry Riehl ‘18 lead a balanced offensive attack that features five players with at least nine goals.  The Panthers are still searching for their first marquee win of the season, as their victory over Bates represents their best win to date. Fortunately for Middlebury, they host Tufts on Saturday. The key for the Panthers will be to shore up the defense (11.25 goals a game, third-last in the ‘CAC) if they want to pull off the upset.

Bates has fallen a long way since 2017.
  1. Bates (7-5) (3-4)

Last Week: None

This Week: vs. Tufts, @ Amherst

Prior to this week’s hiatus from games due to Finals Week, the Bobcats had quite the emotional rollercoaster.  They fell to in-state rival Bowdoin on a last-second goal from Sam Carlin ’19 and were trailing Conn College 10-8 with just under three minutes to play.  Senior captain Clark Jones ’18 scored two goals to knot it up, and Andrew Small ’19 broke the deadlock in overtime to give Bates its biggest win of the season.  Clark sits tied for third in the ‘CAC with 23 goals, and Matt Chlastawa (LA-STAH-VAH, I think) is third in total points with 21 goals and 18 assists.  Bates’ defense ranks in the middle of the pack allowing fewer than 11 goals a game, and it will be severely tested against the two most dynamic offense squads in the league; the Bobcats welcome the Jumbos on Tuesday before traveling to Massachusetts in a matchup with the Mammoths. They’ll need production from their dynamic duo in order spring a potential upset or two.

  1. Colby: 4-6 (2-6)

Last Week: 8-7 W @Bowdoin, 16-12 L @ Williams

This Week: @ Maine Maritime, vs. Trinity

The Mules check in at #9 on the list after snagging a huge win over the Polar Bears this past Wednesday.  Colby’s defense, which had been a weak point all season, clamped down and allowed just seven goals, while junior midfielder Tucker Dietrick ’18 featured in five of the Mules’ eight scores.  Despite their most recent loss to Williams, Colby’s play has definitely picked up over the past three weeks, which is probably due to the selection of the “Wal-Mart Boy Remix” as their goal song.  Should the Bobcats lose both games this week, Colby will host Bates in what could be a doozy: in-state rivals battling for the last remaining play-off spot in the regular season finale.  Lose to Trinity, however, and a victory by the Bobcats over Amherst and/or Tufts would eliminate the Mules from playoff contention.

  1. Trinity 4-8 (1-7)

Last Week: 11-6 L vs. Wesleyan, 13-12 L vs. Middlebury

This Week: @ Colby

After picking up their first conference win of the season against Hamilton, the Bantams lost at home to both Wesleyan and Middlebury.  The latter fixture was particularly painful as Trinity fought to cut the lead to one with 9:47 left in the fourth quarter, but couldn’t find that last gear. The loss knocked the Bantams out of playoff contention; the best they could do is win out against Colby and Amherst, bringing them into a tie for 8th (the Bobcats own the head-to-head victory). Leading scorer Drew Kozub ’21 was limited to a single goal after firing in five against Hamilton.  He’ll look to get back on track and lead the charge into Waterville this Saturday.

It’s a good photo, but Hamilton doesn’t have too much else to be happy about here.
  1. Hamilton: 1-12 (0-9)

Last Week: 9-5 L @ Williams, 8-5 L @ Conn College

This Week: vs. Wesleyan

Yes, Hamilton played better this weekend against quality sides in Williams and Conn, but they’re still winless in conference play.  They’re nearly dead last in every offensive and defensive category, which is normally not what you want to hear if you’re a Continental fan.  Can they beat Wesleyan this weekend and avoid the winless conference campaign? It’s possible, but not very likely.

On the bright side, leading goal marksman Chad Morse ’19 had a hat trick against Williams, bringing his goal tally to 13. Also, I found this neat photo of him so I had to give him a shout out.

If You Build It, Recruits Will Come; NESCAC Baseball Field Power Rankings 

If You Build It, Recruits Will Come: NESCAC Baseball Field Power Rankings 

It’s time for another unorthodox power ranking. Who doesn’t like controversy, right? The NESCAC is home to some very nice baseball fields and some not so nice ones, but we’re starting to see a new wrinkle when it comes to judging a team’s field: artificial turf. These days more and more schools are installing some very impressive turf facilities, so that puts competing schools in a tough position. It’ll be interesting to see which school is next on the list, because Colby, Hamilton, and Trinity have started the movement towards the artificial surface. I’m all for “purity of the game” or whatever skeptics say, but when it’s still snowing in April you start to care less about what you’re playing on and more about actually playing. Anyways, let’s take a look at the finest diamonds across the NESCAC:

Work to do… 

  1. Bowdoin

Pickard Diamond 

What you see is what you get with Pickard Diamond. Nothing exciting, just a traditional grass baseball field with average, run of the mill wood dugouts. Like their football field, it’s a bit inaccessible, meaning that only the most dedicated fans make it out to games. For the fans that do, you better bring chairs with you, because there isn’t any place to sit. On a nice day this ballpark can look as good as any with its beautiful surrounding scenery, but sadly those nice days are numbered when you’re located in Maine. I can’t imagine the Polar Bears rely on their field as a recruiting tool.

  1. Middlebury 

Forbes Field

Midd is known for pouring money into top notch, state of the art athletic facilities such as their beautiful indoor turf facility. Their baseball field must not have made the budget because it’s definitely not on par with everything else they have to offer. Not to say that the field itself is exceptionally poor, but like Bowdoin, it’s pretty much your average diamond. It doesn’t help that the field is a bit of a walk from the gym and from the rest of campus, making it a bit inconvenient to access. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Panthers were the next team to go turf in order to keep up with the rest of the league.

  1. Bates 

Leahey Field

The Bobcats boast another remarkably average field. The fact that it’s grass is becoming increasingly frustrating as the Maine weather delays the season even more while peer schools get under way. What it has going for it is a nice central location that naturally yields decent crowds of people stopping by on their way from place to place. Having no seating behind home plate is a tough look, but the seating up each foul line does a good enough job for fans. If you’re lucky, the aroma from chicken nugget day at Commons will waft across the street, only enhancing the ballpark experience.

Not bad… 

  1. Williams 

Bobby Coombs Field 

There’s something about Bobby Coombs field that feels right. It feels like New England baseball. It’s almost as if they used this park to model every other baseball park in the region. This goes both ways, however, because you sort of expect Williams to blow you away. There are plenty of fields out there of similar quality, so I thought the Ephs would do better. I don’t want to knock them too hard though – this is a well taken care of playing surface with solid dugouts and a nice surrounding area. Playing a game at Williams feels like the truest form of baseball – sunny skies, Rainbow flip flops, and EDM echoing across campus.

  1. Tufts

Huskins Field 

Tufts has another very respectable, grass field. The solid fence as opposed to chain link makes the field seem enclosed, giving it more of a big time feel. Saturdays can be a lot of fun for Jumbo fans when their beloved lacrosse team has game just outside the left field fence during a home game for the baseball team. Those days things can get really loud on campus, only aided by the train that rolls past right field from time to time – a unique quirk that can only be found in Medford.

  1. Wesleyan

Dresser Diamond at Andrus Field

I think this one might cause the most controversy of any on the list. Dresser Diamond is average at best and they don’t even have dugouts. Or a real backstop. Not a great look. What they do have is the oldest continuously used field in the United States, and an AMAZING location. You can’t go anywhere on campus without walking by Andrus Field, and as a result the Cardinals actually lead the nation in attendance*. The school’s Gothic architecture adds a beautiful backdrop, and there are tons of great viewing spots for fans. Watch out for people on Foss Hill because it’s known to get packed, especially if you’re tasked with playing Wesleyan on Zonker Harris Day. 

*They must count literally anyone in the vicinity as a spectator because there’s no way Wesleyan has the highest attendance in the country.

Editor’s Note: I get it, Wesleyan’s field is the oldest baseball field in the nation and can’t be modified. But no dugouts? Really? It’s not a fun place to play when it’s freezing and windy on an early April afternoon.

  1. Amherst

Memorial Field 

This is about as nice a grass field as they come. Memorial Field is incredibly well kept with a terrific playing surface. The brick backstop and dugouts go perfectly with their campus, and the hill along the left field line is a great spot for fans. This is one of the most beautiful fields in the conference. At this point it’s only a question of whether the Mammoths decide to follow the movement and get artificial turf, or keep their already gorgeous field. Perhaps it’s time for a change in Western Mass since Amherst hasn’t appeared in the NCAA Tournament since they were known as the now-forbidden Lord Jeffs. 

Real contenders…

  1. Colby 

Coombs Field

Obviously the three schools with turf fields are going to make up the top three on this list, so let’s break it down. Colby’s turf facility is very nice – enough so that the NESCAC decided to host last year’s conference tournament there. Unfortunately, this is a tournament they’ve never appeared in, so hopefully the field draws enough interest to turn the ship around in Waterville. Really the only reason that they fall below Hamilton is that their turf is a year older with an extra year’s worth of wear and tear. Overall, an excellent field.

  1. Hamilton

Loop Road Baseball Complex

Hamilton’s got another beautiful turf facility, only in its second year of use. Again, this complex really isn’t much different from Colby’s; it’s simply one year newer. I appreciate when schools match the dugout architecture with their school, so I think the Continentals made the right choice here. My guess is that being in New York puts you out of contention to host the tournament for a conference that has “New England” in the title, but you never know because this is a beautiful ballpark.

  1. Trinity

Murren Family Field/DiBenedetto Stadium

What a shocker. The Bantams have the nicest baseball field in the ‘CAC. This should go nicely alongside the nicest football field in the ‘CAC. Not only is Murren Family Field at DiBenedetto Stadium the best in the conference, this is one of the nicest collegiate ball parks in New England regardless of division. The stadium seating looking out at the Hartford skyline is a remarkable backdrop for a brand new, pristine turf field. The logo in center field is a really cool touch and having “NESCAC” painted along each foul line is a ridiculously classy move. This is the picture perfect site for the NESCAC tournament, and I can’t see anyone getting a nicer field than the one in West Hartford for a very long time.

Benches Are Clearing; Baseball Weekend Preview?

It’s been a great start to the MLB season. The Red Sox are unbelievable, dominating the Yankees on the field and in a Fenway Park WWE fight. Baseball brawls are essential to the baseball identity. In no other sport do you have an individual with a wooden weapon or people hauling in from the other end of the playing field. In this edition of my weekend update, I’m going to compare two teams, one from the east and another from the west, to see who would hypothetically win in a bench clearing brawl. While we know this isn’t as informative as a normal weekend preview, the weather brought all of the games into question (Midd v. Amherst was moved to May 4th and 5th), so we wanted to mix it up in the wake of some angry behavior in MLB games (Red Sox vs. Yankees; Padres vs. Rockies). 

Let’s start out with the east:

The Colby Mules wouldn’t be your first guess on a team who would be interested to brawl. Mainers are such down to earth, empathetic people. But let’s not forget about the swagger the Mules possess.

2017 Colby Baseball Team

The first attribute that the Mules possess that could give them an edge in any fight is their roster pictures–particularly their facial hair. These guys are scary. Cameron Garfield looks like Billy the Kid on his way to rob a train in the Wild West. Let’s just say the next time I’m on the T, I’m not sitting anywhere near Garfield. He would probably whip out a weapon, and ask me how much gold I have. He’s clearly reached his peak as a freshman in the facial hair department; I don’t see how he could one up his roster picture. In all seriousness, Colby has a big weekend coming up. Their pitching has been solid with a 3.96 ERA in conference. Their hitting, on the other hand, isn’t helping out the pitching staff. A .228 average in conference won’t win any ball games, no matter who’s on the bump.

Another guy’s facial hair that has evolved over the years is junior pitcher Will Cohen. I’m not giving him airtime because he’s a former teammate and friend, but I actually respect his facial hair. It’s well trimmed, which is a major improvement from his freshman year photo. Unlike Garfield’s roster picture, Cohen’s freshman year picture makes me slightly nauseous (the picture can’t be found, the college took it down due to complaints). Cohen came into Colby as a freshman, and contributed to the cause. He pitched five scoreless innings in 2015 against the potent Tufts Jumbo offense. He hasn’t really been the same since. As a pitcher who relies on masterful control, he hasn’t been able to locate quite the same as before.

The Mules dropped two out of three against Bates last weekend, which is concerning because the Mules clearly have the talent advantage. Trinity won’t be an easier opponent to face this weekend, but if the Mules can right the ship by taking two out of three, they’ll find themselves in the playoff hunt. Right now, they just need to figure it out at the plate.

If not, I definitely think they can intimidate opponents in a bench clearing brawl. Cohen and Garfield will lead the charge in the fight.

The West:

Wesleyan 2017 Baseball Team

I have to pick Wesleyan. I’ve only seen Wesleyan’s games live, so I don’t pretend to have a feel for the entire NESCAC’s character. However, the Birds definitely have the swagger right now with a 3-0 conference record that could help them win a fight. Let’s see why:

We have to start off with Ryan Earle and Chase Pratt. These guys are thick and bulky. I’m sure they could put up thirty plus reps of two plates on the bench, and be pictured chopping wood on the cover of a Carhartt magazine with husky jackets and their yellow labs. These guys are also mashing at the plate. As big guys, they’re incredibly short to the ball which allows them to barrel up inside fastballs. They use the whole field, which shows how well they’re seeing and timing up the baseball. Both are hitting well in the .300’s with low strikeout numbers. That says a lot for big, powerful guys. These bash bros are like Chad and JT advocating for southern California house parties: they have swagger, confidence, and are the power of the Wesleyan lineup. But of course, two guys can’t beat twenty other guys in the fight. Kevin Walek, Wesleyan’s shortstop, is their version of Baker Mayfield on the diamond. He wears a red bandanna, and blares Straight Outta Compton as his walkup song. He hits towards the bottom of the lineup, but has been an important piece towards Wesleyan’s success. He hit .600 last weekend against Middlebury, and plays stellar defense shortstop.

Wesleyan dominated Middlebury last weekend in all aspects of the game; it was quite obvious as a spectator that Wesleyan had the emotional edge. Any foul ball to the backstop was corralled by Nick ‘Val’ Valicenti. Obviously, there’s no stat in the book that illustrates hustle. Val’s not an everyday player, but his hustle on each foul ball is indicative and is a microcosm of the Wesleyan baseball team: they’re gritty.

This grit is apparent in close games. In game one against Middlebury, they edged out a win by scoring their only run on a walk. They fought and clawed for that win, which gave them the momentum for the rest of the series.

In a non-league game on Wednesday, freshman pitcher and #4 on NBN best roster pictures took a line drive straight to the dome. The play stopped, and the whole squad was genuinely concerned for Reddy. Taking line drives to the head builds character that helps in a bench clearing brawl.

Kidding aside, Wesleyan needs to bring that same character, energy, and swag into their games against Hamilton this weekend. If they keep an emotional edge, given their superior talent, the Continentals will be on their heels all weekend.

Wesleyan’s temper getting tested in 2015

In conclusion, if Cameron Garfield and Will Cohen came toe to toe with Ryan Earle and Chase Pratt in a bar, I would be intimidated by the rocking facial hair of the Mules. However, the Mules would run away when the clean version of Straight Outta Compton came on, and 160 pound Kevin Walek from Minnesota walked out with his bandana on. Yeah, sportsmanship is cool and all, but who doesn’t love watching a good fight?

Divisions Keep Them Separate, But How Do They Stack Up? Baseball Midseason Power Rankings

Right In The Thick of Things: Power Rankings Week 5

I have a love/hate relationship with NESCAC baseball. On one hand, I hate the way the divisions and playoff systems work but love the way it emphasizes head-to-head matchups. As an athlete myself, I hate how fast the spring season goes for these teams that have been preparing together since they stepped on campus in the fall yet I love how quickly these teams are forced to get into the mix. So with that being said, it’s hard to believe that it’s the second week of April and there are two huge weekends of NESCAC divisional play remaining. The season is in full swing, and with it comes some Power Rankings.

  1. Wesleyan 

The only undefeated team in the conference, and although overall records don’t matter in baseball the same way they do in other NESCAC sports, the holder of the best overall record at 13-6, are the Wesleyan Cardinals. Wesleyan started their league campaign off with a 3-game sweep of defending conference finalist Middlebury. The most impressive part of their weekend was how they showcased a variety of ways they can beat you. Mike McCaffrey has begun to prove our preseason hype correct throwing 6 no-hit innings with 10 Ks, combining with Pat Clare for their first no-hitter since 1981. The duo outpitched Middlebury’s Colby Morris (never heard of him) in a 1-0 win to start the series, and then the bats followed it up with two shootout wins in which they put up double digit runs in each game. OF Alex Cappitelli ’20 continued his solid sophomore campaign by leading the team with 4 RBIs on the weekend, but the real story so far for Wesleyan has been their depth through the order. The Cards have 7 guys in their lineup hitting above .300, which is why it should come as no surprise that they lead the NESCAC in hitting with a .305 average. They will definitely be the better team when they travel to New York this weekend for a series with Hamilton and should see their West Division grow larger after a strong start.

  1. Amherst

Amherst followed up their two game sweep of Hamilton with a series win on the road against archrival Williams, putting them at a strong 4-1 in the West Division. The Mammoths are second in the league with a .299 team batting average and lead the league as a pitching staff with a collective 4.18 ERA. They’re more than likely kicking themselves for letting Williams steal Game 2 late, but the Purple and White are in great shape. They do have the toughest schedule remaining in the West with Wesleyan and Middlebury looming, 5 of those 6 games being on the road as well. OF Ariel Kenney ’18 is firmly at the front of the POY conversation with his .431 AVG, to go along with 2 HRs and 10 RBI. 3B Nick Nardone ’19 is also looking to enter that race (.322, 2 HRs, 15 RBI), and the best part for Amherst might be that SS Harry Roberson ’18 (.228 AVG, 16 RBI), has really yet to get going. There might not be a team in the league better equipped for a 3 game series.

  1. Trinity

If you’re the Bantams you definitely have every right to feel slighted with a spot at 3 in these rankings, but I think Amherst’s consistency/every team statistic available gives them the edge. Trinity has opened the season just as they had hoped, taking 2 out of 3 from both Tufts and Bowdoin. In my East Division preview I wrote that the key to Trin’s season would be keeping the poor starting pitching performances to a minimum, but they have yet to do that in the way they would’ve hoped. While they are 3rd in the league with a 4.38 ERA, it is games like their 15-8 loss to Bowdoin that could keep them from reaching the heights they are hoping to find. They caught Bowdoin P Brandon Lopez ’19 on an off night (3.0 IP, 4 R, 5 BB), but P Erik Mohl ’19 couldn’t get out of the 2nd inning (1.2 IP, 8 H, 7 R) and the Polar Bears blitzed the Trinity bullpen for eight runs in the 7th inning alone. This team can flat out rake, but we are yet to see them clicking on all cylinders like they are capable of. Tufts, like the good team they are, were able to hold them to 13 runs over 3 games, but they were able to climb up to 21 over 3 against Bowdoin. They have the firepower, and perhaps more importantly, the strength of schedule—having already seen off Tufts and Bowdoin—to take the East Division and contend for the NESCAC.

  1. Tufts

They lost 2 out of 3 games to a good Trinity team, but that is certainly not a cause for concern. RJ Hall, Brent Greeley, and Spencer Langdon combined to throw 19 IP and allow 3 runs, erasing any doubt over the turnover in the bullpen this year. They were a 5 spot in the 7th inning in Game 2 away from winning the series and climbing higher on these rankings, but this is still a really good team and the class of the NESCAC. IF Tommy O’Hara ’18 (.358 AVG, 2 HR, 15 RBI) has looked every bit the first-teamer he was last year and is certainly right in the mix for POY. The Jumbos are getting their usual mix of contributions all over the order, but if there was one place they would like to see improvement it would be in IF Nick Falkson ‘18’s batting average. The reigning league Player of the Year is showing off his usual power so far this year, to the tune of 4 HRs and 22 RBI, but his average sits at just .258., a far cry from his .373 last year. He has already doubled his big flies, but the contact has not been there quite yet. Look for that to change soon. The story of the year in Somerville, however, is the play of P Brent Greeley ’20. The sophomore has been absolutely lights out, boasting a 4-0 line with a 1.29 ERA (second in the league) in 28.0 IP. His 3.54 K/9 obviously is not indicative of overpowering stuff and time will tell if this is just a hot streak, but the fact that they have a top of the line starter is huge for them going forward. As they showed against Trinity, they have starting pitching that can go deep in games, and deep in the season.

For Midd to figure it out, Colin Waters ’19 and the rest of the pitching staff are going to have come to play versus Amherst
  1. Middlebury

I think there’s a pretty clear top 4 in the NESCAC right now, and spots 5-7 are a toss up, but I’m going to give Midd the nod here on account of strength of schedule, close games, and the fact that this is Middlebury on NbN that we’re talking about. They got swept by Wesleyan but if Colby Morris ’20 pitches like that (6.0 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 8 K) for the rest of the year they’re not going to get swept at all (or if they don’t get no-hit). They took 2 out of 3 against a struggling Williams team in California, and although they managed to hang 20 in one of those wins, it did come against the worst pitching staff in the league, so the jury is still out on that one. The 0-3 weekend against Wesleyan makes it a really uphill battle to return the playoffs, especially with Amherst still on the schedule. Their other rather glaring problem is that they haven’t really been good at anything, hitting .252 (9th in the league) and holding the 8th best ERA at 5.57. They need some guys to really start carrying the team if they’re not going to collectively produce. Morris has shown number 1 stuff, and sophomore infielders Hayden Smith (.365 AVG, 9 RBI) and Justin Han (.344 AVG, 14 RBI) could be the catalysts offensively for the Panthers, but it’s quickly turned into do or die time.

  1. Bowdoin

Bowdoin and Bates each find themselves at 3-3 but Bowdoin took 2 out of 3 from the Bobcats, so that made this decision easy. The Polar Bears have ridden P Max Vogel-Freedman ’19 and P Brandon Lopez ’19 to a playoff spot if the season ended today, but unfortunately it doesn’t, and they still have to face Tufts. Bowdoin has utilized the long ball to its benefit with 6 different guys combining to hit 8 homers on the year. I would also like to use this time to throw a shoutout to 1B Sawyer Billings ’18 whose 2-26 with 2 HRs stat line is eerily reminiscent to my Little League production—thanks for bringing me back to the good ole days, Sawyer. Anyways, with Vogel-Freedman and Lopez pitching like they are, they should feel good about their ability to compete. If they can steal 1 or even 2 from Tufts, and then take 2 out of 3 from Colby, that would put them at either 7-5 or 6-6 in the division. Is that going to be good enough to make the playoffs?

  1. Bates

The other 3-3 team in the East are going to need some help and putting this team at 7 feels wrong but someone has to do it. The reality is that this team has taken no strides forward at the plate, and it’s going to be pretty hard (read: near impossible) to make the playoffs hitting .217 as a team. Zach Avila is the only guy hitting above .300 (.316) but none of his 12 hits have been extra base hits. Dan Trulli ’19 (.265, 2 HR, 16 RBI) is their biggest weapon at the plate, but he’s either going to need to do a lot more than what he’s doing now if he’s not going to get any help. Can Connor Russell and Justin Foley make up for it on the mound? Russell has shown he can pitch as good as any arm in the league for a day, but he’s going to have to consistently do it the rest of the way home. The reality is that with 6 games remaining, 3 each against Tufts and Trinity, the Bobcats probably didn’t do enough with their first 6 to stay in the hunt. Perhaps they can play spoiler.

  1. Colby

Colby was able to snag one off of Bates to avoid being swept in their opening weekend, getting a nice pitching performance from first-year LHP Paul Ariola (7 IP, 1 R, 6K). Colby’s biggest problem has been injuries to their pitching staff. Like, all of it. Ariola ’21 leads the team in innings pitched with just 16.1. The guys we expected to take a jump up this year are either hurt or aren’t producing. There’s really no guessing which three guys Coach Plummer will roll out to the mound on a given weekend right now, but it is yet to fully go off the rails for Colby, in large part due to the play of senior OF Matt Treveloni, who has been nothing shy of white hot. Treveloni leads the league with a .440 average to go along with 1 HR and 14 RBI. Colby is still young and has a lot of arms, and while injuries stink, it should give a lot of those young guys chances to prove themselves on the mound.

  1. Williams

It’s safe to say this season has not gone as planned for the Ephs. John Lamont and Sean Hager ’20 vanished seemingly overnight, Lamont to injury, and Hager to transferring, and what remained was a pitching staff with a comfortably league worst 7.37 ERA. Their pitchers just don’t have the stuff, as evidenced by the fact that they’ve struck out 35 less batters than the next closest NESCAC team. Their attempt to convert Kyle Dean ’20 from a reliever, a role in which he had great success last year (26.0 IP, 1.38 ERA, 9.35 K/9) has not worked out, and they are desperately seeking guys to fill their rotation. The bright spots for this team have been the young guys, particularly the freshmen. Sophomore OF Mike Stamas (.375 AVG, 24 H, 1 HR, 7 RBI) has taken the jump up in second year production, but 2021s OF Erik Mini (.265, 2 HR, 7 RBI), IF Eric Pappas (.415, 17 H) and RHP George Carroll (24.1 IP, 3.70 ERA, starter of both NESCAC wins) have been what Eph fans should be most excited about. This team is also actually quite solid at the plate (.279, 4th in the NESCAC). If they can find a couple of pitchers that can join Carroll and get past the 2nd inning, and veterans like INFs Kellen Hathaway ’19 and Jack Roberts ’18 can lead this team at the top of the order, they could win some games. But they still have Wesleyan left on their schedule, and if that 7.37 ERA doesn’t drop quicker than Bitcoin their season will be ending shortly.

Zaffino and the Continentals have nowhere to go but up.
  1. Hamilton

There was some competition with Williams for this coveted spot but it goes to the Continentals because they are the only NESCAC team without a league win. Like I said with some previous teams, some of these rankings are harsh, and as the person writing them can attest, they’re not easy to do either, especially when strength of schedule is such a factor. Hamilton will turn it around and win some games going forward, although looking ahead to Wesleyan and Middlebury (and Williams) isn’t ideal, but they’ve got talent. INF Matt Zaffino has just about locked up ROY in the second week of April, putting up as good of a first season as the league has seen in a while, hitting .429 (T2), 3 HR (2nd), and 18 RBI (5th). The kids have been the story for this team, as Zaffino’s first year classmates INF Jarrett Lee (.370, 20 H, 8 RBI) and INF Matt Cappelletti (.295, 2 HR, 8 RBI) have joined in on the production party. They have yet to find consistent top end pitching, but hopefully that will come. This is going to come across as a cop out (it is a cop out) but Hamilton won’t finish 10th in the last Power Rankings, I feel pretty certain about that.